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Elversberg
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 32
Hoffenheim
Recent matches

Elversberg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Schalke 040–0Elversberg
2026-09-14 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg1–2Bayern Munich
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 M'gladbach3–4Elversberg
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Elversberg3–2Leverkusen

Hoffenheim

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Paderborn3–1Hoffenheim
2026-09-13 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-12 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–1Stuttgart
2026-09-05 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 Hoffenheim2–3Dortmund
2026-08-29 Germany, Bundesliga 26/27 FC Koln3–2Hoffenheim
2026-05-16 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 M'gladbach4–0Hoffenheim
2026-05-09 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim1–0Werder Bremen
2026-05-02 Germany, Bundesliga 25/26 Hoffenheim3–3Stuttgart
Elversberg Hoffenheim

Wins

40%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

80%
88%

Both teams scored

80%
75%

Clean sheets

20%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Elversberg

Home · Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
10 Elversberg Dortmund 1
10 Elversberg Freiburg 2
10 Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich 3 26′ Away
10 Elversberg 1–2 Bayern Munich 3 —
10 Elversberg RB Leipzig 4
10 Elversberg Augsburg 5
10 Elversberg 3–2 Leverkusen 6 8′ Home
10 Elversberg Ein Frankfurt 7
10 Elversberg Werder Bremen 8
10 Elversberg Mainz 9
10 · Elversberg
10 Elversberg Hoffenheim 11
10 Elversberg Schalke 04 12
10 Elversberg FC Koln 13
10 Elversberg Paderborn 14
10 Elversberg Stuttgart 15
10 Elversberg Hamburg 16
10 Elversberg Union Berlin 17
10 Elversberg M'gladbach 18

Hoffenheim

Away · Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
1 Dortmund Hoffenheim 11
2 Freiburg Hoffenheim 11
3 Bayern Munich Hoffenheim 11
4 RB Leipzig Hoffenheim 11
5 Augsburg Hoffenheim 11
6 Leverkusen Hoffenheim 11
7 Ein Frankfurt Hoffenheim 11
8 Werder Bremen Hoffenheim 11
9 Mainz Hoffenheim 11
10 Elversberg Hoffenheim 11
11 · Hoffenheim
12 Schalke 04 Hoffenheim 11
13 FC Koln 3–2 Hoffenheim 11 27′ Away
14 Paderborn 3–1 Hoffenheim 11 29′ Home
15 Stuttgart Hoffenheim 11
16 Hamburg Hoffenheim 11
17 Union Berlin Hoffenheim 11
18 M'gladbach Hoffenheim 11
Elversberg Home Hoffenheim Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Elversberg

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.002.001.40
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.672.001.80
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.80
Total goals / match3.673.503.60
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hoffenheim

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.000.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match1.673.002.20
Total goals / match3.674.504.00
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%0.0%0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3011
31–4501
46–6011
61–7512
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelElversbergDraw HoffenheimHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.6% 24.5% 34.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 37.5% 20.1% 38.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.10–2.12 Model expected goals
75.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
73.6% Both teams to score
2-2 Most likely score, at 7.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-27.3%
1-26.9%
2-16.9%
1-16.5%
2-35.2%
3-25.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureElversbergHoffenheim How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1512 1532 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 0 -29 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1611 1521 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 35.2% 55.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 61.5% 52.6% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 938 881 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 43.8% 31.5% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 50.0% 56.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Elversberg 0.751.25 0.751.00
Hoffenheim 0.950.74 0.951.16

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Elversberg 20%0%0%40%40%
Hoffenheim 2%10%12%22%52%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Elversberg at home, 3 matches
0.89 Hoffenheim away, 9 matches
230d Days of rest for Elversberg
230d Days of rest for Hoffenheim
— Manager of Elversberg
— Manager of Hoffenheim
0 Matches for Elversberg in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hoffenheim in the last 14 days
8 Points for Elversberg behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Hoffenheim behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
3.20 League goals per match
24.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Elversberg, the right bar represents Hoffenheim.

On the ball

20 matches
12.5
shots
15.53
8.0
shots on target
5.41
64.0%
accuracy
34.8%
3.75
corners
6.63
11.5
fouls
13.0
2.0
yellow cards
2.41

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Elversberg DLLWW 1.40 1.80–1.80 1D
Hoffenheim LWWLLLWDWW 1.60 1.70–2.00 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Elversberg1 12 10
Hoffenheim9 55 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Elversberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hoffenheim

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

European football: Lamine Yamal keeps Barcelona perfect, Leipzig rout Hamburg The Guardian 09-13
Elversberg and ‘miracle village’ prove that Bundesliga fairytales still exist | Andy Brassell The Guardian 08-31