Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

VS Scheduled Saturday 23 Jan 202700:00

Austria 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 17

Wolfsberger AC

Head-to-head overview

50 meetings

Sturm GrazWins: 21
Draws16.0% of meetings: 8
Wolfsberger ACWins: 21

Goals per match: 2.76
Over 2.5 goals: 58.0%
Both teams scored: 48.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-01	25/26	Wolfsberger AC2–2Sturm Graz
2025-10-26	25/26	Sturm Graz1–3Wolfsberger AC
2025-05-24	24/25	Sturm Graz1–1Wolfsberger AC
2025-03-30	24/25	Wolfsberger AC1–1Sturm Graz
2025-02-15	24/25	Wolfsberger AC3–0Sturm Graz
2024-09-22	24/25	Sturm Graz0–3Wolfsberger AC
2024-03-03	23/24	Sturm Graz4–0Wolfsberger AC
2023-10-08	23/24	Wolfsberger AC1–2Sturm Graz
2022-10-16	22/23	Sturm Graz3–2Wolfsberger AC
2022-07-23	22/23	Wolfsberger AC1–1Sturm Graz
2022-05-15	21/22	Sturm Graz1–4Wolfsberger AC
2022-04-03	21/22	Wolfsberger AC0–2Sturm Graz
2021-10-31	21/22	Sturm Graz0–3Wolfsberger AC
2021-08-01	21/22	Wolfsberger AC1–4Sturm Graz
2021-05-22	20/21	Wolfsberger AC1–3Sturm Graz
2021-04-21	20/21	Sturm Graz0–1Wolfsberger AC
2021-02-21	20/21	Sturm Graz1–2Wolfsberger AC
2021-01-17	20/21	Wolfsberger AC0–0Sturm Graz
2020-06-24	19/20	Wolfsberger AC2–0Sturm Graz
2020-06-03	19/20	Sturm Graz1–2Wolfsberger AC
2019-11-02	19/20	Sturm Graz0–4Wolfsberger AC
2019-08-04	19/20	Wolfsberger AC0–1Sturm Graz
2019-05-26	18/19	Wolfsberger AC2–1Sturm Graz
2019-04-21	18/19	Sturm Graz1–2Wolfsberger AC
2018-12-02	18/19	Sturm Graz3–0Wolfsberger AC
2018-08-25	18/19	Wolfsberger AC1–1Sturm Graz
2018-04-21	17/18	Wolfsberger AC2–1Sturm Graz
2018-02-10	17/18	Sturm Graz0–1Wolfsberger AC
2017-10-29	17/18	Wolfsberger AC0–2Sturm Graz
2017-08-12	17/18	Sturm Graz2–1Wolfsberger AC
2017-05-28	16/17	Wolfsberger AC1–0Sturm Graz
2017-04-01	16/17	Sturm Graz4–0Wolfsberger AC
2016-12-04	16/17	Wolfsberger AC0–4Sturm Graz
2016-09-24	16/17	Sturm Graz3–0Wolfsberger AC
2016-04-16	15/16	Sturm Graz1–0Wolfsberger AC
2016-02-13	15/16	Wolfsberger AC0–0Sturm Graz
2015-10-24	15/16	Sturm Graz2–0Wolfsberger AC
2015-08-12	15/16	Wolfsberger AC0–2Sturm Graz
2015-05-16	14/15	Wolfsberger AC1–0Sturm Graz
2015-03-07	14/15	Sturm Graz2–0Wolfsberger AC
2014-11-08	14/15	Wolfsberger AC0–2Sturm Graz
2014-08-23	14/15	Sturm Graz1–2Wolfsberger AC
2014-04-27	13/14	Wolfsberger AC0–1Sturm Graz
2014-03-01	13/14	Sturm Graz1–4Wolfsberger AC
2013-12-11	13/14	Wolfsberger AC2–1Sturm Graz
2013-08-31	13/14	Sturm Graz4–1Wolfsberger AC
2013-04-27	12/13	Wolfsberger AC3–0Sturm Graz
2013-02-24	12/13	Sturm Graz1–3Wolfsberger AC
2012-11-27	12/13	Wolfsberger AC1–1Sturm Graz
2012-08-11	12/13	Sturm Graz4–1Wolfsberger AC

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Salzburg3–0Sturm Graz
2026-09-13	26/27	Sturm Graz2–1LASK
2026-08-30	26/27	SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz
2026-08-22	26/27	Sturm Graz1–1A. Lustenau
2026-08-15	26/27	Sturm Graz1–0Altach
2026-08-08	26/27	Hartberg0–2Sturm Graz
2026-08-01	26/27	Tirol1–1Sturm Graz
2026-05-17	25/26	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid

Wolfsberger AC

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Ried4–1Wolfsberger AC
2026-09-12	26/27	Wolfsberger AC0–3SK Rapid
2026-09-01	26/27	Wolfsberger AC1–3LASK
2026-08-29	26/27	Grazer AK0–0Wolfsberger AC
2026-08-15	26/27	A. Lustenau2–1Wolfsberger AC
2026-08-09	26/27	Wolfsberger AC1–1Salzburg
2026-08-02	26/27	Wolfsberger AC3–0Austria Vienna
2026-05-16	25/26	Wolfsberger AC2–0Tirol

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC

Wins

50%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sturm Graz

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Sturm Graz		SK Rapid	1
4	Sturm Graz		Salzburg	2
4	Sturm Graz	2–1	LASK	3	34′ Home
4 · Sturm Graz
4	Sturm Graz		Ried	5
4	Sturm Graz		Hartberg	6
4	Sturm Graz		Tirol	7
4	Sturm Graz	1–1	A. Lustenau	8	10′ Away
4	Sturm Graz		Grazer AK	9
4	Sturm Graz		Austria Vienna	10
4	Sturm Graz		Wolfsberger AC	11
4	Sturm Graz	1–0	Altach	12	78′ Home

Wolfsberger AC

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	SK Rapid		Wolfsberger AC	11
2	Salzburg		Wolfsberger AC	11
3	LASK		Wolfsberger AC	11
4	Sturm Graz		Wolfsberger AC	11
5	Ried	4–1	Wolfsberger AC	11	3′ Home
6	Hartberg		Wolfsberger AC	11
7	Tirol		Wolfsberger AC	11
8	A. Lustenau	2–1	Wolfsberger AC	11	23′ Home
9	Grazer AK	0–0	Wolfsberger AC	11	–
10	Austria Vienna		Wolfsberger AC	11
11 · Wolfsberger AC
12	Altach		Wolfsberger AC	11

Sturm Graz Home Wolfsberger AC Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

33%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sturm Graz

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.57
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.75	1.29
Total goals / match	2.00	2.75	2.43
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wolfsberger AC

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.71
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.25	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.75	2.00	1.86
Total goals / match	3.00	2.67	2.86
Failed to score	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sturm Graz	Draw	Wolfsberger AC	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.0%	21.8%	23.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	54.3%	25.6%	19.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.55–0.81 Model expected goals

41.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 14.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-014.7%

1-111.9%

2-011.4%

0-09.5%

2-19.2%

0-17.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sturm Graz	Wolfsberger AC	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1594	1470	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	-1	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1542	1494	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sturm Graz	0.43	0.71	0.71	0.57
Wolfsberger AC	0.43	0.57	1.00	0.86

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sturm Graz	2%	18%	40%	15%	25%
Wolfsberger AC	10%	10%	22%	28%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Sturm Graz at home, 10 matches

0.70 Wolfsberger AC away, 10 matches

125d Days of rest for Sturm Graz

125d Days of rest for Wolfsberger AC

— Manager of Sturm Graz

— Manager of Wolfsberger AC

0 Matches for Sturm Graz in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wolfsberger AC in the last 14 days

7 Points for Sturm Graz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Wolfsberger AC behind the leaders, and -3 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

25.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sturm Graz, the right bar represents Wolfsberger AC.

On the ball

20 matches

7.43

corners

3.17

11.14

fouls

12.29

2.8

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sturm Graz	LWLDWWDWWD	1.80	1.50–1.20	1L
Wolfsberger AC	LLLDLDWWWW	1.40	1.40–1.40	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sturm Graz	0	5	2	0	0
Wolfsberger AC	2	2	3	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sturm Graz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wolfsberger AC

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.