Head-to-head overview
1 meetings- DanubioWins
- 0
- Draws0.0% of meetings
- 0
- Cerro LargoWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.00
- Over 2.5 goals
- 0.0%
- Both teams scored
- 0.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo2–0Danubio |
Recent matches
Danubio
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 |
2026
|
Def. Sporting1–0Danubio |
| 2026-09-20 |
2026
|
Danubio1–1Wanderers |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Juventud1–1Danubio |
| 2026-09-05 |
2026
|
Danubio0–4Peñarol |
| 2026-08-29 |
2026
|
Progreso1–0Danubio |
| 2026-08-23 |
2026
|
Danubio0–0Racing |
| 2026-08-14 |
2026
|
Boston River0–0Danubio |
| 2026-08-09 |
2026
|
Danubio0–1Cerro |
Cerro Largo
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo0–2Nacional |
| 2026-09-19 |
2026
|
Dep. Maldonado2–0Cerro Largo |
| 2026-09-13 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo0–0Central Esp. |
| 2026-09-04 |
2026
|
Torque2–1Cerro Largo |
| 2026-08-30 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo1–1Liverpool |
| 2026-08-22 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo1–1Def. Sporting |
| 2026-08-15 |
2026
|
Wanderers1–1Cerro Largo |
| 2026-08-07 |
2026
|
Cerro Largo1–1Juventud |
Danubio
Cerro Largo
Wins
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
12%
12%
Both teams scored
25%
62%
Clean sheets
25%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 2026
Danubio
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Danubio | 0–4 | Peñarol | 1 | 16′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | 1–1 | Dep. Maldonado | 2 | 14′ Home |
| 16 | Danubio | 1–1 | Torque | 3 | 45+1′ Home |
| 16 | Danubio | 0–0 | Racing | 4 | – |
| 16 | Danubio | 0–0 | Nacional | 5 | – |
| 16 | Danubio | Liverpool | 6 | ||
| 16 | Danubio | 1–1 | Wanderers | 7 | 54′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | Central Esp. | 8 | ||
| 16 | Danubio | 4–1 | Juventud | 9 | 25′ Home |
| 16 | Danubio | 1–1 | Juventud | 9 | 45+1′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | 0–0 | Def. Sporting | 10 | – |
| 16 | Danubio | 0–1 | Albion | 11 | 45+2′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | Cerro Largo | 12 | ||
| 16 | Danubio | 0–1 | Cerro | 13 | 24′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | 2–0 | Boston River | 14 | 49′ Home |
| 16 | Danubio | 2–2 | Progreso | 15 | — |
| 16 | Danubio | 1–2 | Progreso | 15 | 27′ Home |
| 16 · Danubio | |||||
Cerro Largo
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peñarol | 3–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 34′ Home |
| 2 | Dep. Maldonado | 2–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 12′ Home |
| 3 | Torque | 2–1 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 41′ Away |
| 4 | Racing | 1–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 14′ Home |
| 5 | Nacional | 3–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 15′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 35′ Home |
| 6 | Liverpool | 0–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | – |
| 7 | Wanderers | 1–1 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 45+4′ Home |
| 8 | Central Esp. | 1–3 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 30′ Away |
| 8 | Central Esp. | 0–1 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 24′ Away |
| 9 | Juventud | 0–1 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 25′ Away |
| 10 | Def. Sporting | 1–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 52′ Home |
| 11 | Albion | 2–2 | Cerro Largo | 12 | — |
| 12 · Cerro Largo | |||||
| 13 | Cerro | Cerro Largo | 12 | ||
| 14 | Boston River | 1–0 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 83′ Home |
| 15 | Progreso | 0–1 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 56′ Away |
| 16 | Danubio | Cerro Largo | 12 | ||
Danubio Home
Cerro Largo Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.
Danubio
| Goals & results | Home14 matches | Away16 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.87 |
| Draws | 57.1% | 37.5% | 46.7% |
| Goals scored / match | 0.93 | 0.69 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.07 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Total goals / match | 2.00 | 2.19 | 2.10 |
| Failed to score | 42.9% | 50.0% | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 71.4% | 56.2% | 63.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 13/14 home.Scoring order known: 29/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Cerro Largo
| Goals & results | Home15 matches | Away15 matches | Overall30 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Draws | 40.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.20 | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Total goals / match | 2.20 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| Failed to score | 26.7% | 53.3% | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73.3% | 66.7% | 70.0% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 14/15 away.Scoring order known: 29/30 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Danubio | Draw | Cerro Largo | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 35.4% | 25.9% | 38.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 19.2% | 35.4% | 45.4% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
0.52–0.97
Model expected goals
18.8%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
25.1%
Both teams to score
0-0
Most likely score, at 22.5%
Most likely scores
0-022.5%
0-121.9%
1-011.7%
1-111.4%
0-210.6%
1-25.5%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Danubio | Cerro Largo | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1420 | 1464 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -40 | -37 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1501 | 1506 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.95 |
| Cerro Largo | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.60 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 17% | 20% | 27% | 13% | 23% |
| Cerro Largo | 7% | 27% | 37% | 17% | 13% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
0.56
Danubio at home, 9 matches
0.89
Cerro Largo away, 9 matches
7d
Days of rest for Danubio
8d
Days of rest for Cerro Largo
—
Manager of Danubio
—
Manager of Cerro Largo
2
Matches for Danubio in the last 14 days
1
Matches for Cerro Largo in the last 14 days
36
Points for Danubio behind the leaders, and -7 above the relegation zone
29
Points for Cerro Largo behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.37
League goals per match
25.9%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Danubio, the right bar represents Cerro Largo.
On the ball
4.79
3.5
corners
10.0
11.0
fouls
2.75
2.75
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | LDDLLDDLDL | 0.50 | 0.40–1.20 | 1L |
| Cerro Largo | LLDLDDDDLW | 0.80 | 0.60–1.30 | 2L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Cerro Largo | 6 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Danubio
No absences reported.
Cerro Largo
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.