Hertha

Hertha

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202612:30

Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 7

Greuther Furth

Head-to-head overview

6 meetings

HerthaWins: 4
Draws16.7% of meetings: 1
Greuther FurthWins: 1

Goals per match: 3.50
Over 2.5 goals: 83.3%
Both teams scored: 66.7%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-10	25/26	Hertha2–1Greuther Furth
2025-12-12	25/26	Greuther Furth3–3Hertha
2025-05-04	24/25	Hertha1–0Greuther Furth
2024-12-07	24/25	Greuther Furth2–1Hertha
2024-02-11	23/24	Greuther Furth1–2Hertha
2023-08-26	23/24	Hertha5–0Greuther Furth

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dresden1–2Hertha
2026-09-14	26/27	Osnabruck1–3Hertha
2026-09-13	26/27	Osnabruck1–3Hertha
2026-09-06	26/27	Hertha2–1Magdeburg
2026-08-28	26/27	Braunschweig3–5Hertha
2026-08-15	26/27	Hertha4–1Heidenheim
2026-08-07	26/27	Bochum0–1Hertha
2026-05-17	25/26	Bielefeld6–1Hertha

Greuther Furth

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Greuther Furth1–1Magdeburg
2026-09-13	26/27	Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-12	26/27	Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-06	26/27	Greuther Furth0–1Heidenheim
2026-08-29	26/27	Cottbus3–4Greuther Furth
2026-08-15	26/27	Greuther Furth2–4Nurnberg
2026-08-09	26/27	St Pauli1–1Greuther Furth
2026-05-17	25/26	Greuther Furth3–0Fortuna Dusseldorf

Hertha Greuther Furth

Wins

88%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

38%

Both teams scored

88%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hertha

Home · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Hertha
1	Hertha		Nurnberg	2
1	Hertha	4–1	Heidenheim	3	2′ Home
1	Hertha	2–1	Magdeburg	4	10′ Home
1	Hertha		Wolfsburg	5
1	Hertha		Cottbus	6
1	Hertha		Kaiserslautern	7
1	Hertha		St Pauli	8
1	Hertha		Bochum	9
1	Hertha		Greuther Furth	10
1	Hertha		Hannover	11
1	Hertha		Osnabruck	12
1	Hertha		Braunschweig	13
1	Hertha		Bielefeld	14
1	Hertha		Dresden	15
1	Hertha		Karlsruhe	16
1	Hertha		Holstein Kiel	17
1	Hertha		Darmstadt	18

Greuther Furth

Away · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Hertha		Greuther Furth	10
2	Nurnberg		Greuther Furth	10
3	Heidenheim		Greuther Furth	10
4	Magdeburg		Greuther Furth	10
5	Wolfsburg		Greuther Furth	10
6	Cottbus	3–4	Greuther Furth	10	—
7	Kaiserslautern		Greuther Furth	10
8	St Pauli	1–1	Greuther Furth	10	46′ Home
9	Bochum	1–1	Greuther Furth	10	16′ Home
9	Bochum	1–1	Greuther Furth	10	—
10 · Greuther Furth
11	Hannover		Greuther Furth	10
12	Osnabruck		Greuther Furth	10
13	Braunschweig		Greuther Furth	10
14	Bielefeld		Greuther Furth	10
15	Dresden		Greuther Furth	10
16	Karlsruhe		Greuther Furth	10
17	Holstein Kiel		Greuther Furth	10
18	Darmstadt		Greuther Furth	10

Hertha Home Greuther Furth Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

25%

Over 3.5

50%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

100%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hertha

7 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away5 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	3.00	2.80	2.86
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.20	1.14
Total goals / match	4.00	4.00	4.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	20.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Greuther Furth

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.33	1.50	1.00
Draws	33.3%	75.0%	57.1%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.75	1.43
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.50	1.71
Total goals / match	3.00	3.25	3.14
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	75.0%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Hertha	Draw	Greuther Furth	How it works
Strength (Elo)	60.2%	18.1%	21.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	39.1%	23.1%	36.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.67–1.61 Model expected goals

62.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

63.9% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.1%

2-18.5%

1-28.1%

2-26.8%

1-06.3%

0-16.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Hertha	Greuther Furth	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1592	1460	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	51	25	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1492	1526	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	49.8%	47.4%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	50.3%	50.9%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1021	976	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	39.2%	29.6%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	62.8%	67.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Hertha	0.95	0.95	0.58	1.05
Greuther Furth	0.74	0.63	0.58	0.84

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Hertha	8%	22%	18%	22%	30%
Greuther Furth	5%	10%	25%	25%	35%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.62 Hertha at home, 8 matches

1.00 Greuther Furth away, 10 matches

22d Days of rest for Hertha

23d Days of rest for Greuther Furth

— Manager of Hertha

— Manager of Greuther Furth

0 Matches for Hertha in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Greuther Furth in the last 14 days

0 Points for Hertha behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Greuther Furth behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.98 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hertha, the right bar represents Greuther Furth.

On the ball

20 matches

13.82

shots

13.29

4.65

shots on target

4.76

33.6%

accuracy

35.8%

4.68

corners

4.84

11.53

fouls

9.47

2.26

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Hertha	WWWWWWWLWL	2.40	2.30–1.60	7W
Greuther Furth	DDDLWLDWLD	1.10	1.50–1.50	3D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Hertha	7	10	2	0	3
Greuther Furth	5	10	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hertha

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Greuther Furth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.