Lecce

Lecce

VS Scheduled Friday 18 Dec 202619:45

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 16

Inter

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings

LecceWins: 0
Draws10.0% of meetings: 1
InterWins: 9

Goals per match: 2.60
Over 2.5 goals: 40.0%
Both teams scored: 20.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-21	25/26	Lecce0–2Inter
2026-01-14	25/26	Inter1–0Lecce
2025-01-26	24/25	Lecce0–4Inter
2024-08-24	24/25	Inter2–0Lecce
2024-02-25	23/24	Lecce0–4Inter
2023-12-23	23/24	Inter2–0Lecce
2023-03-05	22/23	Inter2–0Lecce
2022-08-13	22/23	Lecce1–2Inter
2020-01-19	19/20	Lecce1–1Inter
2019-08-26	19/20	Inter4–0Lecce

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-14	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-07	26/27	Cagliari1–0Lecce
2026-08-31	26/27	Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-23	26/27	Venezia0–2Lecce
2026-05-24	25/26	Lecce1–0Genoa
2026-05-17	25/26	Sassuolo2–3Lecce

Inter

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14	26/27	Inter5–3Udinese
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter3–2Napoli
2026-08-30	26/27	Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22	26/27	Inter4–1Monza
2026-05-23	25/26	Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17	25/26	Inter1–1Verona
2026-05-09	25/26	Lazio0–3Inter

Lecce Inter

Wins

62%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lecce

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Lecce		Cagliari	1
11	Lecce		Lazio	2
11	Lecce	0–4	Roma	3	4′ Away
11	Lecce		Inter	4
11	Lecce		Milan	5
11	Lecce		Frosinone	6
11	Lecce		Juventus	7
11	Lecce		Como	8
11	Lecce		Napoli	9
11	Lecce		Sassuolo	10
11 · Lecce
11	Lecce		Atalanta	12
11	Lecce		Udinese	13
11	Lecce		Torino	14
11	Lecce		Parma	15
11	Lecce	3–2	Monza	16	3′ Home
11	Lecce	3–2	Monza	16	—
11	Lecce		Fiorentina	17
11	Lecce		Bologna	18
11	Lecce		Genoa	19
11	Lecce		Venezia	20

Inter

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari	0–1	Inter	4	9′ Away
2	Lazio		Inter	4
3	Roma	2–2	Inter	4	6′ Home
4 · Inter
5	Milan		Inter	4
6	Frosinone		Inter	4
7	Juventus		Inter	4
8	Como		Inter	4
9	Napoli		Inter	4
10	Sassuolo		Inter	4
11	Lecce		Inter	4
12	Atalanta		Inter	4
13	Udinese		Inter	4
14	Torino		Inter	4
15	Parma		Inter	4
16	Monza		Inter	4
17	Fiorentina		Inter	4
18	Bologna		Inter	4
19	Genoa		Inter	4
20	Venezia		Inter	4

Lecce Home Inter Away

Wins

67%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

50%

Over 3.5

100%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

N/A

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lecce

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	2.67	1.33	2.00
Total goals / match	4.67	2.00	3.33
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	3.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.60
Total goals / match	6.00	2.50	4.60
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lecce	Draw	Inter	How it works
Strength (Elo)	17.1%	15.4%	67.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.9%	12.9%	69.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.97–3.01 Model expected goals

67.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

53.7% Both teams to score

0-3 Most likely score, at 8.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-38.5%

0-28.5%

1-38.2%

1-28.2%

0-46.4%

1-46.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lecce	Inter	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1451	1721	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	49	-51	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	40.5%	61.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	36.0%	64.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1030	1096	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	30.6%	41.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.4%	68.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lecce	0.53	0.42	0.74	0.79
Inter	0.90	1.70	0.60	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lecce	10%	28%	22%	22%	18%
Inter	0%	18%	28%	15%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.44 Lecce at home, 9 matches

1.90 Inter away, 10 matches

89d Days of rest for Lecce

90d Days of rest for Inter

— Manager of Lecce

— Manager of Inter

0 Matches for Lecce in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Inter in the last 14 days

6 Points for Lecce behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Inter behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

26.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lecce, the right bar represents Inter.

On the ball

20 matches

9.24

shots

16.89

2.88

shots on target

6.06

31.2%

accuracy

35.9%

3.32

corners

5.47

12.68

fouls

10.35

1.82

yellow cards

1.85

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lecce	LWWLLWWWLW	1.80	1.40–1.60	1L
Inter	DWWWWDDWWD	2.20	2.60–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lecce	5	6	8	0	1
Inter	9	7	4	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lecce

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Serie A Liveblog: Napoli vs. Bologna, Sassuolo vs. Juventus, Lecce vs. Monza Football Italia 09-13

Report Inter watch Cagliari talent with scouts during 2-1 victory Football Italia 09-13

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13

Serie A | Lecce 3-2 Monza: Salentini continue super start Football Italia 09-13

Champions League opening data shows English dominance and too few shocks The Guardian 09-11

Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash Football Italia 09-07

Capello: Why Roma can challenge Inter for Serie A title Football Italia 09-07