Head-to-head overview
10 meetings- Holstein KielWins
- 8
- Draws10.0% of meetings
- 1
- DresdenWins
- 1
- Goals per match
- 2.60
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70.0%
- Both teams scored
- 40.0%
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Dresden2–1Holstein Kiel |
| 2025-12-20 |
25/26
|
Holstein Kiel2–1Dresden |
| 2022-04-16 |
21/22
|
Dresden0–0Holstein Kiel |
| 2021-11-05 |
21/22
|
Holstein Kiel2–1Dresden |
| 2020-06-18 |
19/20
|
Holstein Kiel2–0Dresden |
| 2019-11-30 |
19/20
|
Dresden1–2Holstein Kiel |
| 2019-05-12 |
18/19
|
Holstein Kiel3–0Dresden |
| 2018-12-09 |
18/19
|
Dresden0–2Holstein Kiel |
| 2018-04-14 |
17/18
|
Dresden0–4Holstein Kiel |
| 2017-11-05 |
17/18
|
Holstein Kiel3–0Dresden |
Recent matches
Holstein Kiel
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Holstein Kiel1–1Osnabruck |
| 2026-09-14 |
26/27
|
Heidenheim1–0Holstein Kiel |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Heidenheim1–0Holstein Kiel |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Holstein Kiel2–2Nurnberg |
| 2026-08-30 |
26/27
|
Magdeburg2–0Holstein Kiel |
| 2026-08-14 |
26/27
|
Holstein Kiel2–2St Pauli |
| 2026-08-08 |
26/27
|
Darmstadt2–2Holstein Kiel |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Dresden2–1Holstein Kiel |
Dresden
| Date | Season | Match |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 |
26/27
|
Dresden1–2Hertha |
| 2026-09-13 |
26/27
|
Braunschweig2–2Dresden |
| 2026-09-12 |
26/27
|
Braunschweig2–2Dresden |
| 2026-09-05 |
26/27
|
Dresden1–2Bochum |
| 2026-08-29 |
26/27
|
Heidenheim5–3Dresden |
| 2026-08-16 |
26/27
|
Dresden1–0Darmstadt |
| 2026-08-09 |
26/27
|
Nurnberg3–0Dresden |
| 2026-05-17 |
25/26
|
Dresden2–1Holstein Kiel |
Holstein Kiel
Dresden
Wins
0%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
88%
Both teams scored
62%
75%
Clean sheets
0%
12%
Home & away results
This season · 26/27
Holstein Kiel
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Hertha | 1 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2–2 | Nurnberg | 2 | 41′ Away |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Heidenheim | 3 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Magdeburg | 4 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Wolfsburg | 5 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Cottbus | 6 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Kaiserslautern | 7 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 2–2 | St Pauli | 8 | 32′ Away |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Bochum | 9 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Greuther Furth | 10 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Hannover | 11 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 1–1 | Osnabruck | 12 | — |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Braunschweig | 13 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Bielefeld | 14 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Karlsruhe | 16 | ||
| 17 · Holstein Kiel | |||||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Darmstadt | 18 | ||
Dresden
| Home | Away | 1st goal | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 2 | Nurnberg | 3–0 | Dresden | 15 | 9′ Home |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 5–3 | Dresden | 15 | — |
| 4 | Magdeburg | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 5 | Wolfsburg | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 6 | Cottbus | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 8 | St Pauli | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 9 | Bochum | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 10 | Greuther Furth | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 11 | Hannover | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 12 | Osnabruck | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 13 | Braunschweig | 2–2 | Dresden | 15 | 3′ Away |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 2–2 | Dresden | 15 | — |
| 14 | Bielefeld | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 15 · Dresden | |||||
| 16 | Karlsruhe | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | Dresden | 15 | ||
| 18 | Darmstadt | Dresden | 15 | ||
Holstein Kiel Home
Dresden Away
Wins
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
Both teams scored
Clean sheets
Scores first
Season analysis
Home, away & overall
2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.
Holstein Kiel
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away4 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.57 |
| Draws | 100.0% | 25.0% | 57.1% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.67 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Total goals / match | 3.33 | 2.00 | 2.57 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 75.0% | 42.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 75.0% | 57.1% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | 1 of 12 of 2 | 100%100% |
| Scores first → wins | 0 of 10 of 2 | 0%0% |
| Concedes first → wins | 0 of 20 of 5 | 0%0% |
Scoring order known: 3/3 home.Scoring order known: 7/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Home matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Dresden
| Goals & results | Home3 matches | Away4 matches | Overall7 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points / match | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| Draws | 0.0% | 50.0% | 28.6% |
| Goals scored / match | 1.00 | 1.75 | 1.43 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.33 | 3.00 | 2.29 |
| Total goals / match | 2.33 | 4.75 | 3.71 |
| Failed to score | 0.0% | 25.0% | 14.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% | 0.0% | 14.3% |
Scoring first & comebacks
| Match situation | ||
|---|---|---|
| Scores first → leads at half-time | —— | —— |
| Scores first → wins | —— | —— |
| Concedes first → wins | —— | —— |
Scoring order known: 3/4 away.Scoring order known: 6/7 overall. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.
Goal timing
Away matches| Minutes | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 | — | — |
| 16–30 | — | — |
| 31–45 | — | — |
| 46–60 | — | — |
| 61–75 | — | — |
| 76–90 | — | — |
Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.
Two perspectives
What each model says about this match
The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.
| Model | Holstein Kiel | Draw | Dresden | How it works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 44.2% | 24.1% | 31.7% | Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage |
| Goals (Poisson) | 24.3% | 22.8% | 51.6% | Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average |
1.19–1.84
Model expected goals
57.1%
Probability of over 2.5 goals
57.6%
Both teams to score
1-1
Most likely score, at 10.6%
Most likely scores
1-110.6%
1-29.7%
0-18.9%
0-28.2%
2-16.3%
1-36.0%
Strength and dominance
Team strength and finishing efficiency
Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.
| Measure | Holstein Kiel | Dresden | How to read it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strength (Elo) | 1475 | 1463 | The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality. |
| Change over the last 10 | -47 | -26 | Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches |
| Opposition strength | 1513 | 1515 | Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule. |
| Shot share | 48.4% | 48.7% | Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents. |
| Shots on target share | 44.2% | 52.2% | The same measure, counting only shots on target |
| Finishing and saving index (PDO) | 1043 | 1008 | Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation. |
| Conversion | 39.3% | 34.1% | Shots on target converted into goals |
| Save percentage | 64.9% | 66.7% | Opponents' shots on target that are saved |
Goals
When teams score and how matches unfold
Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.
Goals by half
| Team | 1H scored | 2H scored | 1H conceded | 2H conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.84 |
| Dresden | 0.95 | 0.68 | 0.53 | 1.00 |
Total goals
| Team | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 2% | 18% | 30% | 22% | 28% |
| Dresden | 2% | 10% | 15% | 38% | 35% |
Context
Coming into the match
Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.
1.10
Holstein Kiel at home, 10 matches
0.70
Dresden away, 10 matches
36d
Days of rest for Holstein Kiel
36d
Days of rest for Dresden
—
Manager of Holstein Kiel
—
Manager of Dresden
0
Matches for Holstein Kiel in the last 14 days
0
Matches for Dresden in the last 14 days
17
Points for Holstein Kiel behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
16
Points for Dresden behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.98
League goals per match
25.8%
League draw rate
Statistics
Side-by-side comparison
Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Holstein Kiel, the right bar represents Dresden.
On the ball
12.35
13.24
shots
3.59
4.82
shots on target
29.0%
36.4%
accuracy
6.05
5.32
corners
14.32
10.42
fouls
3.21
1.63
yellow cards
Recent form
| Team | Last 10 | PPG | goals | streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | DLLDLDDLLW | 0.70 | 1.10–1.60 | 1D |
| Dresden | LDDLLWLWLW | 1.10 | 1.40–1.90 | 1L |
At half-time
| Team | ahead | level | behind | comeback wins | lead lost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Dresden | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Squads
Injuries and suspensions
0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.
Holstein Kiel
No absences reported.
Dresden
No absences reported.
Newsroom
News about both teams
No recent news linked to these teams.