Cottbus

Cottbus

VS Scheduled Saturday 5 Dec 202600:00

Germany 26/27 2. Bundesliga · Matchday 14

Osnabruck

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Cottbus1–1St Pauli
2026-09-14	26/27	Karlsruhe0–3Cottbus
2026-09-13	26/27	Karlsruhe0–3Cottbus
2026-09-05	26/27	Wolfsburg4–4Cottbus
2026-08-29	26/27	Cottbus3–4Greuther Furth
2026-08-16	26/27	Bielefeld3–0Cottbus
2026-08-09	26/27	Cottbus3–1Hannover

Osnabruck

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Holstein Kiel1–1Osnabruck
2026-09-14	26/27	Osnabruck1–3Hertha
2026-09-13	26/27	Osnabruck1–3Hertha
2026-09-06	26/27	Osnabruck3–1Braunschweig
2026-08-28	26/27	Bochum0–1Osnabruck
2026-08-15	26/27	Osnabruck0–3Magdeburg
2026-08-08	26/27	Heidenheim4–3Osnabruck
2024-05-19	23/24	Osnabruck2–1Hertha

Cottbus Osnabruck

Wins

43%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

86%

75%

Both teams scored

57%

75%

Clean sheets

29%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cottbus

Home · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Cottbus		Hertha	1
6	Cottbus		Nurnberg	2
6	Cottbus		Heidenheim	3
6	Cottbus		Magdeburg	4
6	Cottbus		Wolfsburg	5
6 · Cottbus
6	Cottbus		Kaiserslautern	7
6	Cottbus	1–1	St Pauli	8	37′ Home
6	Cottbus		Bochum	9
6	Cottbus	3–4	Greuther Furth	10	—
6	Cottbus	3–1	Hannover	11	14′ Home
6	Cottbus		Osnabruck	12
6	Cottbus		Braunschweig	13
6	Cottbus		Bielefeld	14
6	Cottbus		Dresden	15
6	Cottbus		Karlsruhe	16
6	Cottbus		Holstein Kiel	17
6	Cottbus		Darmstadt	18

Osnabruck

Away · 2. Bundesliga

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Hertha		Osnabruck	12
2	Nurnberg		Osnabruck	12
3	Heidenheim	4–3	Osnabruck	12	10′ Home
4	Magdeburg		Osnabruck	12
5	Wolfsburg		Osnabruck	12
6	Cottbus		Osnabruck	12
7	Kaiserslautern		Osnabruck	12
8	St Pauli		Osnabruck	12
9	Bochum	0–1	Osnabruck	12	4′ Away
10	Greuther Furth		Osnabruck	12
11	Hannover		Osnabruck	12
12 · Osnabruck
13	Braunschweig		Osnabruck	12
14	Bielefeld		Osnabruck	12
15	Dresden		Osnabruck	12
16	Karlsruhe		Osnabruck	12
17	Holstein Kiel	1–1	Osnabruck	12	—
18	Darmstadt		Osnabruck	12

Cottbus Home Osnabruck Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

67%

33%

Both teams scored

100%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

2. Bundesliga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cottbus

7 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away4 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.33	1.75	1.57
Draws	33.3%	25.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.33	2.50	2.43
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.75	1.86
Total goals / match	4.33	4.25	4.29
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	0.0%	14.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Osnabruck

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.33	1.00
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	14.3%
Goals scored / match	1.25	1.67	1.43
Goals conceded / match	2.50	1.67	2.14
Total goals / match	3.75	3.33	3.57
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	28.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Cottbus	Draw	Osnabruck	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.7%	20.6%	24.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	58.4%	15.1%	16.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

3.13–1.59 Model expected goals

74.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

67.9% Both teams to score

3-1 Most likely score, at 7.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

3-17.2%

2-16.9%

3-25.8%

4-15.7%

2-25.5%

3-04.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Cottbus	Osnabruck	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1526	1433	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	10	41	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1506	1523	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	45.8%	38.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	39.6%	36.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1113	1006	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	52.6%	33.9%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	58.6%	66.7%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Cottbus	0.83	1.50	1.17	1.00
Osnabruck	0.47	0.68	1.05	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Cottbus	0%	0%	14%	43%	43%
Osnabruck	8%	10%	22%	18%	42%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Cottbus at home, 3 matches

1.10 Osnabruck away, 10 matches

76d Days of rest for Cottbus

77d Days of rest for Osnabruck

— Manager of Cottbus

— Manager of Osnabruck

0 Matches for Cottbus in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Osnabruck in the last 14 days

10 Points for Cottbus behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Osnabruck behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.98 League goals per match

25.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cottbus, the right bar represents Osnabruck.

On the ball

20 matches

16.5

shots

10.24

4.75

shots on target

3.47

28.8%

accuracy

33.9%

7.83

corners

4.11

13.33

fouls

10.63

1.83

yellow cards

2.11

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Cottbus	DWWDLLW	1.57	2.43–1.86	1D
Osnabruck	DLLWWLLWLL	1.00	1.30–2.30	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Cottbus	2	2	2	0	1
Osnabruck	3	7	9	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cottbus

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Osnabruck

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.