Le Mans

Le Mans

VS Scheduled Saturday 27 Feb 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 22

Paris FC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05	26/27	Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30	26/27	Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22	26/27	Le Mans2–2Brest

Paris FC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Paris FC2–1Strasbourg
2026-09-13	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-12	26/27	Paris FC0–0Lyon
2026-09-06	26/27	Marseille2–3Paris FC
2026-08-30	26/27	Paris FC3–0Nice
2026-08-22	26/27	Troyes0–0Paris FC
2026-05-17	25/26	Paris FC2–1Paris SG
2026-05-10	25/26	Rennes2–1Paris FC

Le Mans Paris FC

Wins

17%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

62%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Le Mans

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Le Mans		Monaco	1
10	Le Mans		Lille	2
10	Le Mans		Lyon	3
10	Le Mans		Paris FC	4
10	Le Mans		Paris SG	5
10	Le Mans		Rennes	6
10	Le Mans		Auxerre	7
10	Le Mans		Angers	8
10	Le Mans		Strasbourg	9
10 · Le Mans
10	Le Mans	2–1	Lorient	11	3′ Home
10	Le Mans		Toulouse	12
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	32′ Home
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	—
10	Le Mans	2–2	Brest	14	31′ Away
10	Le Mans		Nice	15
10	Le Mans		Troyes	16
10	Le Mans		Marseille	17
10	Le Mans		Le Havre	18

Paris FC

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco		Paris FC	4
2	Lille		Paris FC	4
3	Lyon		Paris FC	4
4 · Paris FC
5	Paris SG		Paris FC	4
6	Rennes		Paris FC	4
7	Auxerre		Paris FC	4
8	Angers		Paris FC	4
9	Strasbourg		Paris FC	4
10	Le Mans		Paris FC	4
11	Lorient		Paris FC	4
12	Toulouse		Paris FC	4
13	Lens		Paris FC	4
14	Brest		Paris FC	4
15	Nice		Paris FC	4
16	Troyes	0–0	Paris FC	4	–
17	Marseille	2–3	Paris FC	4	1′ Away
18	Le Havre		Paris FC	4

Le Mans Home Paris FC Away

Wins

25%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

75%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Le Mans

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.83
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	3.75	3.50	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Paris FC

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.50	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.00	0.50
Total goals / match	1.50	2.50	1.83
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Le Mans	Draw	Paris FC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.9%	24.3%	39.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.9%	21.0%	57.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.11–2.05 Model expected goals

59.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.1% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.9%

1-19.7%

0-28.9%

0-18.7%

1-36.8%

0-36.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Le Mans	Paris FC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1504	1562	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	6	40	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1534	1549	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	33.3%	47.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	43.3%	52.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1032	1093	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.5%	34.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.7%	74.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Le Mans	1.20	0.60	1.00	0.80
Paris FC	0.74	0.79	0.32	0.68

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Le Mans	0%	0%	17%	17%	67%
Paris FC	18%	12%	15%	25%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Le Mans at home, 4 matches

1.33 Paris FC away, 9 matches

161d Days of rest for Le Mans

161d Days of rest for Paris FC

— Manager of Le Mans

Liam Rosenior Manager of Paris FC, since 07/07/26

0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Paris FC in the last 14 days

7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Paris FC behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Le Mans, the right bar represents Paris FC.

On the ball

20 matches

9.33

shots

12.29

4.33

shots on target

4.59

46.4%

accuracy

37.3%

2.6

corners

4.22

14.4

fouls

10.68

1.6

yellow cards

2.22

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Le Mans	WDDDLD	1.17	1.83–1.83	1W
Paris FC	WDDWWDWLWL	1.80	1.50–0.70	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Le Mans	2	2	1	0	1
Paris FC	8	9	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Paris FC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.