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Basel
VS Scheduled Switzerland 26/27 Super League · Matchday 14
Luzern

Head-to-head overview

57 meetings
BaselWins
34
Draws19.3% of meetings
11
LuzernWins
12
Goals per match
3.19
Over 2.5 goals
68.4%
Both teams scored
61.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-14 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-13 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-02-22 Switzerland, Super League 25/26 Luzern4–2Basel
2025-12-17 Switzerland, Super League 25/26 Luzern1–2Basel
2025-09-28 Switzerland, Super League 25/26 Basel1–2Luzern
2025-05-24 Switzerland, Super League 24/25 Basel4–0Luzern
2025-03-09 Switzerland, Super League 24/25 Luzern1–1Basel
2025-02-06 Switzerland, Super League 24/25 Basel2–1Luzern
Recent matches

Basel

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Basel1–3St. Gallen
2026-09-14 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-13 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-06 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Basel1–3Lugano
2026-09-03 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Basel1–2Sion
2026-08-29 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Young Boys3–3Basel
2026-08-22 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Zurich1–2Basel
2026-08-09 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Basel4–2Thun

Luzern

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern5–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-14 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-13 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–4Basel
2026-09-05 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Young Boys3–3Luzern
2026-09-02 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern2–1Vaduz
2026-08-29 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Servette1–1Luzern
2026-08-22 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 Luzern1–0Lausanne
2026-08-09 Switzerland, Super League 26/27 St. Gallen2–2Luzern
Basel Luzern

Wins

50%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

100%
75%

Both teams scored

100%
88%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Basel

Home · Super League
HomeAway1st goal
4 Basel 1–3 Lugano 1 47′ Home
4 Basel 1–2 Sion 2 40′ Home
4 Basel Young Boys 3
4 · Basel
4 Basel Zurich 5
4 Basel Servette 6
4 Basel 1–3 St. Gallen 7 9′ Away
4 Basel Luzern 8
4 Basel Grasshoppers 9
4 Basel 4–2 Thun 10 4′ Home
4 Basel Vaduz 11
4 Basel 0–1 Lausanne 12 90+1′ Away

Luzern

Away · Super League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Lugano Luzern 8
2 Sion 3–0 Luzern 8 9′ Home
3 Young Boys 3–3 Luzern 8 14′ Home
4 Basel Luzern 8
5 Zurich Luzern 8
6 Servette 1–1 Luzern 8 14′ Home
7 St. Gallen 2–2 Luzern 8 45+3′ Home
8 · Luzern
9 Grasshoppers Luzern 8
10 Thun Luzern 8
11 Vaduz Luzern 8
12 Lausanne Luzern 8
Basel Home Luzern Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Basel

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match0.602.601.60
Draws0.0%20.0%10.0%
Goals scored / match1.402.802.10
Goals conceded / match2.201.601.90
Total goals / match3.604.404.00
Failed to score20.0%0.0%10.0%
Under 2.5 goals20.0%20.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3000
31–4530
46–6021
61–7513
76–9006

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Luzern

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome6 matchesAway4 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.500.751.20
Draws0.0%75.0%30.0%
Goals scored / match2.171.501.90
Goals conceded / match2.172.252.20
Total goals / match4.333.754.10
Failed to score0.0%25.0%10.0%
Under 2.5 goals16.7%25.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1503
16–3000
31–4511
46–6031
61–7511
76–9013

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBaselDraw LuzernHow it works
Strength (Elo) 45.7% 24.7% 29.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 19.7% 16.5% 55.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.68–2.91 Model expected goals
75.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
70.2% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 7.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-27.2%
1-37.0%
2-26.1%
2-35.9%
1-45.1%
1-15.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBaselLuzern How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1535 1508 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 9 -36 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1544 1501 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Basel 0.891.00 0.671.22
Luzern 0.671.22 0.781.22

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Basel 8%10%20%25%38%
Luzern 2%5%10%22%60%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Basel at home, 10 matches
1.67 Luzern away, 9 matches
63d Days of rest for Basel
64d Days of rest for Luzern
Luigi Nocentini Manager of Basel, since 09/09/26
— Manager of Luzern
0 Matches for Basel in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Luzern in the last 14 days
10 Points for Basel behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Luzern behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone
3.25 League goals per match
24.7% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Basel, the right bar represents Luzern.

On the ball

20 matches
4.0
corners
5.22
12.11
fouls
13.0
2.75
yellow cards
3.29

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Basel LWWLLDWWLW 1.60 2.10–1.90 1L
Luzern WLLDWDWDLL 1.20 1.90–2.20 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Basel3 42 11
Luzern2 34 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Basel

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Luzern

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.