Nurnberg

Nurnberg

VS Scheduled Saturday 10 Oct 202619:30

Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 7

Wolfsburg

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Karlsruhe0–1Nurnberg
2026-09-11	26/27	Nurnberg2–1Hannover
2026-09-05	26/27	Holstein Kiel2–2Nurnberg
2026-08-29	26/27	Nurnberg4–1Bielefeld
2026-08-15	26/27	Greuther Furth2–4Nurnberg
2026-08-09	26/27	Nurnberg3–0Dresden
2026-05-17	25/26	Hannover3–3Nurnberg
2026-05-09	25/26	Nurnberg3–0Schalke 04

Wolfsburg

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Wolfsburg5–1Darmstadt
2026-09-13	26/27	St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-12	26/27	St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-05	26/27	Wolfsburg4–4Cottbus
2026-08-29	26/27	Karlsruhe2–5Wolfsburg
2026-08-16	26/27	Hannover0–1Wolfsburg
2026-08-08	26/27	Wolfsburg0–0Kaiserslautern

Nurnberg Wolfsburg

Wins

75%

43%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

43%

Both teams scored

62%

43%

Clean sheets

38%

29%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nurnberg

Home · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Nurnberg		Hertha	1
2 · Nurnberg
2	Nurnberg		Heidenheim	3
2	Nurnberg		Magdeburg	4
2	Nurnberg		Wolfsburg	5
2	Nurnberg		Cottbus	6
2	Nurnberg		Kaiserslautern	7
2	Nurnberg		St Pauli	8
2	Nurnberg		Bochum	9
2	Nurnberg		Greuther Furth	10
2	Nurnberg	2–1	Hannover	11	5′ Home
2	Nurnberg		Osnabruck	12
2	Nurnberg		Braunschweig	13
2	Nurnberg	4–1	Bielefeld	14	11′ Home
2	Nurnberg	3–0	Dresden	15	9′ Home
2	Nurnberg		Karlsruhe	16
2	Nurnberg		Holstein Kiel	17
2	Nurnberg		Darmstadt	18

Wolfsburg

Away · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Hertha		Wolfsburg	5
2	Nurnberg		Wolfsburg	5
3	Heidenheim		Wolfsburg	5
4	Magdeburg		Wolfsburg	5
5 · Wolfsburg
6	Cottbus		Wolfsburg	5
7	Kaiserslautern		Wolfsburg	5
8	St Pauli	1–0	Wolfsburg	5	88′ Home
8	St Pauli	1–0	Wolfsburg	5	—
9	Bochum		Wolfsburg	5
10	Greuther Furth		Wolfsburg	5
11	Hannover	0–1	Wolfsburg	5	87′ Away
12	Osnabruck		Wolfsburg	5
13	Braunschweig		Wolfsburg	5
14	Bielefeld		Wolfsburg	5
15	Dresden		Wolfsburg	5
16	Karlsruhe	2–5	Wolfsburg	5	7′ Home
17	Holstein Kiel		Wolfsburg	5
18	Darmstadt		Wolfsburg	5

Nurnberg Home Wolfsburg Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

25%

Over 2.5

100%

25%

Over 3.5

33%

25%

Both teams scored

67%

25%

Clean sheets

33%

25%

Scores first

100%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nurnberg

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.33	2.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	3.00	2.33	2.67
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.33	1.00
Total goals / match	3.67	3.67	3.67
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	3	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wolfsburg

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.50	1.57
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	3.00	1.50	2.14
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.00	1.29
Total goals / match	4.67	2.50	3.43
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	42.9%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	75.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nurnberg	Draw	Wolfsburg	How it works
Strength (Elo)	48.5%	22.9%	28.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	33.0%	22.4%	42.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.58–1.83 Model expected goals

64.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

65.3% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.5%

1-28.7%

2-17.5%

2-26.9%

0-16.0%

0-25.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nurnberg	Wolfsburg	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1574	1527	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	84	28	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1519	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	49.3%	57.6%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.4%	61.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1137	1018	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	43.0%	33.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	70.7%	68.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nurnberg	1.25	0.75	0.60	0.55
Wolfsburg	1.33	1.17	0.67	0.67

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nurnberg	2%	15%	25%	35%	22%
Wolfsburg	14%	43%	0%	0%	43%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Nurnberg at home, 9 matches

1.50 Wolfsburg away, 4 matches

21d Days of rest for Nurnberg

22d Days of rest for Wolfsburg

— Manager of Nurnberg

— Manager of Wolfsburg

0 Matches for Nurnberg in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wolfsburg in the last 14 days

5 Points for Nurnberg behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

10 Points for Wolfsburg behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

2.98 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nurnberg, the right bar represents Wolfsburg.

On the ball

20 matches

13.17

shots

20.75

4.78

shots on target

7.5

36.3%

accuracy

36.1%

4.7

corners

6.5

11.45

fouls

13.0

2.1

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nurnberg	WWDWWWDWDW	2.40	2.40–1.00	2W
Wolfsburg	WLLDWWD	1.57	2.14–1.29	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nurnberg	10	8	2	0	3
Wolfsburg	3	3	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nurnberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wolfsburg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.