Tirol

Tirol

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202616:00

Austria 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 8

Ried

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings

TirolWins: 6
Draws21.4% of meetings: 3
RiedWins: 5

Goals per match: 3.14
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 71.4%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-25	25/26	Tirol1–0Ried
2026-03-14	25/26	Ried2–1Tirol
2026-02-22	25/26	Tirol1–1Ried
2025-10-04	25/26	Ried2–0Tirol
2023-05-12	22/23	Tirol1–1Ried
2023-04-14	22/23	Ried1–1Tirol
2022-11-12	22/23	Tirol2–0Ried
2022-08-21	22/23	Ried1–2Tirol
2022-04-23	21/22	Tirol2–0Ried
2022-04-16	21/22	Ried2–3Tirol
2022-02-19	21/22	Ried3–2Tirol
2021-09-25	21/22	Tirol4–2Ried
2020-12-20	20/21	Tirol1–3Ried
2020-09-13	20/21	Ried3–2Tirol

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	SK Rapid3–0Tirol
2026-09-13	26/27	Tirol2–2Hartberg
2026-09-02	26/27	Austria Vienna0–1Tirol
2026-08-28	26/27	A. Lustenau0–4Tirol
2026-08-16	26/27	Tirol0–3Salzburg
2026-08-07	26/27	Altach3–1Tirol
2026-08-01	26/27	Tirol1–1Sturm Graz
2026-05-16	25/26	Wolfsberger AC2–0Tirol

Ried

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ried4–1Wolfsberger AC
2026-09-11	26/27	Ried1–1Salzburg
2026-08-30	26/27	Hartberg3–2Ried
2026-08-21	26/27	Ried1–0Grazer AK
2026-08-14	26/27	LASK4–1Ried
2026-08-09	26/27	Ried1–2SK Rapid
2026-08-02	26/27	A. Lustenau1–1Ried
2026-05-16	25/26	Altach2–0Ried

Tirol Ried

Wins

25%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Tirol

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Tirol		SK Rapid	1
7	Tirol	0–3	Salzburg	2	15′ Away
7	Tirol		LASK	3
7	Tirol	1–1	Sturm Graz	4	29′ Away
7	Tirol		Ried	5
7	Tirol	2–2	Hartberg	6	14′ Away
7 · Tirol
7	Tirol		A. Lustenau	8
7	Tirol		Grazer AK	9
7	Tirol		Austria Vienna	10
7	Tirol		Wolfsberger AC	11
7	Tirol		Altach	12

Ried

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	SK Rapid		Ried	5
2	Salzburg		Ried	5
3	LASK	4–1	Ried	5	8′ Away
4	Sturm Graz		Ried	5
5 · Ried
6	Hartberg	3–2	Ried	5	6′ Home
7	Tirol		Ried	5
8	A. Lustenau	1–1	Ried	5	26′ Home
9	Grazer AK		Ried	5
10	Austria Vienna		Ried	5
11	Wolfsberger AC		Ried	5
12	Altach		Ried	5

Tirol Home Ried Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

33%

67%

Both teams scored

67%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Tirol

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.67	1.50	1.14
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.50	1.29
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.50	1.71
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ried

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	0.33	1.14
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.33	1.57
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.67	1.71
Total goals / match	2.75	4.00	3.29
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	0	3
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Tirol	Draw	Ried	How it works
Strength (Elo)	36.6%	27.3%	36.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	23.3%	22.6%	52.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.16–1.87 Model expected goals

56.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

57.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.5%

1-29.8%

0-19.1%

0-28.5%

1-36.1%

2-16.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Tirol	Ried	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1452	1476	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-13	2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1485	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Tirol	0.43	0.86	1.00	0.71
Ried	1.00	0.57	1.00	0.71

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Tirol	8%	10%	30%	15%	38%
Ried	5%	15%	32%	22%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Tirol at home, 10 matches

0.40 Ried away, 10 matches

22d Days of rest for Tirol

20d Days of rest for Ried

— Manager of Tirol

— Manager of Ried

0 Matches for Tirol in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ried in the last 14 days

10 Points for Tirol behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Ried behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

25.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Tirol, the right bar represents Ried.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

5.6

9.14

fouls

9.86

1.4

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Tirol	LDWWLLDLDL	0.90	1.00–1.90	1L
Ried	WDLWLLDLLW	1.10	1.30–1.50	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Tirol	1	3	3	0	0
Ried	2	2	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Tirol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ried

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.