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Monza
VS Scheduled Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 12
Fiorentina

Head-to-head overview

6 meetings
MonzaWins
2
Draws33.3% of meetings
2
FiorentinaWins
2
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
66.7%
Both teams scored
83.3%
DateSeasonMatch
2025-01-13 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Monza2–1Fiorentina
2024-09-01 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Fiorentina2–2Monza
2024-05-13 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Fiorentina2–1Monza
2023-12-22 Italy, Serie A 23/24 Monza0–1Fiorentina
2023-04-23 Italy, Serie A 22/23 Monza3–2Fiorentina
2023-01-04 Italy, Serie A 22/23 Fiorentina1–1Monza
Recent matches

Monza

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Monza2–1Sassuolo
2026-09-14 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-06 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Parma1–1Monza
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Monza2–3Udinese
2026-08-22 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Inter4–1Monza
2025-05-24 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Milan2–0Monza
2025-05-18 Italy, Serie A 24/25 Monza1–3Empoli

Fiorentina

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Fiorentina1–1Napoli
2026-09-11 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Venezia2–4Fiorentina
2026-09-05 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Fiorentina1–2Torino
2026-08-29 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Fiorentina0–3Frosinone
2026-08-24 Italy, Serie A 26/27 Roma4–0Fiorentina
2026-05-22 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Fiorentina1–1Atalanta
2026-05-17 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Juventus0–2Fiorentina
2026-05-10 Italy, Serie A 25/26 Fiorentina0–0Genoa
Monza Fiorentina

Wins

12%
25%

Over 2.5 goals

75%
50%

Both teams scored

88%
50%

Clean sheets

0%
25%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Monza

Home · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
16 Monza Cagliari 1
16 Monza Lazio 2
16 Monza Roma 3
16 Monza Inter 4
16 Monza Milan 5
16 Monza Frosinone 6
16 Monza Juventus 7
16 Monza Como 8
16 Monza Napoli 9
16 Monza 2–1 Sassuolo 10 51′ Home
16 Monza Lecce 11
16 Monza Atalanta 12
16 Monza 2–3 Udinese 13 32′ Away
16 Monza Torino 14
16 Monza Parma 15
16 · Monza
16 Monza Fiorentina 17
16 Monza Bologna 18
16 Monza Genoa 19
16 Monza Venezia 20

Fiorentina

Away · Serie A
HomeAway1st goal
1 Cagliari Fiorentina 17
2 Lazio Fiorentina 17
3 Roma 4–0 Fiorentina 17 27′ Home
4 Inter Fiorentina 17
5 Milan Fiorentina 17
6 Frosinone Fiorentina 17
7 Juventus Fiorentina 17
8 Como Fiorentina 17
9 Napoli Fiorentina 17
10 Sassuolo Fiorentina 17
11 Lecce Fiorentina 17
12 Atalanta Fiorentina 17
13 Udinese Fiorentina 17
14 Torino Fiorentina 17
15 Parma Fiorentina 17
16 Monza Fiorentina 17
17 · Fiorentina
18 Bologna Fiorentina 17
19 Genoa Fiorentina 17
20 Venezia 2–4 Fiorentina 17 22′ Home
Monza Home Fiorentina Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Monza

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway4 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.500.250.67
Draws0.0%25.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.67
Goals conceded / match2.002.752.50
Total goals / match4.004.254.17
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%25.0%16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4513
46–6010
61–7520
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Fiorentina

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match0.331.500.80
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.672.001.20
Goals conceded / match2.003.002.40
Total goals / match2.675.003.60
Failed to score33.3%50.0%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%0.0%20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3022
31–4500
46–6002
61–7510
76–9012

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelMonzaDraw FiorentinaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 29.2% 25.7% 45.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.5% 20.1% 63.5% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.85–2.06 Model expected goals
53.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
48.8% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-211.6%
0-111.2%
1-29.8%
1-19.5%
0-37.9%
1-36.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureMonzaFiorentina How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1392 1498 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 55 -28 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1529 1522 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share 39.0% 47.5% Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share 38.1% 42.1% The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO) 779 1005 Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion 19.6% 27.9% Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage 58.2% 72.6% Opponents' shots on target that are saved
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Monza 0.420.37 0.891.32
Fiorentina 0.500.60 0.550.75

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Monza 2%12%28%28%30%
Fiorentina 10%15%20%30%25%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.56 Monza at home, 9 matches
1.78 Fiorentina away, 9 matches
66d Days of rest for Monza
64d Days of rest for Fiorentina
— Manager of Monza
Paolo Vanoli Manager of Fiorentina, since 06/09/26
0 Matches for Monza in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Fiorentina in the last 14 days
11 Points for Monza behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
11 Points for Fiorentina behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.50 League goals per match
26.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Monza, the right bar represents Fiorentina.

On the ball

20 matches
9.76
shots
12.22
3.29
shots on target
3.39
33.7%
accuracy
27.7%
3.68
corners
4.15
11.63
fouls
11.3
1.89
yellow cards
1.95

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Monza WLLDLLLLWL 0.70 1.30–2.50 1W
Fiorentina DWLLLDWDLD 1.00 0.90–1.70 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Monza3 97 03
Fiorentina8 57 02
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Monza

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Fiorentina

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams