Lugano

Lugano

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202617:00

Switzerland 26/27 Super League · Matchday 10

Luzern

Head-to-head overview

42 meetings

LuganoWins: 18
Draws19.0% of meetings: 8
LuzernWins: 16

Goals per match: 3.10
Over 2.5 goals: 59.5%
Both teams scored: 66.7%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-07	25/26	Lugano1–3Luzern
2026-01-17	25/26	Luzern2–5Lugano
2025-10-30	25/26	Lugano2–0Luzern
2025-05-04	24/25	Luzern0–2Lugano
2025-02-15	24/25	Lugano2–0Luzern
2024-12-07	24/25	Luzern1–4Lugano
2024-08-11	24/25	Lugano2–3Luzern
2024-03-03	23/24	Luzern0–1Lugano
2023-12-03	23/24	Lugano1–0Luzern
2023-09-03	23/24	Luzern3–2Lugano
2023-05-07	22/23	Luzern2–2Lugano
2023-02-12	22/23	Lugano1–1Luzern
2022-10-22	22/23	Luzern3–1Lugano
2022-08-07	22/23	Lugano1–2Luzern
2022-04-03	21/22	Luzern2–2Lugano
2022-02-06	21/22	Lugano2–1Luzern
2021-11-21	21/22	Lugano3–1Luzern
2021-09-26	21/22	Luzern2–3Lugano
2021-05-21	20/21	Luzern1–2Lugano
2021-02-21	20/21	Lugano2–3Luzern
2021-02-10	20/21	Luzern1–1Lugano
2020-09-19	20/21	Lugano2–1Luzern
2020-07-12	19/20	Luzern3–3Lugano
2020-06-24	19/20	Lugano2–0Luzern
2019-11-03	19/20	Luzern1–2Lugano
2019-09-22	19/20	Lugano1–1Luzern
2019-05-05	18/19	Lugano1–0Luzern
2019-02-16	18/19	Luzern0–3Lugano
2018-11-10	18/19	Lugano1–4Luzern
2018-08-04	18/19	Luzern4–2Lugano
2018-05-05	17/18	Luzern2–0Lugano
2018-03-18	17/18	Lugano1–2Luzern
2017-10-29	17/18	Lugano1–0Luzern
2017-07-23	17/18	Luzern1–0Lugano
2017-06-02	16/17	Lugano0–1Luzern
2017-04-02	16/17	Luzern0–2Lugano
2016-11-20	16/17	Luzern2–1Lugano
2016-07-23	16/17	Lugano1–2Luzern
2016-05-01	15/16	Lugano1–1Luzern
2016-03-12	15/16	Luzern2–1Lugano
2015-10-03	15/16	Luzern2–2Lugano
2015-08-29	15/16	Lugano0–1Luzern

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lausanne0–4Lugano
2026-09-16	26/27	Lugano4–1St. Gallen
2026-09-13	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-12	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-06	26/27	Basel1–3Lugano
2026-09-03	26/27	Lugano1–0Servette
2026-08-30	26/27	Sion1–2Lugano
2026-08-09	26/27	Lugano5–0Zurich

Luzern

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Luzern5–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-14	26/27	Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-13	26/27	Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-05	26/27	Young Boys3–3Luzern
2026-09-02	26/27	Luzern2–1Vaduz
2026-08-29	26/27	Servette1–1Luzern
2026-08-22	26/27	Luzern1–0Lausanne
2026-08-09	26/27	St. Gallen2–2Luzern

Lugano Luzern

Wins

75%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lugano

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Lugano
1	Lugano		Sion	2
1	Lugano	2–2	Young Boys	3	2′ Home
1	Lugano	2–2	Young Boys	3	—
1	Lugano		Basel	4
1	Lugano	5–0	Zurich	5	16′ Home
1	Lugano	1–0	Servette	6	90+4′ Home
1	Lugano	4–1	St. Gallen	7	4′ Home
1	Lugano		Luzern	8
1	Lugano		Grasshoppers	9
1	Lugano		Thun	10
1	Lugano	2–1	Vaduz	11	29′ Home
1	Lugano		Lausanne	12

Luzern

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Lugano		Luzern	8
2	Sion	3–0	Luzern	8	9′ Home
3	Young Boys	3–3	Luzern	8	14′ Home
4	Basel		Luzern	8
5	Zurich		Luzern	8
6	Servette	1–1	Luzern	8	14′ Home
7	St. Gallen	2–2	Luzern	8	45+3′ Home
8 · Luzern
9	Grasshoppers		Luzern	8
10	Thun		Luzern	8
11	Vaduz		Luzern	8
12	Lausanne		Luzern	8

Lugano Home Luzern Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

83%

100%

Over 2.5

83%

75%

Over 3.5

67%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

75%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lugano

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	3.25	2.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.75	0.90
Total goals / match	3.67	4.00	3.80
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	0.0%	10.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Luzern

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.75	1.20
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	2.17	1.50	1.90
Goals conceded / match	2.17	2.25	2.20
Total goals / match	4.33	3.75	4.10
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	25.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	3
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	3	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lugano	Draw	Luzern	How it works
Strength (Elo)	61.6%	18.0%	20.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	55.3%	20.7%	21.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.13–1.25 Model expected goals

63.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.1% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 9.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-19.7%

1-19.1%

2-07.7%

1-07.3%

3-16.8%

2-26.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lugano	Luzern	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1652	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	48	-36	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1539	1501	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lugano	1.22	1.78	0.33	0.44
Luzern	0.67	1.22	0.78	1.22

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lugano	2%	25%	20%	18%	35%
Luzern	2%	5%	10%	22%	60%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.09 Lugano at home, 11 matches

1.67 Luzern away, 9 matches

20d Days of rest for Lugano

21d Days of rest for Luzern

— Manager of Lugano

— Manager of Luzern

0 Matches for Lugano in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Luzern in the last 14 days

0 Points for Lugano behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Luzern behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

3.25 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lugano, the right bar represents Luzern.

On the ball

20 matches

5.78

corners

5.22

11.67

fouls

13.0

3.2

yellow cards

3.29

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lugano	WWDDWWWWWW	2.60	2.90–0.90	2W
Luzern	WLLDWDWDLL	1.20	1.90–2.20	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lugano	5	2	2	1	0
Luzern	2	3	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lugano

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Luzern

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.