Lille

Lille

VS Scheduled Saturday 23 Jan 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 17

Paris FC

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

LilleWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Paris FCWins: 0

Goals per match: 3.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-26	25/26	Paris FC0–1Lille
2025-11-23	25/26	Lille4–2Paris FC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Nice2–1Lille
2026-09-14	26/27	Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-13	26/27	Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-03	26/27	Toulouse0–1Lille
2026-08-28	26/27	Lille2–2Paris SG
2026-08-23	26/27	Angers0–2Lille
2026-05-17	25/26	Lille0–2Auxerre
2026-05-10	25/26	Monaco0–1Lille

Paris FC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Paris FC2–1Strasbourg
2026-09-13	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-12	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-06	26/27	Marseille2–3Paris FC
2026-08-30	26/27	Paris FC3–0Nice
2026-08-22	26/27	Troyes0–0Paris FC
2026-05-17	25/26	Paris FC2–1Paris SG
2026-05-10	25/26	Rennes2–1Paris FC

Lille Paris FC

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

62%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lille

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Lille		Monaco	1
2 · Lille
2	Lille		Lyon	3
2	Lille		Paris FC	4
2	Lille	2–2	Paris SG	5	21′ Home
2	Lille		Rennes	6
2	Lille		Auxerre	7
2	Lille		Angers	8
2	Lille		Strasbourg	9
2	Lille		Le Mans	10
2	Lille		Lorient	11
2	Lille		Toulouse	12
2	Lille		Lens	13
2	Lille		Brest	14
2	Lille		Nice	15
2	Lille	2–0	Troyes	16	18′ Home
2	Lille	2–0	Troyes	16	—
2	Lille		Marseille	17
2	Lille		Le Havre	18

Paris FC

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco		Paris FC	4
2	Lille		Paris FC	4
3	Lyon		Paris FC	4
4 · Paris FC
5	Paris SG		Paris FC	4
6	Rennes		Paris FC	4
7	Auxerre		Paris FC	4
8	Angers		Paris FC	4
9	Strasbourg		Paris FC	4
10	Le Mans		Paris FC	4
11	Lorient		Paris FC	4
12	Toulouse		Paris FC	4
13	Lens		Paris FC	4
14	Brest		Paris FC	4
15	Nice		Paris FC	4
16	Troyes	0–0	Paris FC	4	–
17	Marseille	2–3	Paris FC	4	1′ Away
18	Le Havre		Paris FC	4

Lille Home Paris FC Away

Wins

67%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

33%

50%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

67%

50%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lille

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.33	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.67	0.67
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Paris FC

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.00	0.50
Total goals / match	1.50	2.50	1.83
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lille	Draw	Paris FC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.7%	22.7%	29.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	38.5%	36.8%	24.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.85–0.62 Model expected goals

18.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

26.3% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 23.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-023.1%

1-019.6%

0-114.2%

1-112.1%

2-08.4%

2-15.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lille	Paris FC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1605	1562	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-17	40	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1549	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	55.8%	47.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	60.5%	52.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1118	1093	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.5%	34.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	82.4%	74.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lille	0.53	0.84	0.21	0.37
Paris FC	0.74	0.79	0.32	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lille	5%	28%	30%	18%	20%
Paris FC	18%	12%	15%	25%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Lille at home, 10 matches

1.33 Paris FC away, 9 matches

125d Days of rest for Lille

126d Days of rest for Paris FC

— Manager of Lille

Liam Rosenior Manager of Paris FC, since 07/07/26

0 Matches for Lille in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Paris FC in the last 14 days

1 Points for Lille behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Paris FC behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lille, the right bar represents Paris FC.

On the ball

20 matches

12.24

shots

12.29

4.59

shots on target

4.59

37.5%

accuracy

37.3%

4.63

corners

4.22

9.68

fouls

10.68

2.17

yellow cards

2.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lille	LWWWDWLWDW	2.00	1.30–0.70	1L
Paris FC	WDDWWDWLWL	1.80	1.50–0.70	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lille	8	8	3	1	1
Paris FC	8	9	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lille

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Paris FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.