Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- LiverpoolWins
- 0
- Draws100.0% of meetings
- 1
- ProgresoWins
- 0
- Goals per match
- 6.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 100.0%
- Both teams scored
- 100.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 |
2026
|
Progreso3–3Liverpool |
Recent matches
Liverpool
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Central Esp.1–2Liverpool |
| 2026-09-21 |
2026
|
Liverpool0–0Racing |
| 2026-09-14 |
2026
|
Torque3–1Liverpool |
| 2026-09-06 |
2026
|
Liverpool1–0Boston River |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo1–1Liverpool |
| 2026-08-21 |
2026
|
Liverpool4–0Cerro |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
Def. Sporting0–4Liverpool |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Liverpool1–0Albion |
Progreso
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
2026
|
Progreso2–1Racing |
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Boston River1–2Progreso |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Progreso1–3Cerro |
| 2026-09-07 |
2026
|
Albion0–1Progreso |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Progreso1–0Danubio |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Nacional1–0Progreso |
| 2026-08-16 |
2026
|
Progreso0–2Dep. Maldonado |
| 2026-08-08 |
2026
|
Central Esp.1–0Progreso |
Liverpool
Progreso
Wins
62%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
38%
Both teams scored
38%
38%
Clean sheets
62%
25%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Liverpool
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Liverpool | Peñarol | 1 | ||
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–2 | Dep. Maldonado | 2 | 40′ Away |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Torque | 3 | – |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Racing | 4 | – |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Racing | 4 | – |
| 6 | Liverpool | 1–3 | Nacional | 5 | 21′ Away |
| 6 · Liverpool | |||||
| 6 | Liverpool | Wanderers | 7 | ||
| 6 | Liverpool | 3–3 | Central Esp. | 8 | — |
| 6 | Liverpool | Juventud | 9 | ||
| 6 | Liverpool | 1–2 | Def. Sporting | 10 | 33′ Away |
| 6 | Liverpool | 1–0 | Albion | 11 | 87′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 35′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | – |
| 6 | Liverpool | 1–2 | Cerro | 13 | 21′ Away |
| 6 | Liverpool | 4–0 | Cerro | 13 | 58′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | 1–0 | Boston River | 14 | 73′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | Progreso | 15 | ||
| 6 | Liverpool | 3–0 | Danubio | 16 | 58′ Home |
Progreso
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | Progreso | 15 | ||
| 2 | Dep. Maldonado | 2–0 | Progreso | 15 | 29′ Home |
| 3 | Torque | 2–1 | Progreso | 15 | — |
| 4 | Racing | 1–1 | Progreso | 15 | 17′ Home |
| 5 | Nacional | 2–1 | Progreso | 15 | — |
| 5 | Nacional | 1–0 | Progreso | 15 | 89′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | Progreso | 15 | ||
| 7 | Wanderers | 2–0 | Progreso | 15 | 11′ Home |
| 8 | Central Esp. | 1–0 | Progreso | 15 | 58′ Home |
| 9 | Juventud | 1–0 | Progreso | 15 | 43′ Home |
| 9 | Juventud | 2–0 | Progreso | 15 | 17′ Home |
| 10 | Def. Sporting | 1–0 | Progreso | 15 | 90+8′ Home |
| 11 | Albion | 0–1 | Progreso | 15 | 22′ Away |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | Progreso | 15 | ||
| 13 | Cerro | 0–1 | Progreso | 15 | 84′ Away |
| 14 | Boston River | 1–2 | Progreso | 15 | — |
| 15 · Progreso | |||||
| 16 | Danubio | 2–2 | Progreso | 15 | — |
| 16 | Danubio | 1–2 | Progreso | 15 | 27′ Home |
Liverpool Home
Progreso Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Liverpool
| Goals & results | Home14 matches | Away16 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.43 | 1.62 | 1.53 |
| Draws | 35.7% | 31.2% | 33.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.21 | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| Total goals / match | 2.07 | 2.38 | 2.23 |
| Failed to score | 35.7% | 18.8% | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57.1% | 56.2% | 56.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 13/14 home.Scoring order known: 29/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Progreso
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Draws | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.93 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.60 | 1.27 | 1.43 |
| Total goals / match | 2.53 | 2.00 | 2.27 |
| Failed to score | 40.0% | 46.7% | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% | 66.7% | 56.7% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 13/15 away.Scoring order known: 28/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Liverpool | Draw | Progreso | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 55.9% | 20.7% | 23.5% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 54.7% | 29.1% | 16.0% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.30–0.56
Model expected goals
28.4%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
31.1%
Both teams to score
1-0
Most likely score, at 20.2%
Most likely scores
1-020.2%
0-015.5%
2-013.2%
1-111.3%
0-18.7%
2-17.4%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Liverpool | Progreso | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1546 | 1423 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | 55 | 20 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1498 | 1499 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| Progreso | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 17% | 20% | 20% | 23% | 20% |
| Progreso | 0% | 37% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.67
Liverpool at home, 9 matches
0.82
Progreso away, 11 matches
6d
Days of rest for Liverpool
7d
Days of rest for Progreso
—
Manager of Liverpool
—
Manager of Progreso
2
Matches for Liverpool in the last 14 days
2
Matches for Progreso in the last 14 days
16
Points for Liverpool behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone
34
Points for Progreso behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
2.37
League goals per match
25.9%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Liverpool, the right bar represents Progreso.
On the ball
5.05
4.05
corners
15.5
15.0
fouls
2.94
3.12
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | WDLWDWWWDW | 2.10 | 1.60–0.60 | 1W |
| Progreso | WWLWWLLLLW | 1.50 | 0.90–1.10 | 2W |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Progreso | 5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Liverpool
No absences reported.
Progreso
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
Bayern monitoring Wirtz - Monday's gossip
BBC Sport
09-13
Frustrated Liverpool lack any spark as Fulham claim deserved first point
The Guardian
09-12
Liverpool beat newly-promoted Charlton 4-0
BBC Sport
09-06
Women’s Super League: Shaw doubles up to give Manchester City winning start
The Guardian
09-06
Football transfer rumours: Manchester United and Liverpool eye Kroupi? Vardy to Wrexham?
The Guardian
09-01
Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action
The Guardian
08-31