Head-to-head overview
4 meetings- Grazer AKWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Sturm GrazWins
- 4
- Goals per match
- 4.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 75.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 |
25/26
|
Sturm Graz2–1Grazer AK |
| 2025-08-30 |
25/26
|
Grazer AK0–3Sturm Graz |
| 2025-03-09 |
24/25
|
Grazer AK1–2Sturm Graz |
| 2024-10-19 |
24/25
|
Sturm Graz5–2Grazer AK |
Recent matches
Grazer AK
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Grazer AK2–2Austria Vienna |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Altach1–2Grazer AK |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Grazer AK0–0Wolfsberger AC |
| 2026-08-21 |
26/27
|
Ried1–0Grazer AK |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
SK Rapid8–0Grazer AK |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Grazer AK2–1A. Lustenau |
| 2026-07-31 |
26/27
|
LASK3–0Grazer AK |
| 2026-05-16 |
25/26
|
BW Linz0–3Grazer AK |
Sturm Graz
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 |
26/27
|
Salzburg3–0Sturm Graz |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Sturm Graz2–1LASK |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz |
| 2026-08-22 |
26/27
|
Sturm Graz1–1A. Lustenau |
| 2026-08-15 |
26/27
|
Sturm Graz1–0Altach |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Hartberg0–2Sturm Graz |
| 2026-08-01 |
26/27
|
Tirol1–1Sturm Graz |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid |
Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
Wins
38%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
38%
Both teams scored
38%
50%
Clean sheets
25%
38%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Grazer AK
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grazer AK | SK Rapid | 1 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Salzburg | 2 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | LASK | 3 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Ried | 5 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Hartberg | 6 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Tirol | 7 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | 2–1 | A. Lustenau | 8 | 18′ Home |
| 9 · Grazer AK | |||||
| 9 | Grazer AK | 2–2 | Austria Vienna | 10 | 15′ Home |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 0–0 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | – |
| 9 | Grazer AK | Altach | 12 | ||
Sturm Graz
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 3–1 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 7′ Home |
| 2 | Salzburg | 3–0 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 72′ Home |
| 3 | LASK | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 4 · Sturm Graz | |||||
| 5 | Ried | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 6 | Hartberg | 0–2 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 69′ Away |
| 7 | Tirol | 1–1 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 29′ Away |
| 8 | A. Lustenau | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 9 | Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 10 | Austria Vienna | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
| 12 | Altach | Sturm Graz | 4 | ||
Grazer AK Home
Sturm Graz Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Grazer AK
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away4 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.14 |
| Draws | 66.7% | 0.0% | 28.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 0.50 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 3.25 | 2.29 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 3.75 | 3.14 |
| Failed to score | 33.3% | 75.0% | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 25.0% | 28.6% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 22 of 3 | 50%67% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 22 of 3 | 50%67% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 00 of 3 | —0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 1 | 1 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 0 |
| 76–90 | 0 | 1 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Sturm Graz
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away4 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 2.33 | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Draws | 33.3% | 25.0% | 28.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.67 | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 2.75 | 2.43 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 25.0% | 14.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66.7% | 50.0% | 57.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 0 of 20 of 4 | 0%0% |
| Scores first → wins | 1 of 23 of 4 | 50%75% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 3 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 4/4 away.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | 1 | 1 |
| 16–30 | 1 | 1 |
| 31–45 | 0 | 1 |
| 46–60 | 0 | 0 |
| 61–75 | 1 | 1 |
| 76–90 | 1 | 3 |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Grazer AK | Draw | Sturm Graz | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 27.2% | 24.9% | 47.9% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 19.0% | 22.8% | 57.1% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.93–1.82
Model expected goals
50.7%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
50.1%
Both teams to score
0-1
Most likely score, at 11.6%
Most likely scores
0-111.6%
1-110.8%
0-210.6%
1-29.8%
0-06.4%
0-36.4%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Grazer AK | Sturm Graz | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1470 | 1594 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 19 | -26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1484 | 1542 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 0.57 | 0.29 | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Sturm Graz | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.57 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 8% | 12% | 20% | 32% | 28% |
| Sturm Graz | 2% | 18% | 40% | 15% | 25% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
2.11
Grazer AK at home, 9 matches
1.60
Sturm Graz away, 10 matches
85d
Days of rest for Grazer AK
84d
Days of rest for Sturm Graz
Joachim Standfest
Manager of Grazer AK,
since 17/08/26
—
Manager of Sturm Graz
0
Matches for Grazer AK in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Sturm Graz in the last 14 days
10
Points for Grazer AK behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
7
Points for Sturm Graz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.74
League goals per match
25.7%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Grazer AK, the right bar represents Sturm Graz.
On the ball
3.86
7.43
corners
14.14
11.14
fouls
3.67
2.8
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | DWDLLWLWDW | 1.50 | 1.50–1.80 | 1D |
| Sturm Graz | LWLDWWDWWD | 1.80 | 1.50–1.20 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sturm Graz | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Grazer AK
No absences reported.
Sturm Graz
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.