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Hannover
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 8
St Pauli

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
HannoverWins
5
Draws20.0% of meetings
2
St PauliWins
3
Goals per match
2.60
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
40.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2024-04-21 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Hannover1–2St Pauli
2023-11-10 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 St Pauli0–0Hannover
2023-02-05 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 St Pauli2–0Hannover
2022-07-23 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 Hannover2–2St Pauli
2022-02-20 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 21/22 St Pauli0–3Hannover
2021-09-11 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 21/22 Hannover1–0St Pauli
2021-05-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 St Pauli1–2Hannover
2021-01-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 Hannover2–3St Pauli
Recent matches

Hannover

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Hannover2–1Bochum
2026-09-11 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Nurnberg2–1Hannover
2026-09-04 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Hannover2–2Karlsruhe
2026-08-30 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Darmstadt0–1Hannover
2026-08-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Hannover0–1Wolfsburg
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Cottbus3–1Hannover
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Hannover3–3Nurnberg
2026-05-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Bochum1–1Hannover

St Pauli

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Cottbus1–1St Pauli
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-12 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-04 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bielefeld2–2St Pauli
2026-08-30 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–2Kaiserslautern
2026-08-14 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel2–2St Pauli
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–1Greuther Furth
2024-05-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Wehen1–2St Pauli
Hannover St Pauli

Wins

25%
38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Hannover

Home · 2. Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
11 Hannover Hertha 1
11 Hannover Nurnberg 2
11 Hannover Heidenheim 3
11 Hannover Magdeburg 4
11 Hannover 0–1 Wolfsburg 5 87′ Away
11 Hannover Cottbus 6
11 Hannover Kaiserslautern 7
11 Hannover St Pauli 8
11 Hannover 2–1 Bochum 9 24′ Home
11 Hannover Greuther Furth 10
11 · Hannover
11 Hannover Osnabruck 12
11 Hannover Braunschweig 13
11 Hannover Bielefeld 14
11 Hannover Dresden 15
11 Hannover 2–2 Karlsruhe 16 26′ Home
11 Hannover Holstein Kiel 17
11 Hannover Darmstadt 18

St Pauli

Away · 2. Bundesliga
Hannover Home St Pauli Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Hannover

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.331.001.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.331.001.17
Goals conceded / match1.331.671.50
Total goals / match2.672.672.67
Failed to score33.3%0.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%33.3%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3021
31–4520
46–6000
61–7500
76–9003

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

St Pauli

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.751.001.43
Draws25.0%100.0%57.1%
Goals scored / match1.001.671.29
Goals conceded / match0.751.671.14
Total goals / match1.753.332.43
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%33.3%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4521
46–6002
61–7510
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelHannoverDraw St PauliHow it works
Strength (Elo) 41.5% 24.6% 33.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 29.1% 24.7% 45.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.23–1.60 Model expected goals
52.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
55.8% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.6%
0-19.5%
1-29.3%
0-27.6%
1-07.3%
2-17.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureHannoverSt Pauli How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1549 1559 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -45 -82 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1509 1495 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 51.4% 55.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 53.2% 52.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1029 1045 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.3% 34.1% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 73.6% 70.4% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Hannover 0.900.70 0.550.75
St Pauli 0.790.89 0.370.95

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Hannover 5%12%15%28%40%
St Pauli 10%15%22%20%32%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.36 Hannover at home, 11 matches
1.50 St Pauli away, 10 matches
27d Days of rest for Hannover
27d Days of rest for St Pauli
— Manager of Hannover
— Manager of St Pauli
0 Matches for Hannover in the last 14 days
0 Matches for St Pauli in the last 14 days
14 Points for Hannover behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
11 Points for St Pauli behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.98 League goals per match
25.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Hannover, the right bar represents St Pauli.

On the ball

20 matches
14.56
shots
13.53
5.5
shots on target
5.18
37.8%
accuracy
38.3%
6.6
corners
5.32
10.0
fouls
9.05
2.0
yellow cards
2.05

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Hannover WLDWLLDDDW 1.30 1.70–1.70 1W
St Pauli DWWDLDDWWL 1.60 1.40–1.10 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Hannover8 93 03
St Pauli8 74 12
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Hannover

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

St Pauli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.