Universitário

Universitário

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202601:00

Peru 2026 Primera División · Matchday 11

Melgar

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

UniversitárioWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
MelgarWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-04-19	2026	Melgar2–1Universitário

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Deportivo G.4–0Universitário
2026-09-13	2026	Alianza Lima1–2Universitário
2026-09-06	2026	Universitário2–2Comerciantes
2026-08-29	2026	UTC Cajamarca2–4Universitário
2026-08-24	2026	Universitário3–0Santa Rosa
2026-08-16	2026	FC Cajamarca2–3Universitário
2026-08-08	2026	Universitário1–1Sp. Cristal
2026-08-03	2026	Cienciano2–0Universitário

Melgar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	Melgar1–1Boys
2026-09-12	2026	Cusco0–1Melgar
2026-09-07	2026	Melgar3–0Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
2026-09-01	2026	Grau1–0Melgar
2026-08-23	2026	Melgar1–1Alianza Lima
2026-08-15	2026	Santa Rosa0–3Melgar
2026-08-09	2026	Melgar2–4FC Cajamarca
2026-08-02	2026	UCV Moquegua0–0Melgar

Universitário Melgar

Wins

50%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Universitário

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Universitário	1–0	Alianza Lima	1	52′ Home
2 · Universitário
2	Universitário	4–1	Deportivo G.	3	23′ Home
2	Universitário		Melgar	4
2	Universitário	2–1	Cusco	5	20′ Home
2	Universitário	3–0	Santa Rosa	6	26′ Home
2	Universitário	2–1	Cienciano	7	—
2	Universitário	1–2	Alianza Atl.	8	47′ Away
2	Universitário	1–1	Sp. Cristal	9	72′ Home
2	Universitário		Boys	10
2	Universitário	2–1	Sport Huancayo	11	33′ Home
2	Universitário		ADC Juan Pablo II	12
2	Universitário	0–1	Grau	13	46′ Away
2	Universitário	2–2	Comerciantes	14	44′ Away
2	Universitário	1–0	FC Cajamarca	15	66′ Home
2	Universitário	2–0	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	16	55′ Home
2	Universitário		UCV Moquegua	17
2	Universitário	2–0	UTC Cajamarca	18	61′ Home

Melgar

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Alianza Lima	3–1	Melgar	4	30′ Home
2	Universitário		Melgar	4
3	Deportivo G.	1–0	Melgar	4	47′ Home
4 · Melgar
5	Cusco	0–1	Melgar	4	50′ Away
6	Santa Rosa	0–3	Melgar	4	—
7	Cienciano	1–3	Melgar	4	22′ Home
8	Alianza Atl.		Melgar	4
9	Sp. Cristal	1–2	Melgar	4	53′ Away
10	Boys	1–3	Melgar	4	6′ Away
11	Sport Huancayo		Melgar	4
12	ADC Juan Pablo II	1–1	Melgar	4	6′ Away
13	Grau	1–0	Melgar	4	69′ Home
14	Comerciantes	1–1	Melgar	4	44′ Away
15	FC Cajamarca	3–1	Melgar	4	42′ Away
16	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	1–1	Melgar	4	31′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua	0–0	Melgar	4	–
18	UTC Cajamarca		Melgar	4

Universitário Home Melgar Away

Wins

69%

38%

Over 1.5

77%

69%

Over 2.5

54%

46%

Over 3.5

15%

31%

Both teams scored

54%

62%

Clean sheets

38%

23%

Scores first

77%

54%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Universitário

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	2.23	1.43	1.81
Draws	15.4%	35.7%	25.9%
Goals scored / match	1.77	1.43	1.59
Goals conceded / match	0.77	1.50	1.15
Total goals / match	2.54	2.93	2.74
Failed to score	7.7%	35.7%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	46.2%	35.7%	40.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 10	50%
Scores first → wins	9 of 10	90%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 13/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Melgar

27 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away13 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.93	1.46	1.70
Draws	21.4%	30.8%	25.9%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.31	1.67
Goals conceded / match	1.07	1.08	1.07
Total goals / match	3.07	2.38	2.74
Failed to score	7.1%	23.1%	14.8%
Under 2.5 goals	35.7%	53.8%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	5 of 7	71%
Scores first → wins	4 of 7	57%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 5	20%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Universitário	Draw	Melgar	How it works
Strength (Elo)	51.9%	20.8%	27.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	18.0%	22.0%	58.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.94–1.90 Model expected goals

52.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 11.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-111.2%

0-210.6%

1-110.4%

1-29.9%

0-36.7%

1-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Universitário	Melgar	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1571	1564	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	32	31	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Universitário	0.75	0.85	0.55	0.65
Melgar	0.85	0.85	0.45	0.55

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Universitário	11%	11%	18%	30%	30%
Melgar	7%	11%	26%	22%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.89 Universitário at home, 9 matches

1.60 Melgar away, 10 matches

21d Days of rest for Universitário

21d Days of rest for Melgar

— Manager of Universitário

— Manager of Melgar

0 Matches for Universitário in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Melgar in the last 14 days

7 Points for Universitário behind the leaders, and 22 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Melgar behind the leaders, and 19 above the relegation zone

2.79 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Universitário, the right bar represents Melgar.

On the ball

20 matches

4.81

corners

5.17

11.9

fouls

9.35

2.27

yellow cards

2.15

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Universitário	LWDWWWDLWW	2.00	1.90–1.60	1L
Melgar	DWWLDWLDWW	1.80	1.60–0.90	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Universitário	8	7	5	1	0
Melgar	8	9	3	1	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Universitário

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Melgar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.