Lecce

Lecce

VS Scheduled Saturday 12 Dec 202617:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 15

Sassuolo

Head-to-head overview

8 meetings

LecceWins: 2
Draws37.5% of meetings: 3
SassuoloWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.75
Over 2.5 goals: 50.0%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce
2025-10-18	25/26	Lecce0–0Sassuolo
2024-04-21	23/24	Sassuolo0–3Lecce
2023-10-06	23/24	Lecce1–1Sassuolo
2023-02-25	22/23	Lecce0–1Sassuolo
2022-08-20	22/23	Sassuolo1–0Lecce
2020-07-04	19/20	Sassuolo4–2Lecce
2019-11-03	19/20	Lecce2–2Sassuolo

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-14	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-07	26/27	Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-31	26/27	Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-23	26/27	Venezia0–2Lecce
2026-05-24	25/26	Lecce1–0Genoa
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Sassuolo

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Monza2–1Sassuolo
2026-09-14	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-13	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-06	26/27	Bologna2–2Sassuolo
2026-08-29	26/27	Sassuolo2–1Torino
2026-08-23	26/27	Atalanta2–1Sassuolo
2026-05-24	25/26	Parma1–0Sassuolo
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Lecce Sassuolo

Wins

62%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

88%

Both teams scored

38%

88%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lecce

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Lecce		Cagliari	1
11	Lecce		Lazio	2
11	Lecce	0–4	Roma	3	4′ Away
11	Lecce		Inter	4
11	Lecce		Milan	5
11	Lecce		Frosinone	6
11	Lecce		Juventus	7
11	Lecce		Como	8
11	Lecce		Napoli	9
11	Lecce		Sassuolo	10
11 · Lecce
11	Lecce		Atalanta	12
11	Lecce		Udinese	13
11	Lecce		Torino	14
11	Lecce		Parma	15
11	Lecce	3–2	Monza	16	3′ Home
11	Lecce	3–2	Monza	16	—
11	Lecce		Fiorentina	17
11	Lecce		Bologna	18
11	Lecce		Genoa	19
11	Lecce		Venezia	20

Sassuolo

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Sassuolo	10
2	Lazio		Sassuolo	10
3	Roma		Sassuolo	10
4	Inter		Sassuolo	10
5	Milan		Sassuolo	10
6	Frosinone		Sassuolo	10
7	Juventus		Sassuolo	10
8	Como		Sassuolo	10
9	Napoli		Sassuolo	10
10 · Sassuolo
11	Lecce		Sassuolo	10
12	Atalanta	2–1	Sassuolo	10	6′ Home
13	Udinese		Sassuolo	10
14	Torino		Sassuolo	10
15	Parma		Sassuolo	10
16	Monza	2–1	Sassuolo	10	51′ Home
17	Fiorentina		Sassuolo	10
18	Bologna	2–2	Sassuolo	10	19′ Away
19	Genoa		Sassuolo	10
20	Venezia		Sassuolo	10

Lecce Home Sassuolo Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

100%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lecce

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Total goals / match	4.67	2.00	3.33
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sassuolo

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.33	1.67
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Goals conceded / match	1.67	2.00	1.83
Total goals / match	4.33	3.33	3.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	2
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lecce	Draw	Sassuolo	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.7%	27.0%	39.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	20.1%	21.4%	56.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.09–2.00 Model expected goals

57.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

56.2% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-19.9%

1-29.9%

0-19.1%

0-29.1%

1-36.6%

0-36.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lecce	Sassuolo	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1451	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	49	2	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1522	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	40.5%	44.2%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	36.0%	49.3%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1030	1050	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.6%	33.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.4%	71.6%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved