Lille

Lille

VS Scheduled Saturday 6 Mar 202700:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 23

Marseille

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

LilleWins: 8
Draws27.8% of meetings: 5
MarseilleWins: 5

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 66.7%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-22	25/26	Marseille1–2Lille
2025-12-05	25/26	Lille1–0Marseille
2025-05-04	24/25	Lille1–1Marseille
2024-12-14	24/25	Marseille1–1Lille
2024-04-05	23/24	Lille3–1Marseille
2023-11-04	23/24	Marseille0–0Lille
2023-05-20	22/23	Lille2–1Marseille
2022-09-10	22/23	Marseille2–1Lille
2022-01-16	21/22	Marseille1–1Lille
2021-10-03	21/22	Lille2–0Marseille
2021-03-03	20/21	Lille2–0Marseille
2020-09-20	20/21	Marseille1–1Lille
2020-02-16	19/20	Lille1–2Marseille
2019-11-02	19/20	Marseille2–1Lille
2019-01-25	18/19	Marseille1–2Lille
2018-09-30	18/19	Lille3–0Marseille
2018-04-21	17/18	Marseille5–1Lille
2017-10-29	17/18	Lille0–1Marseille

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Nice2–1Lille
2026-09-14	26/27	Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-13	26/27	Lille2–0Troyes
2026-09-03	26/27	Toulouse0–1Lille
2026-08-28	26/27	Lille2–2Paris SG
2026-08-23	26/27	Angers0–2Lille
2026-05-17	25/26	Lille0–2Auxerre
2026-05-10	25/26	Monaco0–1Lille

Marseille

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Marseille1–2Paris SG
2026-09-11	26/27	Rennes1–0Marseille
2026-09-06	26/27	Marseille2–3Paris FC
2026-08-30	26/27	Monaco2–0Marseille
2026-08-21	26/27	Marseille4–0Strasbourg
2026-05-17	25/26	Marseille3–1Rennes
2026-05-10	25/26	Le Havre0–1Marseille
2026-05-02	25/26	Nantes3–0Marseille

Lille Marseille

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

38%

Clean sheets

62%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lille

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Lille		Monaco	1
2 · Lille
2	Lille		Lyon	3
2	Lille		Paris FC	4
2	Lille	2–2	Paris SG	5	21′ Home
2	Lille		Rennes	6
2	Lille		Auxerre	7
2	Lille		Angers	8
2	Lille		Strasbourg	9
2	Lille		Le Mans	10
2	Lille		Lorient	11
2	Lille		Toulouse	12
2	Lille		Lens	13
2	Lille		Brest	14
2	Lille		Nice	15
2	Lille	2–0	Troyes	16	18′ Home
2	Lille	2–0	Troyes	16	—
2	Lille		Marseille	17
2	Lille		Le Havre	18

Marseille

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco	2–0	Marseille	17	13′ Home
2	Lille		Marseille	17
3	Lyon		Marseille	17
4	Paris FC		Marseille	17
5	Paris SG		Marseille	17
6	Rennes	1–0	Marseille	17	52′ Home
7	Auxerre		Marseille	17
8	Angers		Marseille	17
9	Strasbourg		Marseille	17
10	Le Mans		Marseille	17
11	Lorient		Marseille	17
12	Toulouse		Marseille	17
13	Lens		Marseille	17
14	Brest		Marseille	17
15	Nice		Marseille	17
16	Troyes		Marseille	17
17 · Marseille
18	Le Havre		Marseille	17

Lille Home Marseille Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

33%

0%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

100%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lille

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.33	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.67	0.67
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Marseille

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.00	0.60
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Total goals / match	4.00	1.50	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	100.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	2
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lille	Draw	Marseille	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.5%	21.8%	27.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	59.6%	26.2%	13.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.48–0.55 Model expected goals

32.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

32.6% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 19.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-019.4%

2-014.3%

0-013.1%

1-110.7%

2-17.9%

0-17.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lille	Marseille	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1605	1541	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-17	-72	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1539	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	55.8%	56.7%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	60.5%	56.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1118	849	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.5%	26.0%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	82.4%	58.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lille	0.53	0.84	0.21	0.37
Marseille	0.40	0.90	0.45	1.20

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lille	5%	28%	30%	18%	20%
Marseille	0%	25%	12%	20%	42%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.70 Lille at home, 10 matches

0.70 Marseille away, 10 matches

167d Days of rest for Lille

167d Days of rest for Marseille

— Manager of Lille

— Manager of Marseille

0 Matches for Lille in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Marseille in the last 14 days

1 Points for Lille behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Marseille behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lille, the right bar represents Marseille.

On the ball

20 matches

12.24

shots

15.61

4.59

shots on target

5.33

37.5%

accuracy

34.2%

4.63

corners

5.1

9.68

fouls

12.35

2.17

yellow cards

2.6

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lille	LWWWDWLWDW	2.00	1.30–0.70	1L
Marseille	LLLLWWWLDL	1.00	1.20–1.50	4L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lille	8	8	3	1	1
Marseille	6	8	6	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lille

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Marseille

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.