Lugano

Lugano

VS Scheduled Sunday 13 Dec 202615:30

Switzerland 26/27 Super League · Matchday 17

Thun

Head-to-head overview

24 meetings

LuganoWins: 9
Draws29.2% of meetings: 7
ThunWins: 8

Goals per match: 2.79
Over 2.5 goals: 54.2%
Both teams scored: 70.8%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-25	25/26	Thun0–1Lugano
2026-04-04	25/26	Lugano1–0Thun
2025-11-22	25/26	Thun0–1Lugano
2025-07-27	25/26	Lugano1–2Thun
2020-07-15	19/20	Lugano1–1Thun
2020-02-09	19/20	Thun3–2Lugano
2019-11-24	19/20	Thun0–3Lugano
2019-07-28	19/20	Lugano0–0Thun
2019-05-11	18/19	Thun1–0Lugano
2019-02-06	18/19	Lugano1–3Thun
2018-10-28	18/19	Lugano2–1Thun
2018-08-26	18/19	Thun1–1Lugano
2018-04-14	17/18	Lugano1–1Thun
2017-12-16	17/18	Thun0–2Lugano
2017-11-05	17/18	Thun1–1Lugano
2017-08-26	17/18	Lugano4–1Thun
2017-04-17	16/17	Lugano2–1Thun
2017-03-12	16/17	Thun5–2Lugano
2016-12-04	16/17	Lugano1–1Thun
2016-09-25	16/17	Thun2–2Lugano
2016-04-17	15/16	Lugano2–1Thun
2016-02-13	15/16	Thun2–1Lugano
2015-10-25	15/16	Thun2–1Lugano
2015-07-26	15/16	Lugano2–3Thun

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lausanne0–4Lugano
2026-09-16	26/27	Lugano4–1St. Gallen
2026-09-13	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-12	26/27	Lugano2–2Young Boys
2026-09-06	26/27	Basel1–3Lugano
2026-09-03	26/27	Lugano1–0Servette
2026-08-30	26/27	Sion1–2Lugano
2026-08-09	26/27	Lugano5–0Zurich

Thun

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Vaduz1–2Thun
2026-09-16	26/27	Thun2–4Servette
2026-09-13	26/27	Thun0–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-12	26/27	Thun0–1Grasshoppers
2026-09-06	26/27	Sion3–2Thun
2026-09-02	26/27	Thun0–0Lausanne
2026-08-30	26/27	St. Gallen3–4Thun
2026-08-09	26/27	Basel4–2Thun

Lugano Thun

Wins

75%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

62%

Clean sheets

38%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lugano

Home · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Lugano
1	Lugano		Sion	2
1	Lugano	2–2	Young Boys	3	2′ Home
1	Lugano	2–2	Young Boys	3	—
1	Lugano		Basel	4
1	Lugano	5–0	Zurich	5	16′ Home
1	Lugano	1–0	Servette	6	90+4′ Home
1	Lugano	4–1	St. Gallen	7	4′ Home
1	Lugano		Luzern	8
1	Lugano		Grasshoppers	9
1	Lugano		Thun	10
1	Lugano	2–1	Vaduz	11	29′ Home
1	Lugano		Lausanne	12

Thun

Away · Super League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Lugano		Thun	10
2	Sion	3–2	Thun	10	10′ Away
3	Young Boys		Thun	10
4	Basel	4–2	Thun	10	4′ Home
5	Zurich		Thun	10
6	Servette		Thun	10
7	St. Gallen	3–4	Thun	10	9′ Away
8	Luzern	1–3	Thun	10	2′ Home
9	Grasshoppers		Thun	10
10 · Thun
11	Vaduz	1–2	Thun	10	33′ Away
12	Lausanne		Thun	10

Lugano Home Thun Away

Wins

67%

60%

Over 1.5

83%

100%

Over 2.5

83%

100%

Over 3.5

67%

80%

Both teams scored

67%

100%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

N/A

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lugano

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	3.25	2.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.75	0.90
Total goals / match	3.67	4.00	3.80
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	0.0%	10.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Thun

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.20	1.80	1.00
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	0.40	2.60	1.50
Goals conceded / match	2.40	2.40	2.40
Total goals / match	2.80	5.00	3.90
Failed to score	80.0%	0.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	0.0%	30.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	2
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	5	3
61–75	2	3
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lugano	Draw	Thun	How it works
Strength (Elo)	62.5%	17.5%	20.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	69.0%	14.7%	10.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.73–0.94 Model expected goals

65.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.4% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-09.5%

2-18.9%

3-08.6%

3-18.1%

1-06.9%

1-16.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lugano	Thun	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1652	1502	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	48	-75	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1539	1525	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lugano	1.22	1.78	0.33	0.44
Thun	0.56	1.11	1.11	1.44

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lugano	2%	25%	20%	18%	35%
Thun	2%	20%	8%	22%	48%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.09 Lugano at home, 11 matches

1.18 Thun away, 11 matches

84d Days of rest for Lugano

84d Days of rest for Thun

— Manager of Lugano

— Manager of Thun

0 Matches for Lugano in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Thun in the last 14 days

0 Points for Lugano behind the leaders, and 15 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Thun behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

3.25 League goals per match

24.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lugano, the right bar represents Thun.

On the ball

20 matches

5.78

corners

5.56

11.67

fouls

15.11

3.2

yellow cards

2.33

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lugano	WWDDWWWWWW	2.60	2.90–0.90	2W
Thun	WLLLLDWLLW	1.00	1.50–2.40	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lugano	5	2	2	1	0
Thun	2	3	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lugano

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Thun

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.