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Le Mans
VS Scheduled France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 20
Paris SG
Recent matches

Le Mans

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Brest

Paris SG

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Marseille1–2Paris SG
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Brest0–1Paris SG
2026-09-13 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Brest0–1Paris SG
2026-09-04 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Paris SG1–2Monaco
2026-08-28 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Lille2–2Paris SG
2026-08-23 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Rennes2–2Paris SG
2026-05-17 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Paris FC2–1Paris SG
2026-05-13 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Lens0–2Paris SG
Le Mans Paris SG

Wins

17%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

83%
62%

Both teams scored

100%
62%

Clean sheets

0%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Le Mans

Home · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
10 Le Mans Monaco 1
10 Le Mans Lille 2
10 Le Mans Lyon 3
10 Le Mans Paris FC 4
10 Le Mans Paris SG 5
10 Le Mans Rennes 6
10 Le Mans Auxerre 7
10 Le Mans Angers 8
10 Le Mans Strasbourg 9
10 · Le Mans
10 Le Mans 2–1 Lorient 11 3′ Home
10 Le Mans Toulouse 12
10 Le Mans 2–2 Lens 13 32′ Home
10 Le Mans 2–2 Lens 13 —
10 Le Mans 2–2 Brest 14 31′ Away
10 Le Mans Nice 15
10 Le Mans Troyes 16
10 Le Mans Marseille 17
10 Le Mans Le Havre 18

Paris SG

Away · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
1 Monaco Paris SG 5
2 Lille 2–2 Paris SG 5 21′ Home
3 Lyon Paris SG 5
4 Paris FC Paris SG 5
5 · Paris SG
6 Rennes 2–2 Paris SG 5 9′ Home
7 Auxerre Paris SG 5
8 Angers Paris SG 5
9 Strasbourg Paris SG 5
10 Le Mans Paris SG 5
11 Lorient Paris SG 5
12 Toulouse Paris SG 5
13 Lens Paris SG 5
14 Brest 0–1 Paris SG 5 5′ Away
14 Brest 0–1 Paris SG 5 —
15 Nice Paris SG 5
16 Troyes Paris SG 5
17 Marseille 1–2 Paris SG 5 66′ Away
18 Le Havre Paris SG 5
Le Mans Home Paris SG Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Le Mans

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.500.501.17
Draws75.0%50.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.83
Goals conceded / match1.752.001.83
Total goals / match3.753.503.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Paris SG

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome1 matchesAway5 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.002.201.83
Draws0.0%40.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.001.601.50
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.17
Total goals / match3.002.602.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%40.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLe MansDraw Paris SGHow it works
Strength (Elo) 24.9% 20.2% 54.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 13.0% 15.2% 64.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.17–2.82 Model expected goals
69.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
60.1% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 8.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-28.6%
1-38.1%
0-27.3%
0-36.9%
1-16.1%
1-45.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLe MansParis SG How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1504 1682 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 -62 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1534 1523 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 33.3% 67.6% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.3% 64.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1032 1008 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 38.5% 32.4% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.7% 68.3% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Le Mans 1.200.60 1.000.80
Paris SG 0.841.21 0.470.58

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Le Mans 0%0%17%17%67%
Paris SG 0%25%12%30%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Le Mans at home, 4 matches
2.09 Paris SG away, 11 matches
147d Days of rest for Le Mans
146d Days of rest for Paris SG
— Manager of Le Mans
— Manager of Paris SG
0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Paris SG in the last 14 days
7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
3 Points for Paris SG behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.86 League goals per match
23.1% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Le Mans, the right bar represents Paris SG.

On the ball

20 matches
9.33
shots
18.65
4.33
shots on target
6.53
46.4%
accuracy
35.0%
2.6
corners
6.42
14.4
fouls
7.42
1.6
yellow cards
1.21

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Le Mans WDDDLD 1.17 1.83–1.83 1W
Paris SG WWWLDDLWWD 1.80 1.50–1.10 3W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Le Mans2 21 01
Paris SG10 45 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Paris SG

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.