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Lille
VS Scheduled France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 7
Brest

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings
LilleWins
4
Draws46.2% of meetings
6
BrestWins
3
Goals per match
2.31
Over 2.5 goals
30.8%
Both teams scored
53.8%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-14 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Lille1–1Brest
2025-08-17 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Brest3–3Lille
2025-05-10 France, Ligue 1 24/25 Brest2–0Lille
2024-12-06 France, Ligue 1 24/25 Lille3–1Brest
2024-03-17 France, Ligue 1 23/24 Brest1–1Lille
2023-10-22 France, Ligue 1 23/24 Lille1–0Brest
2023-02-24 France, Ligue 1 22/23 Lille2–1Brest
2023-01-11 France, Ligue 1 22/23 Brest0–0Lille
Recent matches

Lille

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Nice2–1Lille
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-13 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-03 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Toulouse0–1Lille
2026-08-28 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Lille2–2Paris SG
2026-08-23 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Angers0–2Lille
2026-05-17 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Lille0–2Auxerre
2026-05-10 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Monaco0–1Lille

Brest

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Auxerre2–1Brest
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Brest0–1Paris SG
2026-09-13 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Brest0–1Paris SG
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Havre1–2Brest
2026-08-29 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Brest2–2Toulouse
2026-08-22 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Brest
2026-05-17 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Brest1–1Angers
2026-05-13 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Brest1–2Strasbourg
Lille Brest

Wins

62%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

25%
62%

Both teams scored

25%
75%

Clean sheets

62%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lille

Home · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
2 Lille Monaco 1
2 · Lille
2 Lille Lyon 3
2 Lille Paris FC 4
2 Lille 2–2 Paris SG 5 21′ Home
2 Lille Rennes 6
2 Lille Auxerre 7
2 Lille Angers 8
2 Lille Strasbourg 9
2 Lille Le Mans 10
2 Lille Lorient 11
2 Lille Toulouse 12
2 Lille Lens 13
2 Lille Brest 14
2 Lille Nice 15
2 Lille 2–0 Troyes 16 18′ Home
2 Lille 2–0 Troyes 16 —
2 Lille Marseille 17
2 Lille Le Havre 18

Brest

Away · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
1 Monaco Brest 14
2 Lille Brest 14
3 Lyon Brest 14
4 Paris FC Brest 14
5 Paris SG Brest 14
6 Rennes Brest 14
7 Auxerre 2–1 Brest 14 —
8 Angers Brest 14
9 Strasbourg Brest 14
10 Le Mans 2–2 Brest 14 31′ Away
11 Lorient Brest 14
12 Toulouse Brest 14
13 Lens Brest 14
14 · Brest
15 Nice Brest 14
16 Troyes Brest 14
17 Marseille Brest 14
18 Le Havre 1–2 Brest 14 12′ Away
Lille Home Brest Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lille

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.332.002.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.001.331.67
Goals conceded / match0.670.670.67
Total goals / match2.672.002.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Brest

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.331.330.83
Draws33.3%33.3%33.3%
Goals scored / match0.671.671.17
Goals conceded / match1.331.671.50
Total goals / match2.003.332.67
Failed to score66.7%0.0%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%0.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLilleDraw BrestHow it works
Strength (Elo) 59.6% 18.2% 22.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 58.2% 27.6% 13.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.39–0.52 Model expected goals
29.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals
30.2% Both teams to score
1-0 Most likely score, at 20.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-020.6%
0-014.9%
2-014.3%
1-110.7%
0-17.7%
2-17.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLilleBrest How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1605 1474 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -17 -37 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1507 1533 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.8% 45.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 60.5% 45.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1118 1008 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.5% 35.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 82.4% 65.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Lille 0.530.84 0.210.37
Brest 0.630.63 0.630.95

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Lille 5%28%30%18%20%
Brest 5%15%28%22%30%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Lille at home, 10 matches
0.90 Brest away, 10 matches
27d Days of rest for Lille
27d Days of rest for Brest
— Manager of Lille
— Manager of Brest
0 Matches for Lille in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Brest in the last 14 days
1 Points for Lille behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone
9 Points for Brest behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.86 League goals per match
23.1% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lille, the right bar represents Brest.

On the ball

20 matches
12.24
shots
12.71
4.59
shots on target
3.82
37.5%
accuracy
30.1%
4.63
corners
3.89
9.68
fouls
11.63
2.17
yellow cards
1.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Lille LWWWDWLWDW 2.00 1.30–0.70 1L
Brest LLLWDDDLLL 0.60 0.90–1.70 3L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Lille8 83 11
Brest5 77 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lille

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Brest

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.