Racing

Racing

VS Scheduled Sunday 4 Oct 202623:30

Uruguay 2026 Primera División · Matchday 9

Peñarol

Head-to-head overview

2 meetings

RacingWins: 1
Draws50.0% of meetings: 1
PeñarolWins: 0

Goals per match: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-12	2026	Racing1–1Peñarol
2026-03-29	2026	Peñarol1–2Racing

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Progreso2–1Racing
2026-09-21	2026	Liverpool0–0Racing
2026-09-12	2026	Racing3–2Boston River
2026-09-06	2026	Cerro1–0Racing
2026-08-31	2026	Racing1–0Albion
2026-08-23	2026	Danubio0–0Racing
2026-08-15	2026	Racing2–0Nacional
2026-08-10	2026	Dep. Maldonado2–2Racing

Peñarol

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-26	2026	Peñarol2–1Boston River
2026-09-19	2026	Cerro1–2Peñarol
2026-09-13	2026	Peñarol3–1Albion
2026-09-05	2026	Danubio0–4Peñarol
2026-08-30	2026	Peñarol0–1Nacional
2026-08-22	2026	Dep. Maldonado0–0Peñarol
2026-08-16	2026	Peñarol2–1Central Esp.
2026-08-06	2026	Peñarol5–1Wanderers

Racing Peñarol

Wins

38%

75%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

62%

Clean sheets

50%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 2026

Racing

Home · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Racing	1–1	Peñarol	1	31′ Home
4	Racing	2–4	Dep. Maldonado	2	—
4	Racing	1–1	Torque	3	—
4 · Racing
4	Racing	2–0	Nacional	5	55′ Home
4	Racing	1–0	Liverpool	6	89′ Home
4	Racing		Wanderers	7
4	Racing		Central Esp.	8
4	Racing	2–1	Juventud	9	—
4	Racing	1–1	Def. Sporting	10	39′ Home
4	Racing	0–0	Def. Sporting	10	–
4	Racing	1–0	Albion	11	80′ Home
4	Racing	1–0	Cerro Largo	12	14′ Home
4	Racing	1–0	Cerro	13	90′ Home
4	Racing	1–0	Boston River	14	—
4	Racing	3–2	Boston River	14	22′ Home
4	Racing	1–1	Progreso	15	17′ Home
4	Racing	4–0	Danubio	16	28′ Home

Peñarol

Away · Primera División

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Peñarol
2	Dep. Maldonado	0–0	Peñarol	1	–
3	Torque		Peñarol	1
4	Racing	1–1	Peñarol	1	31′ Home
5	Nacional	0–1	Peñarol	1	76′ Away
6	Liverpool		Peñarol	1
7	Wanderers	1–0	Peñarol	1	58′ Home
8	Central Esp.	2–1	Peñarol	1	57′ Home
9	Juventud		Peñarol	1
10	Def. Sporting	0–2	Peñarol	1	48′ Away
11	Albion	0–1	Peñarol	1	24′ Away
12	Cerro Largo	2–3	Peñarol	1	45+2′ Home
13	Cerro	0–1	Peñarol	1	57′ Away
13	Cerro	1–2	Peñarol	1	15′ Away
14	Boston River	0–2	Peñarol	1	7′ Away
15	Progreso	0–2	Peñarol	1	24′ Away
16	Danubio	0–4	Peñarol	1	16′ Away

Racing Home Peñarol Away

Wins

60%

69%

Over 1.5

60%

62%

Over 2.5

27%

31%

Over 3.5

20%

15%

Both teams scored

47%

31%

Clean sheets

53%

62%

Scores first

N/A

62%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Primera División · 2026 · Completed league matches only.

Racing

30 matches

Goals & results	Home15 matches	Away15 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	2.13	1.40	1.77
Draws	33.3%	40.0%	36.7%
Goals scored / match	1.47	0.93	1.20
Goals conceded / match	0.73	0.87	0.80
Total goals / match	2.20	1.80	2.00
Failed to score	6.7%	40.0%	23.3%
Under 2.5 goals	73.3%	66.7%	70.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 12/15 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Peñarol

30 matches

Goals & results	Home17 matches	Away13 matches	Overall30 matches
Points / match	1.94	2.23	2.07
Draws	17.6%	15.4%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.94	1.54	1.77
Goals conceded / match	1.06	0.54	0.83
Total goals / match	3.00	2.08	2.60
Failed to score	17.6%	15.4%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	29.4%	69.2%	46.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 8	50%
Scores first → wins	8 of 8	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 4	25%

Scoring order known: 13/13 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	3	1
31–45	1	2
46–60	6	2
61–75	2	1
76–90	6	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Racing	Draw	Peñarol	How it works
Strength (Elo)	32.7%	25.5%	41.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.4%	29.8%	52.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.59–1.26 Model expected goals

28.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

31.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 19.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-119.8%

0-015.7%

0-212.5%

1-111.7%

1-09.3%

1-27.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Racing	Peñarol	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1549	1620	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-9	67	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1488	1491	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Racing	0.45	0.45	0.35	0.40
Peñarol	0.70	1.10	0.45	0.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Racing	13%	30%	27%	13%	17%
Peñarol	3%	20%	23%	30%	23%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.11 Racing at home, 9 matches

2.12 Peñarol away, 8 matches

8d Days of rest for Racing

8d Days of rest for Peñarol

— Manager of Racing

— Manager of Peñarol

2 Matches for Racing in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Peñarol in the last 14 days

9 Points for Racing behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Peñarol behind the leaders, and 29 above the relegation zone

2.37 League goals per match

25.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Racing, the right bar represents Peñarol.

On the ball

20 matches

5.17

corners

4.39

15.0

fouls

15.0

2.87

yellow cards

3.19

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Racing	LDWLWDWDWL	1.50	1.00–0.80	1L
Peñarol	WWWWLDWWWW	2.50	2.40–0.60	4W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Racing	6	10	4	1	2
Peñarol	8	7	5	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Racing

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Peñarol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.