Waterford

Waterford

VS Scheduled Tuesday 15 Sep 202619:45

Ireland 2026 Premier Division · Matchday 30

Derry City

Head-to-head overview

26 meetings

WaterfordWins: 8
Draws19.2% of meetings: 5
Derry CityWins: 13

Goals per match: 3.31
Over 2.5 goals: 69.2%
Both teams scored: 61.5%

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-14	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-07-03	2026	Derry City2–4Waterford
2026-05-15	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-02-27	2026	Derry City4–2Waterford
2025-10-17	2025	Waterford1–2Derry City
2025-07-04	2025	Derry City7–2Waterford
2025-04-25	2025	Waterford2–1Derry City
2025-02-28	2025	Derry City1–2Waterford
2024-08-23	2024	Waterford0–1Derry City
2024-06-03	2024	Derry City3–0Waterford
2024-04-26	2024	Waterford0–2Derry City
2024-03-08	2024	Derry City3–0Waterford
2021-11-02	2021	Waterford2–2Derry City
2021-07-02	2021	Derry City2–0Waterford
2021-05-21	2021	Waterford0–1Derry City
2021-04-03	2021	Derry City1–2Waterford
2020-10-02	2020	Derry City2–0Waterford
2020-03-06	2020	Waterford2–1Derry City
2019-08-30	2019	Waterford1–1Derry City
2019-07-29	2019	Derry City2–0Waterford
2019-04-22	2019	Waterford2–2Derry City
2019-02-25	2019	Derry City3–2Waterford
2018-08-17	2018	Derry City1–2Waterford
2018-05-25	2018	Waterford4–0Derry City
2018-04-13	2018	Derry City1–0Waterford
2018-02-16	2018	Waterford2–1Derry City

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Shamrock Rovers3–2Waterford
2026-09-14	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-09-11	2026	Waterford1–1Dundalk
2026-08-28	2026	St. Patricks0–2Waterford
2026-08-21	2026	Sligo Rovers0–0Waterford
2026-08-09	2026	Waterford3–1Bohemians
2026-08-02	2026	Waterford1–0Shelbourne
2026-07-25	2026	Galway0–0Waterford

Derry City

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Derry City1–0Galway
2026-09-14	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-09-11	2026	Shelbourne0–1Derry City
2026-08-30	2026	Derry City3–3Shamrock Rovers
2026-08-21	2026	Bohemians5–3Derry City
2026-08-07	2026	Derry City2–0Sligo Rovers
2026-08-02	2026	St. Patricks1–1Derry City
2026-07-03	2026	Derry City2–4Waterford

Waterford Derry City

Wins

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Waterford

Home · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Waterford	0–2	St. Patricks	1	28′ Away
8	Waterford	1–1	St. Patricks	1	40′ Home
8	Waterford	1–1	Shamrock Rovers	2	70′ Home
8	Waterford	0–2	Shamrock Rovers	2	37′ Away
8	Waterford	0–1	Bohemians	3	18′ Away
8	Waterford	3–1	Bohemians	3	21′ Home
8	Waterford	2–2	Derry City	4	19′ Away
8	Waterford	2–2	Derry City	4	9′ Away
8	Waterford	3–3	Dundalk	5	14′ Away
8	Waterford	1–1	Dundalk	5	—
8	Waterford	1–1	Shelbourne	6	13′ Away
8	Waterford	1–0	Shelbourne	6	48′ Home
8	Waterford	1–1	Galway	7	42′ Away
8 · Waterford
8	Waterford	2–1	Drogheda	9	6′ Away
8	Waterford	0–0	Sligo Rovers	10	–
8	Waterford	4–0	Sligo Rovers	10	26′ Home

Derry City

Away · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Patricks	0–0	Derry City	4	–
1	St. Patricks	1–1	Derry City	4	27′ Home
2	Shamrock Rovers	1–0	Derry City	4	81′ Home
2	Shamrock Rovers	1–1	Derry City	4	25′ Away
3	Bohemians	1–1	Derry City	4	39′ Away
3	Bohemians	5–3	Derry City	4	34′ Away
4 · Derry City
5	Dundalk	2–2	Derry City	4	14′ Away
5	Dundalk	2–1	Derry City	4	20′ Home
6	Shelbourne	1–2	Derry City	4	20′ Away
6	Shelbourne	0–1	Derry City	4	90+3′ Away
7	Galway	2–1	Derry City	4	16′ Home
7	Galway	2–1	Derry City	4	24′ Home
8	Waterford	2–2	Derry City	4	19′ Away
8	Waterford	2–2	Derry City	4	9′ Away
9	Drogheda	1–0	Derry City	4	55′ Home
10	Sligo Rovers	0–0	Derry City	4	–

Waterford Home Derry City Away

Wins

25%

12%

Over 1.5

81%

69%

Over 2.5

38%

50%

Over 3.5

31%

25%

Both teams scored

62%

69%

Clean sheets

19%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Division · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Waterford

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.31	0.81	1.06
Draws	56.2%	25.0%	40.6%
Goals scored / match	1.38	1.38	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.19	2.19	1.69
Total goals / match	2.56	3.56	3.06
Failed to score	25.0%	37.5%	31.2%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	43.8%	53.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Derry City

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.69	0.88	1.28
Draws	37.5%	50.0%	43.8%
Goals scored / match	1.69	1.12	1.41
Goals conceded / match	1.19	1.44	1.31
Total goals / match	2.88	2.56	2.72
Failed to score	18.8%	25.0%	21.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 8	75%
Scores first → wins	2 of 8	25%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 6	0%

Scoring order known: 16/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	3	4
31–45	3	2
46–60	2	10
61–75	4	0
76–90	4	7

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Waterford	Draw	Derry City	How it works
Strength (Elo)	34.1%	29.0%	36.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	33.1%	22.1%	42.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.62–1.87 Model expected goals

65.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

66.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.2%

1-28.6%

2-17.5%

2-27.0%

0-15.7%

1-35.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Waterford	Derry City	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1508	1567	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	71	11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1553	1537	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Waterford	0.80	0.95	0.65	0.85
Derry City	0.60	0.85	0.40	0.90

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Waterford	8%	8%	38%	15%	32%
Derry City	10%	20%	20%	20%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Waterford at home, 10 matches

0.80 Derry City away, 10 matches

1d Days of rest for Waterford

1d Days of rest for Derry City

— Manager of Waterford

— Manager of Derry City

2 Matches for Waterford in the last 14 days

2 Matches for Derry City in the last 14 days

25 Points for Waterford behind the leaders, and -4 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Derry City behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Waterford, the right bar represents Derry City.

On the ball

20 matches

5.65

corners

5.63

14.4

fouls

11.85

2.76

yellow cards

2.79

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Waterford	LDDWDWWDDW	1.70	1.60–1.00	1L
Derry City	WDWDLWDLWD	1.60	1.80–1.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Waterford	6	9	5	1	3
Derry City	8	7	5	0	5

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Waterford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Derry City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.