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Dresden
VS Scheduled Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 11
Greuther Furth

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings
DresdenWins
1
Draws37.5% of meetings
3
Greuther FurthWins
4
Goals per match
1.88
Over 2.5 goals
12.5%
Both teams scored
37.5%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-01-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Dresden2–0Greuther Furth
2025-08-03 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Greuther Furth3–2Dresden
2020-06-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 19/20 Dresden1–1Greuther Furth
2019-10-18 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 19/20 Greuther Furth2–0Dresden
2019-04-04 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 18/19 Greuther Furth0–0Dresden
2018-09-30 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 18/19 Dresden0–1Greuther Furth
2018-02-11 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 17/18 Greuther Furth1–0Dresden
2017-09-08 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 17/18 Dresden1–1Greuther Furth
Recent matches

Dresden

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Dresden1–2Hertha
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Braunschweig2–2Dresden
2026-09-12 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Braunschweig2–2Dresden
2026-09-05 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Dresden1–2Bochum
2026-08-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Heidenheim5–3Dresden
2026-08-16 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Dresden1–0Darmstadt
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Nurnberg3–0Dresden
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Dresden2–1Holstein Kiel

Greuther Furth

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth1–1Magdeburg
2026-09-13 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-12 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Bochum1–1Greuther Furth
2026-09-06 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth0–1Heidenheim
2026-08-29 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Cottbus3–4Greuther Furth
2026-08-15 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 Greuther Furth2–4Nurnberg
2026-08-09 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 26/27 St Pauli1–1Greuther Furth
2026-05-17 Germany, 2. Bundesliga 25/26 Greuther Furth3–0Fortuna Dusseldorf
Dresden Greuther Furth

Wins

25%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%
38%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Dresden

Home · 2. Bundesliga
HomeAway1st goal
15 Dresden 1–2 Hertha 1 10′ Home
15 Dresden Nurnberg 2
15 Dresden Heidenheim 3
15 Dresden Magdeburg 4
15 Dresden Wolfsburg 5
15 Dresden Cottbus 6
15 Dresden Kaiserslautern 7
15 Dresden St Pauli 8
15 Dresden 1–2 Bochum 9 3′ Away
15 Dresden Greuther Furth 10
15 Dresden Hannover 11
15 Dresden Osnabruck 12
15 Dresden Braunschweig 13
15 Dresden Bielefeld 14
15 · Dresden
15 Dresden Karlsruhe 16
15 Dresden Holstein Kiel 17
15 Dresden 1–0 Darmstadt 18 12′ Home
Dresden Home Greuther Furth Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Dresden

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.000.500.71
Draws0.0%50.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match1.001.751.43
Goals conceded / match1.333.002.29
Total goals / match2.334.753.71
Failed to score0.0%25.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1521
16–3002
31–4510
46–6000
61–7500
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Greuther Furth

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway4 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.331.501.00
Draws33.3%75.0%57.1%
Goals scored / match1.001.751.43
Goals conceded / match2.001.501.71
Total goals / match3.003.253.14
Failed to score33.3%0.0%14.3%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%75.0%71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelDresdenDraw Greuther FurthHow it works
Strength (Elo) 43.2% 24.3% 32.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 34.3% 24.4% 40.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.42–1.56 Model expected goals
56.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.1% Both teams to score
1-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-111.3%
1-28.8%
2-18.0%
0-18.0%
1-07.2%
2-26.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureDresdenGreuther Furth How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1463 1460 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -26 25 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1515 1526 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 48.7% 47.4% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 52.2% 50.9% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1008 976 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 34.1% 29.6% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 66.7% 67.9% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Dresden 0.950.68 0.531.00
Greuther Furth 0.740.63 0.580.84

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Dresden 2%10%15%38%35%
Greuther Furth 5%10%25%25%35%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.80 Dresden at home, 10 matches
1.00 Greuther Furth away, 10 matches
48d Days of rest for Dresden
49d Days of rest for Greuther Furth
— Manager of Dresden
— Manager of Greuther Furth
0 Matches for Dresden in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Greuther Furth in the last 14 days
16 Points for Dresden behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
14 Points for Greuther Furth behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.98 League goals per match
25.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Dresden, the right bar represents Greuther Furth.

On the ball

20 matches
13.24
shots
13.29
4.82
shots on target
4.76
36.4%
accuracy
35.8%
5.32
corners
4.84
10.42
fouls
9.47
1.63
yellow cards
1.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Dresden LDDLLWLWLW 1.10 1.40–1.90 1L
Greuther Furth DDDLWLDWLD 1.10 1.50–1.50 3D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Dresden9 64 04
Greuther Furth5 104 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Dresden

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Greuther Furth

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.