Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- BrestWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Paris FCWins
- 2
- Goals per match
- 3.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 |
25/26
|
Paris FC4–0Brest |
| 2025-09-14 |
25/26
|
Brest1–2Paris FC |
Recent matches
Brest
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Auxerre2–1Brest |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Brest0–1Paris SG |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Brest0–1Paris SG |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Le Havre1–2Brest |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Brest2–2Toulouse |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Le Mans2–2Brest |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Brest1–1Angers |
| 2026-05-13 |
25/26
|
Brest1–2Strasbourg |
Paris FC
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Paris FC2–1Strasbourg |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Paris FC0–0Lyon |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Paris FC0–0Lyon |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Marseille2–3Paris FC |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Paris FC3–0Nice |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Troyes0–0Paris FC |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Paris FC2–1Paris SG |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Rennes2–1Paris FC |
Brest
Paris FC
Wins
12%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
62%
Both teams scored
75%
50%
Clean sheets
0%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Brest
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Brest | Monaco | 1 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Lille | 2 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Lyon | 3 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 14 | Brest | 0–1 | Paris SG | 5 | 5′ Away |
| 14 | Brest | 0–1 | Paris SG | 5 | — |
| 14 | Brest | Rennes | 6 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Auxerre | 7 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Angers | 8 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Strasbourg | 9 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Le Mans | 10 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Lorient | 11 | ||
| 14 | Brest | 2–2 | Toulouse | 12 | 9′ Away |
| 14 | Brest | Lens | 13 | ||
| 14 · Brest | |||||
| 14 | Brest | Nice | 15 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Troyes | 16 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Marseille | 17 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Le Havre | 18 | ||
Paris FC
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 2 | Lille | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 3 | Lyon | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 4 · Paris FC | |||||
| 5 | Paris SG | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 6 | Rennes | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 7 | Auxerre | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 8 | Angers | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 9 | Strasbourg | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 10 | Le Mans | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 11 | Lorient | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 13 | Lens | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 15 | Nice | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 16 | Troyes | 0–0 | Paris FC | 4 | – |
| 17 | Marseille | 2–3 | Paris FC | 4 | 1′ Away |
| 18 | Le Havre | Paris FC | 4 | ||
Brest Home
Paris FC Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Brest
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.33 | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| Failed to score | 66.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 02 of 3 | —67% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 01 of 3 | —33% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 30 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Paris FC
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away2 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Total goals / match | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 13 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 13 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/2 away.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Brest | Draw | Paris FC | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 32.8% | 23.8% | 43.4% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 15.3% | 23.2% | 60.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.73–1.73
Model expected goals
43.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
42.2%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 14.8%
Most likely scores
0-114.8%
0-212.8%
1-110.8%
1-29.3%
0-08.5%
0-37.4%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Brest | Paris FC | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1474 | 1562 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -37 | 40 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1533 | 1549 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 45.8% | 47.4% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 45.5% | 52.3% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1008 | 1093 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 35.4% | 34.6% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 65.4% | 74.6% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.95 |
| Paris FC | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 5% | 15% | 28% | 22% | 30% |
| Paris FC | 18% | 12% | 15% | 25% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.20
Brest at home, 10 matches
1.33
Paris FC away, 9 matches
68d
Days of rest for Brest
69d
Days of rest for Paris FC
—
Manager of Brest
Liam Rosenior
Manager of Paris FC,
since 07/07/26
0
Matches for Brest in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Paris FC in the last 14 days
9
Points for Brest behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2
Points for Paris FC behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.86
League goals per match
23.1%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Brest, the right bar represents Paris FC.
On the ball
12.71
12.29
shots
3.82
4.59
shots on target
30.1%
37.3%
accuracy
3.89
4.22
corners
11.63
10.68
fouls
1.5
2.22
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | LLLWDDDLLL | 0.60 | 0.90–1.70 | 3L |
| Paris FC | WDDWWDWLWL | 1.80 | 1.50–0.70 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brest | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Paris FC | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Brest
No absences reported.
Paris FC
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.