Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

VS Scheduled Saturday 13 Feb 202700:00

Austria 26/27 Bundesliga · Matchday 20

SK Rapid

Head-to-head overview

57 meetings

Sturm GrazWins: 18
Draws31.6% of meetings: 18
SK RapidWins: 21

Goals per match: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals: 50.9%
Both teams scored: 64.9%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-30	26/27	SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz
2026-05-17	25/26	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid
2026-04-05	25/26	SK Rapid0–2Sturm Graz
2025-11-02	25/26	SK Rapid2–1Sturm Graz
2025-08-10	25/26	Sturm Graz1–2SK Rapid
2025-05-18	24/25	SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz
2025-04-04	24/25	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid
2024-11-02	24/25	Sturm Graz1–1SK Rapid
2024-08-04	24/25	SK Rapid1–0Sturm Graz
2024-04-24	23/24	SK Rapid1–3Sturm Graz
2024-04-19	23/24	Sturm Graz1–0SK Rapid
2024-02-18	23/24	Sturm Graz1–1SK Rapid
2023-09-24	23/24	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2023-05-28	22/23	SK Rapid3–2Sturm Graz
2023-04-02	22/23	Sturm Graz3–1SK Rapid
2023-02-10	22/23	Sturm Graz1–0SK Rapid
2022-08-28	22/23	SK Rapid1–2Sturm Graz
2022-04-24	21/22	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2022-04-17	21/22	Sturm Graz2–1SK Rapid
2022-02-20	21/22	Sturm Graz2–2SK Rapid
2021-09-26	21/22	SK Rapid0–3Sturm Graz
2021-05-16	20/21	Sturm Graz4–1SK Rapid
2021-04-18	20/21	SK Rapid0–0Sturm Graz
2021-01-22	20/21	SK Rapid4–1Sturm Graz
2020-09-19	20/21	Sturm Graz1–1SK Rapid
2020-06-28	19/20	Sturm Graz2–3SK Rapid
2020-06-07	19/20	SK Rapid4–0Sturm Graz
2019-11-24	19/20	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2019-08-18	19/20	Sturm Graz0–1SK Rapid
2019-06-02	18/19	Sturm Graz0–1SK Rapid
2019-05-30	18/19	SK Rapid1–2Sturm Graz
2018-12-09	18/19	SK Rapid0–0Sturm Graz
2018-09-02	18/19	Sturm Graz1–1SK Rapid
2018-04-29	17/18	Sturm Graz4–2SK Rapid
2018-02-17	17/18	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2017-11-04	17/18	Sturm Graz0–0SK Rapid
2017-08-19	17/18	SK Rapid1–2Sturm Graz
2017-05-21	16/17	SK Rapid1–0Sturm Graz
2017-03-12	16/17	Sturm Graz2–1SK Rapid
2016-11-27	16/17	SK Rapid1–2Sturm Graz
2016-09-10	16/17	Sturm Graz1–1SK Rapid
2016-04-24	15/16	SK Rapid2–0Sturm Graz
2016-02-21	15/16	Sturm Graz0–2SK Rapid
2015-10-31	15/16	SK Rapid2–1Sturm Graz
2015-08-16	15/16	Sturm Graz2–2SK Rapid
2015-05-03	14/15	Sturm Graz2–2SK Rapid
2015-02-28	14/15	SK Rapid1–0Sturm Graz
2014-10-25	14/15	Sturm Graz1–3SK Rapid
2014-08-09	14/15	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2014-03-29	13/14	SK Rapid2–0Sturm Graz
2013-12-18	13/14	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid
2013-10-20	13/14	SK Rapid2–2Sturm Graz
2013-08-04	13/14	Sturm Graz2–4SK Rapid
2013-05-05	12/13	Sturm Graz1–3SK Rapid
2013-02-27	12/13	SK Rapid1–1Sturm Graz
2012-11-03	12/13	Sturm Graz2–1SK Rapid
2012-08-18	12/13	SK Rapid3–0Sturm Graz

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Salzburg3–0Sturm Graz
2026-09-13	26/27	Sturm Graz2–1LASK
2026-08-30	26/27	SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz
2026-08-22	26/27	Sturm Graz1–1A. Lustenau
2026-08-15	26/27	Sturm Graz1–0Altach
2026-08-08	26/27	Hartberg0–2Sturm Graz
2026-08-01	26/27	Tirol1–1Sturm Graz
2026-05-17	25/26	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid

SK Rapid

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	SK Rapid3–0Tirol
2026-09-12	26/27	Wolfsberger AC0–3SK Rapid
2026-09-02	26/27	Salzburg5–1SK Rapid
2026-08-30	26/27	SK Rapid3–1Sturm Graz
2026-08-16	26/27	SK Rapid8–0Grazer AK
2026-08-09	26/27	Ried1–2SK Rapid
2026-08-02	26/27	SK Rapid1–0Altach
2026-05-17	25/26	Sturm Graz2–0SK Rapid

Sturm Graz SK Rapid

Wins

50%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sturm Graz

Home · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Sturm Graz		SK Rapid	1
4	Sturm Graz		Salzburg	2
4	Sturm Graz	2–1	LASK	3	34′ Home
4 · Sturm Graz
4	Sturm Graz		Ried	5
4	Sturm Graz		Hartberg	6
4	Sturm Graz		Tirol	7
4	Sturm Graz	1–1	A. Lustenau	8	10′ Away
4	Sturm Graz		Grazer AK	9
4	Sturm Graz		Austria Vienna	10
4	Sturm Graz		Wolfsberger AC	11
4	Sturm Graz	1–0	Altach	12	78′ Home

SK Rapid

Away · Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · SK Rapid
2	Salzburg	5–1	SK Rapid	1	4′ Home
3	LASK		SK Rapid	1
4	Sturm Graz		SK Rapid	1
5	Ried	1–2	SK Rapid	1	8′ Away
6	Hartberg		SK Rapid	1
7	Tirol		SK Rapid	1
8	A. Lustenau		SK Rapid	1
9	Grazer AK		SK Rapid	1
10	Austria Vienna		SK Rapid	1
11	Wolfsberger AC	0–3	SK Rapid	1	13′ Away
12	Altach		SK Rapid	1

Sturm Graz Home SK Rapid Away

Wins

67%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

Scores first

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sturm Graz

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.57
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	1.33	1.00	1.14
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.75	1.29
Total goals / match	2.00	2.75	2.43
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 2	0%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

SK Rapid

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	3.75	2.00	3.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	2.00	1.00
Total goals / match	4.00	4.00	4.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	2
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Sturm Graz	Draw	SK Rapid	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.6%	26.8%	31.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	32.8%	26.0%	40.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.24–1.41 Model expected goals

48.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.3%

0-110.0%

1-08.7%

1-28.7%

2-17.6%

0-07.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Sturm Graz	SK Rapid	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1594	1573	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-26	31	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1542	1558	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Sturm Graz	0.43	0.71	0.71	0.57
SK Rapid	1.71	1.29	0.57	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Sturm Graz	2%	18%	40%	15%	25%
SK Rapid	2%	15%	35%	25%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Sturm Graz at home, 10 matches

1.33 SK Rapid away, 9 matches

146d Days of rest for Sturm Graz

148d Days of rest for SK Rapid

— Manager of Sturm Graz

— Manager of SK Rapid

0 Matches for Sturm Graz in the last 14 days

0 Matches for SK Rapid in the last 14 days

7 Points for Sturm Graz behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

0 Points for SK Rapid behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.74 League goals per match

25.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sturm Graz, the right bar represents SK Rapid.

On the ball

20 matches

7.43

corners

6.0

11.14

fouls

7.0

2.8

yellow cards

3.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Sturm Graz	LWLDWWDWWD	1.80	1.50–1.20	1L
SK Rapid	WWLWWWWLLL	1.80	2.20–1.40	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Sturm Graz	0	5	2	0	0
SK Rapid	6	0	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sturm Graz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

SK Rapid

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.