Le Mans

Le Mans

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Apr 202701:00

France 26/27 Ligue 1 · Matchday 29

Le Havre

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Le Mans2–1Lorient
2026-09-14	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-13	26/27	Le Mans2–2Lens
2026-09-05	26/27	Nice1–1Le Mans
2026-08-30	26/27	Rennes3–2Le Mans
2026-08-22	26/27	Le Mans2–2Brest

Le Havre

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Toulouse3–2Le Havre
2026-09-13	26/27	Le Havre0–0Angers
2026-09-12	26/27	Le Havre0–0Angers
2026-09-05	26/27	Le Havre1–2Brest
2026-08-29	26/27	Lyon1–1Le Havre
2026-08-23	26/27	Le Havre0–1Monaco
2026-05-17	25/26	Lorient0–2Le Havre
2026-05-10	25/26	Le Havre0–1Marseille

Le Mans Le Havre

Wins

17%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Le Mans

Home · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Le Mans		Monaco	1
10	Le Mans		Lille	2
10	Le Mans		Lyon	3
10	Le Mans		Paris FC	4
10	Le Mans		Paris SG	5
10	Le Mans		Rennes	6
10	Le Mans		Auxerre	7
10	Le Mans		Angers	8
10	Le Mans		Strasbourg	9
10 · Le Mans
10	Le Mans	2–1	Lorient	11	3′ Home
10	Le Mans		Toulouse	12
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	32′ Home
10	Le Mans	2–2	Lens	13	—
10	Le Mans	2–2	Brest	14	31′ Away
10	Le Mans		Nice	15
10	Le Mans		Troyes	16
10	Le Mans		Marseille	17
10	Le Mans		Le Havre	18

Le Havre

Away · Ligue 1

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Monaco		Le Havre	18
2	Lille		Le Havre	18
3	Lyon	1–1	Le Havre	18	74′ Away
4	Paris FC		Le Havre	18
5	Paris SG		Le Havre	18
6	Rennes		Le Havre	18
7	Auxerre		Le Havre	18
8	Angers		Le Havre	18
9	Strasbourg		Le Havre	18
10	Le Mans		Le Havre	18
11	Lorient		Le Havre	18
12	Toulouse	3–2	Le Havre	18	49′ Home
13	Lens		Le Havre	18
14	Brest		Le Havre	18
15	Nice		Le Havre	18
16	Troyes		Le Havre	18
17	Marseille		Le Havre	18
18 · Le Havre

Le Mans Home Le Havre Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

75%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Ligue 1 · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Le Mans

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.50	1.17
Draws	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.83
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	3.75	3.50	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Le Havre

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.50	0.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	0.25	1.50	0.67
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	1.00	3.50	1.83
Failed to score	75.0%	0.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	50.0%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	2
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Le Mans	Draw	Le Havre	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.1%	22.0%	27.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	39.7%	24.6%	35.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.52–1.41 Model expected goals

55.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

58.5% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.4%

2-18.7%

1-08.1%

1-28.1%

0-17.5%

2-06.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Le Mans	Le Havre	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1504	1443	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	6	1	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1534	1516	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	33.3%	44.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	43.3%	42.7%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1032	1014	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.5%	28.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	64.7%	73.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Le Mans	1.20	0.60	1.00	0.80
Le Havre	0.47	0.58	0.79	0.58

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Le Mans	0%	0%	17%	17%	67%
Le Havre	18%	22%	28%	15%	18%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Le Mans at home, 4 matches

0.78 Le Havre away, 9 matches

217d Days of rest for Le Mans

217d Days of rest for Le Havre

— Manager of Le Mans

— Manager of Le Havre

0 Matches for Le Mans in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Le Havre in the last 14 days

7 Points for Le Mans behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Le Havre behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.86 League goals per match

23.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Le Mans, the right bar represents Le Havre.

On the ball

20 matches

9.33

shots

11.59

4.33

shots on target

3.76

46.4%

accuracy

32.5%

2.6

corners

4.32

14.4

fouls

13.95

1.6

yellow cards

1.95

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Le Mans	WDDDLD	1.17	1.83–1.83	1W
Le Havre	LDDLDLWLDD	0.80	1.10–1.30	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Le Mans	2	2	1	0	1
Le Havre	2	11	6	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Le Mans

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Le Havre

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.