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Le Mans
VS Scheduled France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 26
Marseille
Recent matches

Le Mans

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Le Mans2–2Brest

Marseille

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Marseille1–2Paris SG
2026-09-11 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Rennes1–0Marseille
2026-09-06 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Marseille2–3Paris FC
2026-08-30 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Monaco2–0Marseille
2026-08-21 France, Ligue 1 26/27 Marseille4–0Strasbourg
2026-05-17 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Marseille3–1Rennes
2026-05-10 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Le Havre0–1Marseille
2026-05-02 France, Ligue 1 25/26 Nantes3–0Marseille
Le Mans Marseille

Wins

17%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

83%
62%

Both teams scored

100%
38%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Le Mans

Home · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
10 Le Mans Monaco 1
10 Le Mans Lille 2
10 Le Mans Lyon 3
10 Le Mans Paris FC 4
10 Le Mans Paris SG 5
10 Le Mans Rennes 6
10 Le Mans Auxerre 7
10 Le Mans Angers 8
10 Le Mans Strasbourg 9
10 · Le Mans
10 Le Mans 2–1 Lorient 11 3′ Home
10 Le Mans Toulouse 12
10 Le Mans 2–2 Lens 13 32′ Home
10 Le Mans 2–2 Lens 13 —
10 Le Mans 2–2 Brest 14 31′ Away
10 Le Mans Nice 15
10 Le Mans Troyes 16
10 Le Mans Marseille 17
10 Le Mans Le Havre 18

Marseille

Away · Ligue 1
HomeAway1st goal
1 Monaco 2–0 Marseille 17 13′ Home
2 Lille Marseille 17
3 Lyon Marseille 17
4 Paris FC Marseille 17
5 Paris SG Marseille 17
6 Rennes 1–0 Marseille 17 52′ Home
7 Auxerre Marseille 17
8 Angers Marseille 17
9 Strasbourg Marseille 17
10 Le Mans Marseille 17
11 Lorient Marseille 17
12 Toulouse Marseille 17
13 Lens Marseille 17
14 Brest Marseille 17
15 Nice Marseille 17
16 Troyes Marseille 17
17 · Marseille
18 Le Havre Marseille 17
Le Mans Home Marseille Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Le Mans

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.500.501.17
Draws75.0%50.0%66.7%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.83
Goals conceded / match1.752.001.83
Total goals / match3.753.503.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Marseille

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.000.000.60
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match2.330.001.40
Goals conceded / match1.671.501.60
Total goals / match4.001.503.00
Failed to score0.0%100.0%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4500
46–6002
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLe MansDraw MarseilleHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.2% 24.4% 37.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 39.8% 21.4% 36.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.93–1.84 Model expected goals
70.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
69.7% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 8.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-18.2%
2-17.9%
1-27.5%
2-27.3%
3-15.1%
3-24.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLe MansMarseille How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1504 1541 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 6 -72 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1534 1539 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 33.3% 56.7% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 43.3% 56.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1032 849 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 38.5% 26.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 64.7% 58.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Le Mans 1.200.60 1.000.80
Marseille 0.400.90 0.451.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Le Mans 0%0%17%17%67%
Marseille 0%25%12%20%42%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Le Mans at home, 4 matches
0.70 Marseille away, 10 matches
196d Days of rest for Le Mans
195d Days of rest for Marseille
— Manager of Le Mans
— Manager of Marseille
0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Marseille in the last 14 days
7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Marseille behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.86 League goals per match
23.1% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Le Mans, the right bar represents Marseille.

On the ball

20 matches
9.33
shots
15.61
4.33
shots on target
5.33
46.4%
accuracy
34.2%
2.6
corners
5.1
14.4
fouls
12.35
1.6
yellow cards
2.6

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Le Mans WDDDLD 1.17 1.83–1.83 1W
Marseille LLLLWWWLDL 1.00 1.20–1.50 4L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Le Mans2 21 01
Marseille6 86 13
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Marseille

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.