Bohemians

Bohemians

VS Scheduled Friday 16 Oct 202619:45

Ireland 2026 Premier Division · Matchday 34

Waterford

Head-to-head overview

25 meetings

BohemiansWins: 7
Draws20.0% of meetings: 5
WaterfordWins: 13

Goals per match: 2.24
Over 2.5 goals: 48.0%
Both teams scored: 52.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-09	2026	Waterford3–1Bohemians
2026-04-06	2026	Bohemians1–1Waterford
2026-03-06	2026	Waterford0–1Bohemians
2025-09-19	2025	Bohemians2–1Waterford
2025-06-20	2025	Waterford2–1Bohemians
2025-05-02	2025	Bohemians1–2Waterford
2025-03-07	2025	Waterford0–3Bohemians
2024-10-25	2024	Waterford1–1Bohemians
2024-08-09	2024	Bohemians2–3Waterford
2024-05-31	2024	Waterford2–1Bohemians
2024-04-05	2024	Bohemians0–1Waterford
2021-10-25	2021	Bohemians1–2Waterford
2021-08-07	2021	Waterford1–0Bohemians
2021-05-29	2021	Bohemians3–0Waterford
2021-04-16	2021	Waterford0–1Bohemians
2020-09-11	2020	Bohemians0–2Waterford
2020-02-21	2020	Waterford0–2Bohemians
2019-09-13	2019	Bohemians1–2Waterford
2019-06-28	2019	Waterford1–2Bohemians
2019-04-26	2019	Bohemians0–0Waterford
2019-03-01	2019	Waterford0–0Bohemians
2018-10-05	2018	Bohemians1–3Waterford
2018-07-06	2018	Waterford1–1Bohemians
2018-04-30	2018	Bohemians0–1Waterford
2018-03-12	2018	Waterford1–0Bohemians

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Bohemians2–1Drogheda
2026-09-11	2026	Galway2–3Bohemians
2026-08-28	2026	Bohemians3–0Sligo Rovers
2026-08-21	2026	Bohemians5–3Derry City
2026-08-09	2026	Waterford3–1Bohemians
2026-08-02	2026	Bohemians1–1Galway
2026-07-03	2026	Drogheda0–2Bohemians
2026-06-26	2026	Bohemians2–0St. Patricks

Waterford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Shamrock Rovers3–2Waterford
2026-09-14	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-09-11	2026	Waterford1–1Dundalk
2026-08-28	2026	St. Patricks0–2Waterford
2026-08-21	2026	Sligo Rovers0–0Waterford
2026-08-09	2026	Waterford3–1Bohemians
2026-08-02	2026	Waterford1–0Shelbourne
2026-07-25	2026	Galway0–0Waterford

Bohemians Waterford

Wins

75%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

38%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Bohemians

Home · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Bohemians	0–0	St. Patricks	1	–
3	Bohemians	2–0	St. Patricks	1	39′ Home
3	Bohemians	3–2	Shamrock Rovers	2	26′ Home
3	Bohemians	1–2	Shamrock Rovers	2	21′ Home
3 · Bohemians
3	Bohemians	1–1	Derry City	4	39′ Away
3	Bohemians	5–3	Derry City	4	34′ Away
3	Bohemians	1–1	Dundalk	5	—
3	Bohemians	1–2	Dundalk	5	5′ Home
3	Bohemians	2–2	Shelbourne	6	10′ Home
3	Bohemians	1–0	Galway	7	87′ Home
3	Bohemians	1–1	Galway	7	23′ Home
3	Bohemians	1–1	Waterford	8	35′ Away
3	Bohemians	2–1	Drogheda	9	56′ Home
3	Bohemians	2–1	Drogheda	9	42′ Home
3	Bohemians	1–2	Sligo Rovers	10	8′ Home
3	Bohemians	3–0	Sligo Rovers	10	8′ Home

Waterford

Away · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Patricks	4–1	Waterford	8	5′ Away
1	St. Patricks	0–2	Waterford	8	55′ Away
2	Shamrock Rovers	1–0	Waterford	8	25′ Home
2	Shamrock Rovers	3–2	Waterford	8	35′ Away
3	Bohemians	1–1	Waterford	8	35′ Away
4	Derry City	4–2	Waterford	8	19′ Away
4	Derry City	2–4	Waterford	8	14′ Away
5	Dundalk	5–0	Waterford	8	30′ Home
5	Dundalk	2–3	Waterford	8	10′ Home
6	Shelbourne	2–1	Waterford	8	—
7	Galway	4–3	Waterford	8	—
7	Galway	0–0	Waterford	8	–
8 · Waterford
9	Drogheda	2–0	Waterford	8	3′ Home
9	Drogheda	3–3	Waterford	8	1′ Away
10	Sligo Rovers	2–0	Waterford	8	18′ Home
10	Sligo Rovers	0–0	Waterford	8	–

Bohemians Home Waterford Away

Wins

44%

19%

Over 1.5

88%

81%

Over 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

19%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

56%

Clean sheets

25%

19%

Scores first

75%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Division · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Bohemians

31 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away15 matches	Overall31 matches
Points / match	1.69	1.93	1.81
Draws	37.5%	13.3%	25.8%
Goals scored / match	1.69	1.87	1.77
Goals conceded / match	1.19	1.20	1.19
Total goals / match	2.88	3.07	2.97
Failed to score	6.2%	13.3%	9.7%
Under 2.5 goals	43.8%	33.3%	38.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	6 of 12	50%
Scores first → wins	6 of 12	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 16/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Waterford

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.31	0.81	1.06
Draws	56.2%	25.0%	40.6%
Goals scored / match	1.38	1.38	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.19	2.19	1.69
Total goals / match	2.56	3.56	3.06
Failed to score	25.0%	37.5%	31.2%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	43.8%	53.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bohemians	Draw	Waterford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.8%	22.9%	22.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	36.1%	19.2%	38.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.24–2.33 Model expected goals

77.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

75.5% Both teams to score

2-2 Most likely score, at 7.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-27.1%

1-26.3%

2-16.0%

2-35.5%

1-15.4%

3-25.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bohemians	Waterford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1618	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	44	71	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1553	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bohemians	0.85	1.25	0.75	0.80
Waterford	0.80	0.95	0.65	0.85

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bohemians	12%	8%	18%	28%	35%
Waterford	8%	8%	38%	15%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Bohemians at home, 10 matches

1.20 Waterford away, 10 matches

28d Days of rest for Bohemians

28d Days of rest for Waterford

— Manager of Bohemians

— Manager of Waterford

0 Matches for Bohemians in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Waterford in the last 14 days

3 Points for Bohemians behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

25 Points for Waterford behind the leaders, and -4 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bohemians, the right bar represents Waterford.

On the ball

20 matches

6.6

corners

5.65

10.3

fouls

14.4

1.79

yellow cards

2.76

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bohemians	WWWWLDWWWL	2.20	2.30–1.20	4W
Waterford	LDDWDWWDDW	1.70	1.60–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bohemians	8	5	7	3	1
Waterford	6	9	5	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bohemians

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Waterford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.