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Greuther Furth
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 10
Holstein Kiel

Head-to-head overview

14 meetings
Greuther FurthWins
5
Draws28.6% of meetings
4
Holstein KielWins
5
Goals per match
3.07
Over 2.5 goals
78.6%
Both teams scored
78.6%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-31 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Holstein Kiel1–2Greuther Furth
2025-08-24 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Greuther Furth0–2Holstein Kiel
2024-01-28 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Greuther Furth2–1Holstein Kiel
2023-08-05 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 23/24 Holstein Kiel2–1Greuther Furth
2023-01-28 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 Holstein Kiel2–1Greuther Furth
2022-07-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 22/23 Greuther Furth2–2Holstein Kiel
2021-02-22 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 Greuther Furth2–1Holstein Kiel
2020-10-24 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 20/21 Holstein Kiel1–3Greuther Furth
Recent matches

Greuther Furth

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth1–1Magdeburg
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-12 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-06 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth0–1Heidenheim
2026-08-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Cottbus3–4Greuther Furth
2026-08-15 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth2–4Nurnberg
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–1Greuther Furth
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Greuther Furth3–0Fortuna Dusseldorf

Holstein Kiel

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel1–1Osnabruck
2026-09-14 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Heidenheim1–0Holstein Kiel
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Heidenheim1–0Holstein Kiel
2026-09-05 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel2–2Nurnberg
2026-08-30 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Magdeburg2–0Holstein Kiel
2026-08-14 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Holstein Kiel2–2St Pauli
2026-08-08 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Darmstadt2–2Holstein Kiel
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Dresden2–1Holstein Kiel
Greuther Furth Holstein Kiel

Wins

25%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
50%

Both teams scored

75%
62%

Clean sheets

12%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Holstein Kiel

Away · 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth Home Holstein Kiel Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Greuther Furth

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.331.501.00
Draws33.3%75.0%57.1%
Goals scored / match1.001.751.43
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.71
Total goals / match3.003.253.14
Failed to score33.3%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%75.0%71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3021
31–4511
46–6001
61–7501
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Holstein Kiel

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.000.250.57
Draws100.0%25.0%57.1%
Goals scored / match1.670.501.00
Goals conceded / match1.671.501.57
Total goals / match3.332.002.57
Failed to score0.0%75.0%42.9%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%75.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelGreuther FurthDraw Holstein KielHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.9% 24.7% 34.4% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 35.0% 26.7% 37.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.24–1.30 Model expected goals
46.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.5% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-112.7%
0-110.2%
1-09.7%
1-28.3%
2-17.9%
0-07.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureGreuther FurthHolstein Kiel How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1460 1475 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 25 -47 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1526 1513 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 47.4% 48.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 50.9% 44.2% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 976 1043 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.6% 39.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 67.9% 64.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Greuther Furth 0.740.63 0.580.84
Holstein Kiel 0.630.68 0.680.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Greuther Furth 5%10%25%25%35%
Holstein Kiel 2%18%30%22%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Greuther Furth at home, 10 matches
1.00 Holstein Kiel away, 10 matches
44d Days of rest for Greuther Furth
43d Days of rest for Holstein Kiel
— Manager of Greuther Furth
— Manager of Holstein Kiel
0 Matches for Greuther Furth in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Holstein Kiel in the last 14 days
14 Points for Greuther Furth behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
17 Points for Holstein Kiel behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
2.98 League goals per match
25.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Greuther Furth, the right bar represents Holstein Kiel.

On the ball

20 matches
13.29
shots
12.35
4.76
shots on target
3.59
35.8%
accuracy
29.0%
4.84
corners
6.05
9.47
fouls
14.32
1.5
yellow cards
3.21

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Greuther Furth DDDLWLDWLD 1.10 1.50–1.50 3D
Holstein Kiel DLLDLDDLLW 0.70 1.10–1.60 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Greuther Furth5 104 02
Holstein Kiel5 95 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Greuther Furth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Holstein Kiel

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.