Lillestrom

Lillestrom

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202618:15

Norway 2026 Eliteserien · Matchday 23

Molde

Head-to-head overview

25 meetings

LillestromWins: 7
Draws20.0% of meetings: 5
MoldeWins: 13

Goals per match: 3.04
Over 2.5 goals: 68.0%
Both teams scored: 68.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-06	2026	Molde0–1Lillestrom
2024-08-11	2024	Lillestrom1–2Molde
2024-07-07	2024	Molde3–0Lillestrom
2023-11-12	2023	Molde4–0Lillestrom
2023-04-23	2023	Lillestrom2–1Molde
2022-10-16	2022	Lillestrom0–1Molde
2022-04-18	2022	Molde1–2Lillestrom
2021-12-05	2021	Molde3–3Lillestrom
2021-07-18	2021	Lillestrom1–1Molde
2019-09-29	2019	Molde2–1Lillestrom
2019-04-22	2019	Lillestrom0–2Molde
2018-08-05	2018	Lillestrom2–2Molde
2018-04-15	2018	Molde2–1Lillestrom
2017-11-19	2017	Lillestrom0–1Molde
2017-04-05	2017	Molde2–1Lillestrom
2016-11-06	2016	Lillestrom1–0Molde
2016-04-01	2016	Molde4–2Lillestrom
2015-08-30	2015	Molde2–2Lillestrom
2015-05-13	2015	Lillestrom2–1Molde
2014-09-14	2014	Molde3–2Lillestrom
2014-05-16	2014	Lillestrom1–2Molde
2013-07-27	2013	Lillestrom2–0Molde
2013-04-02	2013	Molde1–2Lillestrom
2012-07-28	2012	Lillestrom1–1Molde
2012-04-23	2012	Molde3–2Lillestrom

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Viking3–0Lillestrom
2026-09-13	2026	Lillestrom2–0Valerenga
2026-09-12	2026	Lillestrom2–0Valerenga
2026-09-05	2026	Brann1–2Lillestrom
2026-08-30	2026	Lillestrom1–4Fredrikstad
2026-08-15	2026	KFUM Oslo1–1Lillestrom
2026-08-09	2026	Lillestrom0–2Rosenborg
2026-07-31	2026	Bodo/Glimt4–0Lillestrom

Molde

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	2026	Molde1–2Aalesund
2026-09-14	2026	HamKam1–5Molde
2026-09-13	2026	HamKam1–5Molde
2026-09-06	2026	Molde2–0KFUM Oslo
2026-08-30	2026	Valerenga3–4Molde
2026-08-16	2026	Molde3–2Tromso
2026-08-09	2026	Kristiansund2–1Molde
2026-08-02	2026	Molde3–3Sarpsborg 08

Lillestrom Molde

Wins

38%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

88%

Both teams scored

38%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Lillestrom

Home · Eliteserien

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Lillestrom	1–2	Viking	1	31′ Away
6	Lillestrom	0–2	Bodo/Glimt	2	37′ Away
6	Lillestrom		Molde	3
6	Lillestrom		Tromso	4
6	Lillestrom	0–2	Rosenborg	5	39′ Away
6 · Lillestrom
6	Lillestrom		Brann	7
6	Lillestrom	1–4	Fredrikstad	8	8′ Away
6	Lillestrom	2–1	KFUM Oslo	9	5′ Away
6	Lillestrom	4–0	Sarpsborg 08	10	4′ Home
6	Lillestrom	3–1	Sandefjord	11	12′ Home
6	Lillestrom	2–0	Valerenga	12	25′ Home
6	Lillestrom	2–0	Valerenga	12	—
6	Lillestrom		HamKam	13
6	Lillestrom		Aalesund	14
6	Lillestrom	3–1	Start	15	—
6	Lillestrom	1–2	Kristiansund	16	14′ Away

Molde

Away · Eliteserien

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Viking	4–1	Molde	3	7′ Home
2	Bodo/Glimt	0–1	Molde	3	36′ Away
3 · Molde
4	Tromso	2–0	Molde	3	80′ Home
5	Rosenborg		Molde	3
6	Lillestrom		Molde	3
7	Brann		Molde	3
8	Fredrikstad		Molde	3
9	KFUM Oslo	2–4	Molde	3	1′ Home
10	Sarpsborg 08	2–1	Molde	3	5′ Home
11	Sandefjord		Molde	3
12	Valerenga	3–4	Molde	3	11′ Away
13	HamKam	1–5	Molde	3	5′ Away
13	HamKam	1–5	Molde	3	—
14	Aalesund	2–2	Molde	3	14′ Home
15	Start	1–1	Molde	3	22′ Home
16	Kristiansund	2–1	Molde	3	25′ Home

Lillestrom Home Molde Away

Wins

54%

46%

Over 1.5

100%

91%

Over 2.5

64%

73%

Over 3.5

36%

54%

Both teams scored

54%

82%

Clean sheets

27%

9%

Scores first

46%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Eliteserien · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Lillestrom

22 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away11 matches	Overall22 matches
Points / match	1.64	1.55	1.59
Draws	0.0%	18.2%	9.1%
Goals scored / match	1.73	1.00	1.36
Goals conceded / match	1.36	1.27	1.32
Total goals / match	3.09	2.27	2.68
Failed to score	18.2%	45.5%	31.8%
Under 2.5 goals	36.4%	63.6%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	5 of 5	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 6	17%

Scoring order known: 11/11 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Molde

22 matches

Goals & results	Home11 matches	Away11 matches	Overall22 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.55	1.77
Draws	9.1%	18.2%	13.6%
Goals scored / match	2.18	2.27	2.23
Goals conceded / match	1.18	1.82	1.50
Total goals / match	3.36	4.09	3.73
Failed to score	9.1%	9.1%	9.1%
Under 2.5 goals	36.4%	27.3%	31.8%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 10/11 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lillestrom	Draw	Molde	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.6%	20.5%	43.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.0%	17.9%	63.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.05–2.39 Model expected goals

63.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.8% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.6%

0-29.1%

1-18.0%

1-37.7%

0-17.6%

0-37.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lillestrom	Molde	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1500	1591	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-7	31	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1549	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lillestrom	0.53	0.74	0.74	0.74
Molde	1.00	1.16	0.74	0.74

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lillestrom	2%	8%	28%	30%	32%
Molde	2%	18%	18%	18%	45%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.64 Lillestrom at home, 11 matches

1.70 Molde away, 10 matches

21d Days of rest for Lillestrom

22d Days of rest for Molde

— Manager of Lillestrom

— Manager of Molde

0 Matches for Lillestrom in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Molde in the last 14 days

18 Points for Lillestrom behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Molde behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

3.14 League goals per match

19.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lillestrom, the right bar represents Molde.

On the ball

20 matches

5.5

corners

5.06

11.05

fouls

11.42

2.25

yellow cards

2.13

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lillestrom	LWWWLDLLLW	1.30	1.10–1.80	1L
Molde	LWWWWWLDWL	1.90	2.90–1.80	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lillestrom	5	5	9	0	0
Molde	9	6	4	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lillestrom

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Molde

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.