UCV Moquegua

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202600:00

Peru 2026 Primera División · Matchday 15

Santa Rosa

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

UCV MoqueguaWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Santa RosaWins: 1

Goals per match: 1.00
Over 2.5 goals: 0.0%
Both teams scored: 0.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-17	2026	Santa Rosa1–0UCV Moquegua

Recent matches

UCV Moquegua

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	2026	ADC Juan Pablo II4–0UCV Moquegua
2026-09-13	2026	UCV Moquegua1–2Sp. Cristal
2026-09-06	2026	Cusco2–0UCV Moquegua
2026-08-30	2026	UCV Moquegua1–4Alianza Atl.
2026-08-22	2026	Sport Huancayo0–2UCV Moquegua
2026-08-16	2026	UCV Moquegua1–1Boys
2026-08-09	2026	Deportivo G.2–0UCV Moquegua
2026-08-02	2026	UCV Moquegua0–0Melgar

Santa Rosa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-12	2026	Santa Rosa1–2FC Cajamarca
2026-09-06	2026	Sp. Cristal5–0Santa Rosa
2026-08-29	2026	Santa Rosa3–4ADC Juan Pablo II
2026-08-24	2026	Universitário3–0Santa Rosa
2026-08-15	2026	Santa Rosa0–3Melgar
2026-08-07	2026	Sport Huancayo1–1Santa Rosa
2026-07-31	2026	Santa Rosa3–2Comerciantes
2026-07-24	2026	Alianza Atl.3–1Santa Rosa

UCV Moquegua Santa Rosa

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

88%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

UCV Moquegua

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
17	UCV Moquegua		Alianza Lima	1
17	UCV Moquegua	0–0	Universitário	2	–
17	UCV Moquegua	1–0	Deportivo G.	3	57′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua	0–0	Melgar	4	–
17	UCV Moquegua	1–2	Cusco	5	22′ Away
17	UCV Moquegua		Santa Rosa	6
17	UCV Moquegua		Cienciano	7
17	UCV Moquegua	1–4	Alianza Atl.	8	20′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua	1–2	Sp. Cristal	9	6′ Away
17	UCV Moquegua	1–1	Boys	10	12′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua	2–1	Sport Huancayo	11	21′ Away
17	UCV Moquegua	3–0	ADC Juan Pablo II	12	49′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua		Grau	13
17	UCV Moquegua	2–2	Comerciantes	14	2′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua	2–1	FC Cajamarca	15	—
17	UCV Moquegua	2–2	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	16	21′ Home
17 · UCV Moquegua
17	UCV Moquegua	2–3	UTC Cajamarca	18	—

Santa Rosa

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Alianza Lima	3–0	Santa Rosa	6	13′ Home
2	Universitário	3–0	Santa Rosa	6	26′ Home
3	Deportivo G.		Santa Rosa	6
4	Melgar	1–2	Santa Rosa	6	37′ Home
5	Cusco	1–1	Santa Rosa	6	46′ Home
6 · Santa Rosa
7	Cienciano		Santa Rosa	6
8	Alianza Atl.	3–1	Santa Rosa	6	15′ Home
9	Sp. Cristal	5–0	Santa Rosa	6	11′ Home
10	Boys	1–1	Santa Rosa	6	30′ Away
11	Sport Huancayo	1–1	Santa Rosa	6	41′ Home
12	ADC Juan Pablo II	2–3	Santa Rosa	6	19′ Away
13	Grau		Santa Rosa	6
14	Comerciantes	1–1	Santa Rosa	6	25′ Away
15	FC Cajamarca	0–1	Santa Rosa	6	10′ Away
16	Asociacion Deportiva Tarma	4–0	Santa Rosa	6	56′ Home
17	UCV Moquegua		Santa Rosa	6
18	UTC Cajamarca		Santa Rosa	6

UCV Moquegua Home Santa Rosa Away

Wins

31%

25%

Over 1.5

77%

92%

Over 2.5

69%

58%

Over 3.5

31%

33%

Both teams scored

69%

58%

Clean sheets

31%

8%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

UCV Moquegua

27 matches

Goals & results	Home13 matches	Away14 matches	Overall27 matches
Points / match	1.31	0.57	0.93
Draws	38.5%	14.3%	25.9%
Goals scored / match	1.38	0.43	0.89
Goals conceded / match	1.38	1.64	1.52
Total goals / match	2.77	2.07	2.41
Failed to score	15.4%	71.4%	44.4%
Under 2.5 goals	30.8%	57.1%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/13 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Santa Rosa

26 matches

Goals & results	Home14 matches	Away12 matches	Overall26 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.08	1.58
Draws	7.1%	33.3%	19.2%
Goals scored / match	1.71	0.92	1.35
Goals conceded / match	1.36	2.08	1.69
Total goals / match	3.07	3.00	3.04
Failed to score	14.3%	33.3%	23.1%
Under 2.5 goals	42.9%	41.7%	42.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 4	75%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 8	12%

Scoring order known: 12/12 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	3
16–30	3	2
31–45	1	4
46–60	0	4
61–75	1	5
76–90	5	7

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	UCV Moquegua	Draw	Santa Rosa	How it works
Strength (Elo)	46.0%	22.6%	31.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.6%	24.8%	49.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.06–1.62 Model expected goals

49.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 11.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-111.8%

0-111.2%

1-29.5%

0-29.0%

1-07.3%

0-06.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	UCV Moquegua	Santa Rosa	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1426	1465	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-43	-82	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1505	1494	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
UCV Moquegua	0.50	0.45	0.55	0.90
Santa Rosa	0.75	0.45	0.85	1.05

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
UCV Moquegua	15%	15%	15%	33%	22%
Santa Rosa	0%	23%	19%	19%	38%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.10 UCV Moquegua at home, 10 matches

0.89 Santa Rosa away, 9 matches

41d Days of rest for UCV Moquegua

49d Days of rest for Santa Rosa

— Manager of UCV Moquegua

— Manager of Santa Rosa

0 Matches for UCV Moquegua in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Santa Rosa in the last 14 days

31 Points for UCV Moquegua behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

15 Points for Santa Rosa behind the leaders, and 14 above the relegation zone

2.79 League goals per match

23.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents UCV Moquegua, the right bar represents Santa Rosa.

On the ball

20 matches

3.12

corners

4.47

11.26

fouls

10.5

2.5

yellow cards

2.19

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
UCV Moquegua	LLLLWDLDDD	0.70	0.70–1.70	4L
Santa Rosa	LLLLLDWLWD	0.80	1.20–2.50	5L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
UCV Moquegua	7	6	7	0	4
Santa Rosa	7	5	8	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

UCV Moquegua

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Santa Rosa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.