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Parma
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 11
Bologna

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings
ParmaWins
2
Draws40.0% of meetings
4
BolognaWins
4
Goals per match
2.80
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%
Both teams scored
50.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-02-08 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Bologna0–1Parma
2025-11-02 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma1–3Bologna
2025-02-22 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Parma2–0Bologna
2024-10-06 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Bologna0–0Parma
2021-02-07 Italy, Serie A 20/21 Parma0–3Bologna
2020-09-28 Italy, Serie A 20/21 Bologna4–1Parma
2020-07-12 Italy, Serie A 19/20 Parma2–2Bologna
2019-11-24 Italy, Serie A 19/20 Bologna2–2Parma
Recent matches

Parma

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma2–1Genoa
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Como2–1Parma
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma1–1Monza
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Juventus2–0Parma
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma0–1Cagliari
2026-05-24 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma1–0Sassuolo
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Como1–0Parma
2026-05-10 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Parma2–3Roma

Bologna

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Bologna1–1Torino
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Bologna2–2Sassuolo
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–0Bologna
2026-08-24 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Bologna0–1Lazio
2026-05-23 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Atalanta0–1Bologna
Parma Bologna

Wins

25%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

38%
25%

Both teams scored

50%
38%

Clean sheets

12%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Parma

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
15 Parma 0–1 Cagliari 1 79′ Away
15 Parma Lazio 2
15 Parma Roma 3
15 Parma Inter 4
15 Parma Milan 5
15 Parma Frosinone 6
15 Parma Juventus 7
15 Parma Como 8
15 Parma Napoli 9
15 Parma Sassuolo 10
15 Parma Lecce 11
15 Parma Atalanta 12
15 Parma Udinese 13
15 Parma Torino 14
15 · Parma
15 Parma 1–1 Monza 16 38′ Away
15 Parma Fiorentina 17
15 Parma Bologna 18
15 Parma 2–1 Genoa 19 38′ Home
15 Parma Venezia 20

Bologna

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari Bologna 18
2 Lazio Bologna 18
3 Roma Bologna 18
4 Inter Bologna 18
5 Milan Bologna 18
6 Frosinone Bologna 18
7 Juventus Bologna 18
8 Como Bologna 18
9 Napoli 1–0 Bologna 18 66′ Home
9 Napoli 1–0 Bologna 18 —
10 Sassuolo Bologna 18
11 Lecce Bologna 18
12 Atalanta 1–0 Bologna 18 90+6′ Home
13 Udinese Bologna 18
14 Torino Bologna 18
15 Parma Bologna 18
16 Monza Bologna 18
17 Fiorentina Bologna 18
18 · Bologna
19 Genoa Bologna 18
20 Venezia Bologna 18
Parma Home Bologna Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Parma

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.330.000.80
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.500.80
Goals conceded / match1.002.001.40
Total goals / match2.002.502.20
Failed to score33.3%50.0%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%50.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4511
46–6010
61–7501
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bologna

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.670.000.33
Draws66.7%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.50
Goals conceded / match1.331.001.17
Total goals / match2.331.001.67
Failed to score33.3%100.0%66.7%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%100.0%83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–150—
16–300—
31–450—
46–600—
61–750—
76–900—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelParmaDraw BolognaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 35.0% 27.2% 37.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 26.3% 34.0% 39.6% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.72–0.96 Model expected goals
23.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
31.5% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 18.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-018.7%
0-117.9%
1-013.5%
1-112.9%
0-28.6%
1-26.2%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureParmaBologna How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1458 1502 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -6 -16 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1533 1535 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 40.7% 57.1% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 38.7% 53.8% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1029 951 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 29.2% 29.7% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 73.7% 65.5% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Parma 0.250.60 0.300.85
Bologna 0.470.58 0.320.79

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Parma 15%28%25%18%15%
Bologna 5%25%28%15%28%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Parma at home, 10 matches
1.80 Bologna away, 10 matches
48d Days of rest for Parma
49d Days of rest for Bologna
— Manager of Parma
— Manager of Bologna
0 Matches for Parma in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Bologna in the last 14 days
11 Points for Parma behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Bologna behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Parma, the right bar represents Bologna.

On the ball

20 matches
9.61
shots
13.0
2.67
shots on target
3.76
27.7%
accuracy
29.0%
3.9
corners
4.22
11.1
fouls
11.79
1.63
yellow cards
1.47

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Parma WLDLLWLLLW 1.00 0.80–1.30 1W
Bologna DLLDLLDWWD 1.00 1.00–1.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Parma3 134 02
Bologna6 103 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Parma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bologna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams