Comerciantes

Comerciantes

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202621:30

Peru 2026 Primera División · Matchday 11

ADC Juan Pablo II

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

ComerciantesWins: 0
Draws100.0% of meetings: 1
ADC Juan Pablo IIWins: 0

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-18	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II2–2Comerciantes

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	2026	Alianza Atl.2–1Comerciantes
2026-09-12	2026	Comerciantes0–1Sport Huancayo
2026-09-06	2026	Universitário2–2Comerciantes
2026-08-28	2026	Comerciantes2–3FC Cajamarca
2026-08-22	2026	UTC Cajamarca1–3Comerciantes
2026-08-14	2026	Grau1–0Comerciantes
2026-08-07	2026	Comerciantes3–1Cusco
2026-07-31	2026	Santa Rosa3–2Comerciantes

ADC Juan Pablo II

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II4–0UCV Moquegua
2026-09-11	2026	UTC Cajamarca1–2ADC Juan Pablo II
2026-09-06	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II1–1Alianza Lima
2026-08-29	2026	Santa Rosa3–4ADC Juan Pablo II
2026-08-22	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II5–1Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
2026-08-15	2026	Cusco2–0ADC Juan Pablo II
2026-08-08	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II0–0Grau
2026-08-02	2026	Sp. Cristal2–0ADC Juan Pablo II

Comerciantes ADC Juan Pablo II

Wins

25%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Comerciantes

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Comerciantes	2–2	Alianza Lima	1	16′ Away
14	Comerciantes	0–0	Universitário	2	–
14	Comerciantes	0–0	Deportivo G.	3	–
14	Comerciantes	1–1	Melgar	4	44′ Away
14	Comerciantes	3–1	Cusco	5	26′ Away
14	Comerciantes	1–1	Santa Rosa	6	25′ Away
14	Comerciantes		Cienciano	7
14	Comerciantes	1–0	Alianza Atl.	8	54′ Home
14	Comerciantes	1–0	Sp. Cristal	9	11′ Home
14	Comerciantes		Boys	10
14	Comerciantes	0–1	Sport Huancayo	11	80′ Away
14	Comerciantes		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
14	Comerciantes	3–1	Grau	13	18′ Home
14 · Comerciantes
14	Comerciantes	2–3	FC Cajamarca	15	7′ Away
14	Comerciantes		Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	16
14	Comerciantes	1–0	UCV Moquegua	17	50′ Home
14	Comerciantes	1–2	UTC Cajamarca	18	16′ Away

ADC Juan Pablo II

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Alianza Lima	2–0	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	63′ Home
2	Universitário		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
3	Deportivo G.	4–1	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	5′ Home
4	Melgar		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
5	Cusco	2–0	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	—
6	Santa Rosa	3–4	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	23′ Away
7	Cienciano	6–1	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	13′ Away
8	Alianza Atl.		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
9	Sp. Cristal	2–0	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	46′ Home
10	Boys	1–1	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	60′ Home
11	Sport Huancayo	2–1	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	20′ Home
12 · ADC Juan Pablo II
13	Grau	1–2	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	32′ Home
14	Comerciantes		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
15	FC Cajamarca	2–2	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	68′ Home
16	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	2–3	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	12′ Away
17	UCV Moquegua	3–0	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	49′ Home
18	UTC Cajamarca	1–2	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	45+2′ Away

Comerciantes Home ADC Juan Pablo II Away

Wins

38%

31%

Over 1.5

54%

100%

Over 2.5

38%

69%

Over 3.5

31%

38%

Both teams scored

54%

69%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Scores first

31%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Comerciantes

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.54	0.71	1.11
Draws	38.5%	28.6%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.23	1.36	1.30
Goals conceded / match	0.92	1.86	1.41
Total goals / match	2.15	3.21	2.70
Failed to score	23.1%	28.6%	25.9%
Under 2.5 goals	61.5%	35.7%	48.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	4 of 4	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 7	14%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	2	4
31–45	3	1
46–60	5	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	4	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

ADC Juan Pablo II

27 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away13 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.43	1.08	1.26
Draws	35.7%	15.4%	25.9%
Goals scored / match	1.79	1.31	1.56
Goals conceded / match	1.50	2.38	1.93
Total goals / match	3.29	3.69	3.48
Failed to score	21.4%	30.8%	25.9%
Under 2.5 goals	42.9%	30.8%	37.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 9	11%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Comerciantes	Draw	ADC Juan Pablo II	How it works
Strength (Elo)	50.7%	21.2%	28.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.7%	23.5%	50.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.14–1.75 Model expected goals

54.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

55.6% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.1%

1-29.7%

0-19.7%

0-28.5%

2-16.3%

1-06.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Comerciantes	ADC Juan Pablo II	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1474	1476	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-9	56	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1496	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Comerciantes	0.45	0.70	0.80	0.50
ADC Juan Pablo II	0.70	0.75	0.70	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Comerciantes	7%	26%	15%	11%	41%
ADC Juan Pablo II	4%	0%	33%	22%	41%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.44 Comerciantes at home, 9 matches

0.80 ADC Juan Pablo II away, 10 matches

22d Days of rest for Comerciantes

20d Days of rest for ADC Juan Pablo II

— Manager of Comerciantes

— Manager of ADC Juan Pablo II

0 Matches for Comerciantes in the last 14 days

0 Matches for ADC Juan Pablo II in the last 14 days

26 Points for Comerciantes behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

22 Points for ADC Juan Pablo II behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.79 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Comerciantes, the right bar represents ADC Juan Pablo II.

On the ball

20 matches

3.61

corners

4.24

13.05

fouls

9.45

2.29

yellow cards

2.43

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Comerciantes	LLDLWLWLDD	0.90	1.70–1.80	2L
ADC Juan Pablo II	WWDWWLDLWD	1.80	2.00–1.20	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Comerciantes	2	11	7	1	1
ADC Juan Pablo II	6	9	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Comerciantes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

ADC Juan Pablo II

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.