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St Pauli
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 10
Nurnberg

Head-to-head overview

12 meetings
St PauliWins
8
Draws33.3% of meetings
4
NurnbergWins
0
Goals per match
2.67
Over 2.5 goals
41.7%
Both teams scored
58.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2024-03-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Nurnberg0–2St Pauli
2023-10-07 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 St Pauli5–1Nurnberg
2023-01-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 Nurnberg0–1St Pauli
2022-07-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 St Pauli3–2Nurnberg
2022-04-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 21/22 St Pauli1–1Nurnberg
2021-11-28 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 21/22 Nurnberg2–3St Pauli
2021-02-14 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 Nurnberg1–2St Pauli
2020-10-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 St Pauli2–2Nurnberg
Recent matches

St Pauli

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Cottbus1–1St Pauli
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-12 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–0Wolfsburg
2026-09-04 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bielefeld2–2St Pauli
2026-08-30 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–2Kaiserslautern
2026-08-14 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel2–2St Pauli
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–1Greuther Furth
2024-05-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Wehen1–2St Pauli

Nurnberg

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Karlsruhe0–1Nurnberg
2026-09-11 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Nurnberg2–1Hannover
2026-09-05 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel2–2Nurnberg
2026-08-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Nurnberg4–1Bielefeld
2026-08-15 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth2–4Nurnberg
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Nurnberg3–0Dresden
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Hannover3–3Nurnberg
2026-05-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Nurnberg3–0Schalke 04
St Pauli Nurnberg

Wins

38%
75%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
88%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

25%
38%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

St Pauli

Home · 2. Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
8 St Pauli Hertha 1
8 St Pauli Nurnberg 2
8 St Pauli Heidenheim 3
8 St Pauli Magdeburg 4
8 St Pauli 1–0 Wolfsburg 5 88′ Home
8 St Pauli 1–0 Wolfsburg 5 —
8 St Pauli Cottbus 6
8 St Pauli 1–2 Kaiserslautern 7 29′ Away
8 · St Pauli
8 St Pauli Bochum 9
8 St Pauli 1–1 Greuther Furth 10 46′ Home
8 St Pauli Hannover 11
8 St Pauli Osnabruck 12
8 St Pauli Braunschweig 13
8 St Pauli Bielefeld 14
8 St Pauli Dresden 15
8 St Pauli Karlsruhe 16
8 St Pauli Holstein Kiel 17
8 St Pauli Darmstadt 18

Nurnberg

Away · 2. Bundesliga
St Pauli Home Nurnberg Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

St Pauli

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.751.001.43
Draws25.0%100.0%57.1%
Goals scored / match1.001.671.29
Goals conceded / match0.751.671.14
Total goals / match1.753.332.43
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals75.0%33.3%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins 2 of 3 67%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Nurnberg

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.002.332.67
Draws0.0%33.3%16.7%
Goals scored / match3.002.332.67
Goals conceded / match0.671.331.00
Total goals / match3.673.673.67
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%33.3%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3021
31–4522
46–6021
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelSt PauliDraw NurnbergHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.9% 24.7% 34.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 23.5% 22.6% 52.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.16–1.86 Model expected goals
56.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
57.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 10.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-110.5%
1-29.8%
0-19.0%
0-28.4%
2-16.1%
1-36.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureSt PauliNurnberg How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1559 1574 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -82 84 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1495 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 55.4% 49.3% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 52.1% 53.4% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1045 1137 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 34.1% 43.0% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 70.4% 70.7% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
St Pauli 0.790.89 0.370.95
Nurnberg 1.250.75 0.600.55

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
St Pauli 10%15%22%20%32%
Nurnberg 2%15%25%35%22%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.20 St Pauli at home, 10 matches
1.36 Nurnberg away, 11 matches
42d Days of rest for St Pauli
43d Days of rest for Nurnberg
— Manager of St Pauli
— Manager of Nurnberg
0 Matches for St Pauli in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Nurnberg in the last 14 days
11 Points for St Pauli behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
5 Points for Nurnberg behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
2.98 League goals per match
25.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents St Pauli, the right bar represents Nurnberg.

On the ball

20 matches
13.53
shots
13.17
5.18
shots on target
4.78
38.3%
accuracy
36.3%
5.32
corners
4.7
9.05
fouls
11.45
2.05
yellow cards
2.1

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
St Pauli DWWDLDDWWL 1.60 1.40–1.10 1D
Nurnberg WWDWWWDWDW 2.40 2.40–1.00 2W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
St Pauli8 74 12
Nurnberg10 82 03
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

St Pauli

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Nurnberg

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.