Le Mans

Le Mans

VS Scheduled Saturday 2 Jan 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 15

Lyon

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05	26/27	Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30	26/27	Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22	26/27	Le Mans2–2Brest

Lyon

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Lyon4–0Rennes
2026-09-13	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-12	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-04	26/27	Lyon3–1Auxerre
2026-08-29	26/27	Lyon1–1Le Havre
2026-08-22	26/27	Toulouse0–2Lyon
2026-05-17	25/26	Lyon0–4Lens
2026-05-10	25/26	Toulouse2–1Lyon

Le Mans Lyon

Wins

17%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Le Mans

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Le Mans		Monaco	1
10	Le Mans		Lille	2
10	Le Mans		Lyon	3
10	Le Mans		Paris FC	4
10	Le Mans		Paris SG	5
10	Le Mans		Rennes	6
10	Le Mans		Auxerre	7
10	Le Mans		Angers	8
10	Le Mans		Strasbourg	9
10 · Le Mans
10	Le Mans	2–1	Lorient	11	3′ Home
10	Le Mans		Toulouse	12
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	32′ Home
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	—
10	Le Mans	2–2	Brest	14	31′ Away
10	Le Mans		Nice	15
10	Le Mans		Troyes	16
10	Le Mans		Marseille	17
10	Le Mans		Le Havre	18

Lyon

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco		Lyon	3
2	Lille		Lyon	3
3 · Lyon
4	Paris FC	0–0	Lyon	3	–
4	Paris FC	0–0	Lyon	3	–
5	Paris SG		Lyon	3
6	Rennes		Lyon	3
7	Auxerre		Lyon	3
8	Angers		Lyon	3
9	Strasbourg		Lyon	3
10	Le Mans		Lyon	3
11	Lorient		Lyon	3
12	Toulouse	0–2	Lyon	3	68′ Away
13	Lens		Lyon	3
14	Brest		Lyon	3
15	Nice		Lyon	3
16	Troyes		Lyon	3
17	Marseille		Lyon	3
18	Le Havre		Lyon	3

Le Mans Home Lyon Away

Wins

25%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

33%

Over 2.5

100%

0%

Over 3.5

75%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

100%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Le Mans

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.83
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	3.75	3.50	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lyon

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.67	2.00
Draws	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	0.67	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.00	0.33
Total goals / match	3.33	0.67	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	100.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Le Mans	Draw	Lyon	How it works
Strength (Elo)	31.3%	23.4%	45.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	22.6%	20.8%	54.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.29–2.12 Model expected goals

63.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.0% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.6%

1-19.0%

0-27.4%

0-17.0%

1-36.8%

2-26.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Le Mans	Lyon	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1504	1608	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	6	-4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1534	1532	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	33.3%	48.9%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	43.3%	50.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1032	1050	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.5%	35.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.7%	69.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Le Mans	1.20	0.60	1.00	0.80
Lyon	0.68	0.89	0.42	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Le Mans	0%	0%	17%	17%	67%
Lyon	15%	20%	12%	20%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Le Mans at home, 4 matches

1.30 Lyon away, 10 matches

105d Days of rest for Le Mans

105d Days of rest for Lyon

— Manager of Le Mans

— Manager of Lyon

0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lyon in the last 14 days

7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Lyon behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Le Mans, the right bar represents Lyon.

On the ball

20 matches

9.33

shots

12.65

4.33

shots on target

4.35

46.4%

accuracy

34.4%

2.6

corners

5.74

14.4

fouls

11.47

1.6

yellow cards

1.78

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Le Mans	WDDDLD	1.17	1.83–1.83	1W
Lyon	WDDWDWLLWW	1.80	1.80–1.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Le Mans	2	2	1	0	1
Lyon	8	8	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lyon

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.