Thun

Thun

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202613:00

Switzerland 26/27 Super League · Matchday 11

Lugano

Head-to-head overview

24 meetings

ThunWins: 8
Draws29.2% of meetings: 7
LuganoWins: 9

Goals per match: 2.79
Over 2.5 goals: 54.2%
Both teams scored: 70.8%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-25	25/26	Thun0–1Lugano
2026-04-04	25/26	Lugano1–0Thun
2025-11-22	25/26	Thun0–1Lugano
2025-07-27	25/26	Lugano1–2Thun
2020-07-15	19/20	Lugano1–1Thun
2020-02-09	19/20	Thun3–2Lugano
2019-11-24	19/20	Thun0–3Lugano
2019-07-28	19/20	Lugano0–0Thun
2019-05-11	18/19	Thun1–0Lugano
2019-02-06	18/19	Lugano1–3Thun
2018-10-28	18/19	Lugano2–1Thun
2018-08-26	18/19	Thun1–1Lugano
2018-04-14	17/18	Lugano1–1Thun
2017-12-16	17/18	Thun0–2Lugano
2017-11-05	17/18	Thun1–1Lugano
2017-08-26	17/18	Lugano4–1Thun
2017-04-17	16/17	Lugano2–1Thun
2017-03-12	16/17	Thun5–2Lugano
2016-12-04	16/17	Lugano1–1Thun
2016-09-25	16/17	Thun2–2Lugano
2016-04-17	15/16	Lugano2–1Thun
2016-02-13	15/16	Thun2–1Lugano
2015-10-25	15/16	Thun2–1Lugano
2015-07-26	15/16	Lugano2–3Thun

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Vaduz1–2Thun
2026-09-16	26/27	Thun2–4Servette
2026-09-13	26/27	Thun0–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-12	26/27	Thun0–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-06	26/27	Sion3–2Thun
2026-09-02	26/27	Thun0–0Lausanne
2026-08-30	26/27	St. Gallen3–4Thun
2026-08-09	26/27	Basel4–2Thun

Lugano

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lausanne0–4Lugano
2026-09-16	26/27	Lugano4–1St. Gallen
2026-09-13	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-12	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-06	26/27	Basel1–3Lugano
2026-09-03	26/27	Lugano1–0Servette
2026-08-30	26/27	Sion1–2Lugano
2026-08-09	26/27	Lugano5–0Zurich

Thun Lugano

Wins

25%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

12%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Thun

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Thun		Lugano	1
10	Thun		Sion	2
10	Thun	0–6	Young Boys	3	10′ Away
10	Thun		Basel	4
10	Thun		Zurich	5
10	Thun	2–4	Servette	6	4′ Away
10	Thun		St. Gallen	7
10	Thun		Luzern	8
10	Thun	0–1	Grasshoppers	9	23′ Away
10	Thun	0–1	Grasshoppers	9	—
10 · Thun
10	Thun		Vaduz	11
10	Thun	0–0	Lausanne	12	–

Lugano

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Lugano
2	Sion	1–2	Lugano	1	3′ Away
3	Young Boys		Lugano	1
4	Basel	1–3	Lugano	1	47′ Home
5	Zurich		Lugano	1
6	Servette		Lugano	1
7	St. Gallen		Lugano	1
8	Luzern		Lugano	1
9	Grasshoppers	1–4	Lugano	1	22′ Home
10	Thun		Lugano	1
11	Vaduz		Lugano	1
12	Lausanne	0–4	Lugano	1	—

Thun Home Lugano Away

Wins

0%

100%

Over 1.5

40%

100%

Over 2.5

40%

100%

Over 3.5

40%

75%

Both teams scored

20%

75%

Clean sheets

20%

25%

Scores first

0%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Thun

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.20	1.80	1.00
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	0.40	2.60	1.50
Goals conceded / match	2.40	2.40	2.40
Total goals / match	2.80	5.00	3.90
Failed to score	80.0%	0.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	0.0%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lugano

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	3.25	2.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.75	0.90
Total goals / match	3.67	4.00	3.80
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	0.0%	10.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 2	100%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Thun	Draw	Lugano	How it works
Strength (Elo)	27.4%	23.6%	49.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	5.5%	10.0%	73.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–3.27 Model expected goals

65.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

46.2% Both teams to score

0-3 Most likely score, at 10.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-310.1%

0-29.2%

0-48.2%

1-37.9%

1-27.3%

1-46.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Thun	Lugano	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1502	1652	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-75	48	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1525	1539	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Thun	0.56	1.11	1.11	1.44
Lugano	1.22	1.78	0.33	0.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Thun	2%	20%	8%	22%	48%
Lugano	2%	25%	20%	18%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.78 Thun at home, 9 matches

2.33 Lugano away, 9 matches

35d Days of rest for Thun

35d Days of rest for Lugano

— Manager of Thun

— Manager of Lugano

0 Matches for Thun in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lugano in the last 14 days

16 Points for Thun behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Lugano behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

3.25 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Thun, the right bar represents Lugano.

On the ball

20 matches

5.56

corners

5.78

15.11

fouls

11.67

2.33

yellow cards

3.2

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Thun	WLLLLDWLLW	1.00	1.50–2.40	1W
Lugano	WWDDWWWWWW	2.60	2.90–0.90	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Thun	2	3	4	0	0
Lugano	5	2	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Thun

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lugano

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.