Head-to-head overview
2 meetings- ToulouseWins
- 1
- Draws50.0% of meetings
- 1
- Paris FCWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 2.50
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.0%
- Both teams scored
- 50.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 |
25/26
|
Toulouse1–1Paris FC |
| 2025-12-13 |
25/26
|
Paris FC0–3Toulouse |
Recent matches
Toulouse
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Toulouse3–2Le Havre |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Lorient2–2Toulouse |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Lorient2–2Toulouse |
| 2026-09-03 |
26/27
|
Toulouse0–1Lille |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Brest2–2Toulouse |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Toulouse0–2Lyon |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Nantes0–0Toulouse |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Toulouse2–1Lyon |
Paris FC
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Paris FC2–1Strasbourg |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Paris FC0–0Lyon |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Paris FC0–0Lyon |
| 2026-09-06 |
26/27
|
Marseille2–3Paris FC |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Paris FC3–0Nice |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Troyes0–0Paris FC |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Paris FC2–1Paris SG |
| 2026-05-10 |
25/26
|
Rennes2–1Paris FC |
Toulouse
Paris FC
Wins
25%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
62%
62%
Both teams scored
62%
50%
Clean sheets
12%
50%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Toulouse
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Toulouse | Monaco | 1 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | 0–1 | Lille | 2 | 73′ Away |
| 12 | Toulouse | 0–2 | Lyon | 3 | 68′ Away |
| 12 | Toulouse | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Paris SG | 5 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Rennes | 6 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Auxerre | 7 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Angers | 8 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Strasbourg | 9 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Le Mans | 10 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Lorient | 11 | ||
| 12 · Toulouse | |||||
| 12 | Toulouse | Lens | 13 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Brest | 14 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Nice | 15 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Troyes | 16 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Marseille | 17 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | 3–2 | Le Havre | 18 | 49′ Home |
Paris FC
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 2 | Lille | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 3 | Lyon | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 4 · Paris FC | |||||
| 5 | Paris SG | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 6 | Rennes | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 7 | Auxerre | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 8 | Angers | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 9 | Strasbourg | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 10 | Le Mans | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 11 | Lorient | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 12 | Toulouse | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 13 | Lens | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 14 | Brest | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 15 | Nice | Paris FC | 4 | ||
| 16 | Troyes | 0–0 | Paris FC | 4 | – |
| 17 | Marseille | 2–3 | Paris FC | 4 | 1′ Away |
| 18 | Le Havre | Paris FC | 4 | ||
Toulouse Home
Paris FC Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Toulouse
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away3 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 100.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.83 |
| Total goals / match | 2.67 | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| Failed to score | 66.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 1— | 0%— |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 1— | 100%— |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 2— | 0%— |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 5/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 2 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 3 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 2 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Paris FC
| Goals & results | Home4 matches | Away2 matches | Overall6 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Draws | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.25 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Total goals / match | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.83 |
| Failed to score | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 13 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 13 of 3 | 100%100% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 00 of 0 | —— |
Scoring order known: 2/2 away.Scoring order known: 6/6 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 0 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 0 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 0 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Toulouse | Draw | Paris FC | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 36.1% | 24.3% | 39.6% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 14.2% | 21.4% | 63.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.76–1.90
Model expected goals
48.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.6%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 13.3%
Most likely scores
0-113.3%
0-212.6%
1-110.1%
1-29.6%
0-38.0%
0-07.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Toulouse | Paris FC | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1506 | 1562 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 7 | 40 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1539 | 1549 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 50.6% | 47.4% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 47.7% | 52.3% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 898 | 1093 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 24.3% | 34.6% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 65.4% | 74.6% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 0.53 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 0.89 |
| Paris FC | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.32 | 0.68 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 8% | 25% | 12% | 18% | 38% |
| Paris FC | 18% | 12% | 15% | 25% | 30% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.22
Toulouse at home, 9 matches
1.33
Paris FC away, 9 matches
210d
Days of rest for Toulouse
210d
Days of rest for Paris FC
—
Manager of Toulouse
Liam Rosenior
Manager of Paris FC,
since 07/07/26
0
Matches for Toulouse in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Paris FC in the last 14 days
8
Points for Toulouse behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
2
Points for Paris FC behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
2.86
League goals per match
23.1%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Toulouse, the right bar represents Paris FC.
On the ball
13.41
12.29
shots
4.35
4.59
shots on target
32.5%
37.3%
accuracy
4.37
4.22
corners
14.53
10.68
fouls
2.28
2.22
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | WDDLDLDWWD | 1.40 | 1.50–1.50 | 1W |
| Paris FC | WDDWWDWLWL | 1.80 | 1.50–0.70 | 1W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 3 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Paris FC | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Toulouse
No absences reported.
Paris FC
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.