Monaco

Monaco

VS Scheduled Saturday 20 Feb 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 21

Le Mans

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Monaco2–1Lens
2026-09-13	26/27	Strasbourg1–1Monaco
2026-09-12	26/27	Strasbourg1–1Monaco
2026-09-04	26/27	Paris SG1–2Monaco
2026-08-30	26/27	Monaco2–0Marseille
2026-08-23	26/27	Le Havre0–1Monaco
2026-05-17	25/26	Strasbourg5–4Monaco
2026-05-10	25/26	Monaco0–1Lille

Le Mans

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05	26/27	Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30	26/27	Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22	26/27	Le Mans2–2Brest

Monaco Le Mans

Wins

50%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

83%

Both teams scored

62%

100%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Monaco

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Monaco
1	Monaco		Lille	2
1	Monaco		Lyon	3
1	Monaco		Paris FC	4
1	Monaco		Paris SG	5
1	Monaco		Rennes	6
1	Monaco		Auxerre	7
1	Monaco		Angers	8
1	Monaco		Strasbourg	9
1	Monaco		Le Mans	10
1	Monaco		Lorient	11
1	Monaco		Toulouse	12
1	Monaco	2–1	Lens	13	—
1	Monaco		Brest	14
1	Monaco		Nice	15
1	Monaco		Troyes	16
1	Monaco	2–0	Marseille	17	13′ Home
1	Monaco		Le Havre	18

Le Mans

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco		Le Mans	10
2	Lille		Le Mans	10
3	Lyon		Le Mans	10
4	Paris FC		Le Mans	10
5	Paris SG		Le Mans	10
6	Rennes	3–2	Le Mans	10	5′ Home
7	Auxerre		Le Mans	10
8	Angers		Le Mans	10
9	Strasbourg		Le Mans	10
10 · Le Mans
11	Lorient		Le Mans	10
12	Toulouse		Le Mans	10
13	Lens		Le Mans	10
14	Brest		Le Mans	10
15	Nice	1–1	Le Mans	10	13′ Away
16	Troyes		Le Mans	10
17	Marseille		Le Mans	10
18	Le Havre		Le Mans	10

Monaco Home Le Mans Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

100%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Monaco

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.33
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.25	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.67
Total goals / match	2.50	2.00	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Le Mans

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.83
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	3.75	3.50	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Monaco	Draw	Le Mans	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.6%	19.9%	24.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	45.2%	20.5%	31.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.17–1.77 Model expected goals

71.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.6% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 8.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-18.1%

1-17.5%

2-27.2%

1-26.6%

3-15.9%

3-25.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Monaco	Le Mans	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1606	1504	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	8	6	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1550	1534	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.7%	33.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.9%	43.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1125	1032	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	40.7%	38.5%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	71.8%	64.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Monaco	0.74	1.16	0.53	0.74
Le Mans	1.20	0.60	1.00	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Monaco	5%	20%	15%	15%	45%
Le Mans	0%	0%	17%	17%	67%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.38 Monaco at home, 8 matches

0.50 Le Mans away, 2 matches

155d Days of rest for Monaco

154d Days of rest for Le Mans

— Manager of Monaco

— Manager of Le Mans

0 Matches for Monaco in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days

0 Points for Monaco behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Monaco, the right bar represents Le Mans.

On the ball

20 matches

12.12

shots

9.33

4.76

shots on target

4.33

39.3%

accuracy

46.4%

5.05

corners

2.6

11.79

fouls

14.4

1.94

yellow cards

1.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Monaco	WDDWWWLLWD	1.80	1.70–1.30	1W
Le Mans	WDDDLD	1.17	1.83–1.83	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Monaco	8	6	5	3	2
Le Mans	2	2	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Monaco

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.