Shelbourne

Shelbourne

VS Scheduled Friday 30 Oct 202619:45

Ireland 2026 Premier Division · Matchday 36

Waterford

Head-to-head overview

13 meetings

ShelbourneWins: 7
Draws23.1% of meetings: 3
WaterfordWins: 3

Goals per match: 1.92
Over 2.5 goals: 30.8%
Both teams scored: 46.2%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-02	2026	Waterford1–0Shelbourne
2026-05-22	2026	Shelbourne2–1Waterford
2026-02-06	2026	Waterford1–1Shelbourne
2025-09-26	2025	Shelbourne2–1Waterford
2025-06-23	2025	Waterford2–2Shelbourne
2025-05-05	2025	Shelbourne0–1Waterford
2025-02-21	2025	Waterford0–1Shelbourne
2024-10-18	2024	Shelbourne3–1Waterford
2024-06-13	2024	Waterford0–1Shelbourne
2024-05-17	2024	Shelbourne1–0Waterford
2024-02-16	2024	Waterford1–1Shelbourne
2020-10-10	2020	Waterford0–1Shelbourne
2020-08-01	2020	Shelbourne0–1Waterford

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-25	2026	Galway1–1Shelbourne
2026-09-18	2026	Dundalk2–3Shelbourne
2026-09-14	2026	Shelbourne1–2Drogheda
2026-09-11	2026	Shelbourne0–1Derry City
2026-09-04	2026	Shamrock Rovers0–0Shelbourne
2026-08-28	2026	Galway1–1Shelbourne
2026-08-09	2026	Shelbourne1–2St. Patricks
2026-08-02	2026	Waterford1–0Shelbourne

Waterford

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Shamrock Rovers3–2Waterford
2026-09-14	2026	Waterford2–2Derry City
2026-09-11	2026	Waterford1–1Dundalk
2026-08-28	2026	St. Patricks0–2Waterford
2026-08-21	2026	Sligo Rovers0–0Waterford
2026-08-09	2026	Waterford3–1Bohemians
2026-08-02	2026	Waterford1–0Shelbourne
2026-07-25	2026	Galway0–0Waterford

Shelbourne Waterford

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams scored

62%

50%

Clean sheets

12%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Shelbourne

Home · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Shelbourne	2–3	St. Patricks	1	56′ Away
6	Shelbourne	1–2	St. Patricks	1	7′ Away
6	Shelbourne	2–2	Shamrock Rovers	2	8′ Home
6	Shelbourne	2–1	Shamrock Rovers	2	31′ Home
6	Shelbourne	0–0	Bohemians	3	–
6	Shelbourne	0–3	Bohemians	3	1′ Away
6	Shelbourne	1–2	Derry City	4	20′ Away
6	Shelbourne	0–1	Derry City	4	90+3′ Away
6	Shelbourne	2–3	Dundalk	5	—
6	Shelbourne	2–1	Dundalk	5	4′ Away
6 · Shelbourne
6	Shelbourne	1–1	Galway	7	62′ Away
6	Shelbourne	1–1	Galway	7	57′ Home
6	Shelbourne	2–1	Waterford	8	—
6	Shelbourne	3–4	Drogheda	9	19′ Home
6	Shelbourne	1–2	Drogheda	9	22′ Home
6	Shelbourne	0–0	Sligo Rovers	10	–

Waterford

Away · Premier Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	St. Patricks	4–1	Waterford	8	5′ Away
1	St. Patricks	0–2	Waterford	8	55′ Away
2	Shamrock Rovers	1–0	Waterford	8	25′ Home
2	Shamrock Rovers	3–2	Waterford	8	35′ Away
3	Bohemians	1–1	Waterford	8	35′ Away
4	Derry City	4–2	Waterford	8	19′ Away
4	Derry City	2–4	Waterford	8	14′ Away
5	Dundalk	5–0	Waterford	8	30′ Home
5	Dundalk	2–3	Waterford	8	10′ Home
6	Shelbourne	2–1	Waterford	8	—
7	Galway	4–3	Waterford	8	—
7	Galway	0–0	Waterford	8	–
8 · Waterford
9	Drogheda	2–0	Waterford	8	3′ Home
9	Drogheda	3–3	Waterford	8	1′ Away
10	Sligo Rovers	2–0	Waterford	8	18′ Home
10	Sligo Rovers	0–0	Waterford	8	–

Shelbourne Home Waterford Away

Wins

19%

Over 1.5

81%

Over 2.5

69%

56%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

56%

Clean sheets

12%

19%

Scores first

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier Division · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Shelbourne

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	0.88	1.62	1.25
Draws	31.2%	50.0%	40.6%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.38	1.31
Goals conceded / match	1.69	1.12	1.41
Total goals / match	2.94	2.50	2.72
Failed to score	25.0%	18.8%	21.9%
Under 2.5 goals	31.2%	50.0%	40.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 15/16 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Waterford

32 matches

Goals & results	Home16 matches	Away16 matches	Overall32 matches
Points / match	1.31	0.81	1.06
Draws	56.2%	25.0%	40.6%
Goals scored / match	1.38	1.38	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.19	2.19	1.69
Total goals / match	2.56	3.56	3.06
Failed to score	25.0%	37.5%	31.2%
Under 2.5 goals	62.5%	43.8%	53.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 14/16 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Shelbourne	Draw	Waterford	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.8%	27.6%	28.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	25.8%	23.1%	49.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.23–1.81 Model expected goals

57.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

58.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.7%

1-29.6%

0-18.7%

0-27.9%

2-16.6%

1-05.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Shelbourne	Waterford	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1536	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-27	71	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1524	1553	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Shelbourne	0.45	0.70	0.65	0.55
Waterford	0.80	0.95	0.65	0.85

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Shelbourne	12%	12%	15%	32%	28%
Waterford	8%	8%	38%	15%	32%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.22 Shelbourne at home, 9 matches

1.20 Waterford away, 10 matches

35d Days of rest for Shelbourne

42d Days of rest for Waterford

— Manager of Shelbourne

— Manager of Waterford

0 Matches for Shelbourne in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Waterford in the last 14 days

19 Points for Shelbourne behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

25 Points for Waterford behind the leaders, and -4 above the relegation zone

2.57 League goals per match

30.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Shelbourne, the right bar represents Waterford.

On the ball

20 matches

4.95

corners

5.65

10.8

fouls

14.4

3.44

yellow cards

2.76

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Shelbourne	DWLLDDLLWD	1.00	1.10–1.30	1D
Waterford	LDDWDWWDDW	1.70	1.60–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Shelbourne	3	12	5	0	0
Waterford	6	9	5	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Shelbourne

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Waterford

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.