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Atalanta
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 12
Inter

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings
AtalantaWins
1
Draws38.9% of meetings
7
InterWins
10
Goals per match
2.44
Over 2.5 goals
38.9%
Both teams scored
44.4%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-03-14 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Inter1–1Atalanta
2025-12-28 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Atalanta0–1Inter
2025-03-16 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Atalanta0–2Inter
2024-08-30 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Inter4–0Atalanta
2024-02-28 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Inter4–0Atalanta
2023-11-04 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Atalanta1–2Inter
2023-05-27 Italy, Serie A 22/23 Inter3–2Atalanta
2022-11-13 Italy, Serie A 22/23 Atalanta2–3Inter
Recent matches

Atalanta

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Juventus2–0Atalanta
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-12 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–2Cagliari
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–1Atalanta
2026-08-31 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta1–0Bologna
2026-08-23 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Atalanta2–1Sassuolo
2026-05-22 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Fiorentina1–1Atalanta
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Atalanta0–1Bologna

Inter

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Inter5–3Udinese
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Inter3–2Napoli
2026-08-30 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Inter4–1Monza
2026-05-23 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Inter1–1Verona
2026-05-09 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Lazio0–3Inter
Atalanta Inter

Wins

25%
62%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
75%

Both teams scored

62%
75%

Clean sheets

12%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Atalanta

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
12 Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari 1 19′ Away
12 Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari 1 —
12 Atalanta Lazio 2
12 Atalanta Roma 3
12 Atalanta Inter 4
12 Atalanta Milan 5
12 Atalanta Frosinone 6
12 Atalanta Juventus 7
12 Atalanta Como 8
12 Atalanta Napoli 9
12 Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo 10 6′ Home
12 Atalanta Lecce 11
12 · Atalanta
12 Atalanta Udinese 13
12 Atalanta Torino 14
12 Atalanta Parma 15
12 Atalanta Monza 16
12 Atalanta Fiorentina 17
12 Atalanta 1–0 Bologna 18 90+6′ Home
12 Atalanta Genoa 19
12 Atalanta Venezia 20

Inter

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari 0–1 Inter 4 9′ Away
2 Lazio Inter 4
3 Roma 2–2 Inter 4 6′ Home
4 · Inter
5 Milan Inter 4
6 Frosinone Inter 4
7 Juventus Inter 4
8 Como Inter 4
9 Napoli Inter 4
10 Sassuolo Inter 4
11 Lecce Inter 4
12 Atalanta Inter 4
13 Udinese Inter 4
14 Torino Inter 4
15 Parma Inter 4
16 Monza Inter 4
17 Fiorentina Inter 4
18 Bologna Inter 4
19 Genoa Inter 4
20 Venezia Inter 4
Atalanta Home Inter Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Atalanta

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway2 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.500.001.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.250.501.00
Goals conceded / match1.252.001.50
Total goals / match2.502.502.50
Failed to score0.0%50.0%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%50.0%33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.002.002.60
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match4.001.503.00
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.60
Total goals / match6.002.504.60
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%50.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3000
31–4501
46–6010
61–7500
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelAtalantaDraw InterHow it works
Strength (Elo) 24.0% 22.5% 53.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.7% 16.8% 63.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
1.15–2.59 Model expected goals
67.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals
59.9% Both teams to score
1-2 Most likely score, at 9.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
1-29.1%
0-27.9%
1-37.9%
1-17.1%
0-36.9%
0-16.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureAtalantaInter How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1551 1721 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -69 -51 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1543 1533 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 49.2% 61.8% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 49.4% 64.5% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 1072 1096 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 30.3% 41.3% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 76.9% 68.3% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Atalanta 0.530.74 0.530.63
Inter 0.901.70 0.600.60

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Atalanta 8%20%32%25%15%
Inter 0%18%28%15%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Atalanta at home, 10 matches
1.90 Inter away, 10 matches
63d Days of rest for Atalanta
64d Days of rest for Inter
— Manager of Atalanta
— Manager of Inter
0 Matches for Atalanta in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Inter in the last 14 days
9 Points for Atalanta behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Inter behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Atalanta, the right bar represents Inter.

On the ball

20 matches
13.76
shots
16.89
4.47
shots on target
6.06
32.5%
accuracy
35.9%
4.84
corners
5.47
11.74
fouls
10.35
1.56
yellow cards
1.85

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Atalanta LLLLWWDLWD 1.10 1.00–1.30 4L
Inter DWWWWDDWWD 2.20 2.60–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Atalanta5 86 10
Inter9 74 13
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Atalanta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams