Fiorentina

Fiorentina

VS Scheduled Sunday 20 Dec 202611:30

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 16

Bologna

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

FiorentinaWins: 8
Draws33.3% of meetings: 6
BolognaWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.67
Over 2.5 goals: 61.1%
Both teams scored: 61.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-01-18	25/26	Bologna1–2Fiorentina
2025-10-26	25/26	Fiorentina2–2Bologna
2025-05-18	24/25	Fiorentina3–2Bologna
2024-12-15	24/25	Bologna1–0Fiorentina
2024-02-14	23/24	Bologna2–0Fiorentina
2023-11-12	23/24	Fiorentina2–1Bologna
2023-02-05	22/23	Fiorentina1–2Bologna
2022-09-11	22/23	Bologna2–1Fiorentina
2022-03-13	21/22	Fiorentina1–0Bologna
2021-12-05	21/22	Bologna2–3Fiorentina
2021-05-02	20/21	Bologna3–3Fiorentina
2021-01-03	20/21	Fiorentina0–0Bologna
2020-07-29	19/20	Fiorentina4–0Bologna
2020-01-06	19/20	Bologna1–1Fiorentina
2019-04-14	18/19	Fiorentina0–0Bologna
2018-11-25	18/19	Bologna0–0Fiorentina
2018-02-04	17/18	Bologna1–2Fiorentina
2017-09-16	17/18	Fiorentina2–1Bologna

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Fiorentina1–1Napoli
2026-09-11	26/27	Venezia2–4Fiorentina
2026-09-05	26/27	Fiorentina1–2Torino
2026-08-29	26/27	Fiorentina0–3Frosinone
2026-08-24	26/27	Roma4–0Fiorentina
2026-05-22	25/26	Fiorentina1–1Atalanta
2026-05-17	25/26	Juventus0–2Fiorentina
2026-05-10	25/26	Fiorentina0–0Genoa

Bologna

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Bologna1–1Torino
2026-09-14	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-13	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-06	26/27	Bologna2–2Sassuolo
2026-08-31	26/27	Atalanta1–0Bologna
2026-08-24	26/27	Bologna0–1Lazio
2026-05-23	25/26	Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17	25/26	Atalanta0–1Bologna

Fiorentina Bologna

Wins

25%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

25%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

25%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Fiorentina

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
17	Fiorentina		Cagliari	1
17	Fiorentina		Lazio	2
17	Fiorentina		Roma	3
17	Fiorentina		Inter	4
17	Fiorentina		Milan	5
17	Fiorentina	0–3	Frosinone	6	26′ Away
17	Fiorentina		Juventus	7
17	Fiorentina		Como	8
17	Fiorentina	1–1	Napoli	9	23′ Away
17	Fiorentina		Sassuolo	10
17	Fiorentina		Lecce	11
17	Fiorentina		Atalanta	12
17	Fiorentina		Udinese	13
17	Fiorentina	1–2	Torino	14	47′ Home
17	Fiorentina		Parma	15
17	Fiorentina		Monza	16
17 · Fiorentina
17	Fiorentina		Bologna	18
17	Fiorentina		Genoa	19
17	Fiorentina		Venezia	20

Bologna

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Bologna	18
2	Lazio		Bologna	18
3	Roma		Bologna	18
4	Inter		Bologna	18
5	Milan		Bologna	18
6	Frosinone		Bologna	18
7	Juventus		Bologna	18
8	Como		Bologna	18
9	Napoli	1–0	Bologna	18	66′ Home
9	Napoli	1–0	Bologna	18	—
10	Sassuolo		Bologna	18
11	Lecce		Bologna	18
12	Atalanta	1–0	Bologna	18	90+6′ Home
13	Udinese		Bologna	18
14	Torino		Bologna	18
15	Parma		Bologna	18
16	Monza		Bologna	18
17	Fiorentina		Bologna	18
18 · Bologna
19	Genoa		Bologna	18
20	Venezia		Bologna	18

Fiorentina Home Bologna Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

0%

Over 2.5

67%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

33%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Fiorentina

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.33	1.50	0.80
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.67	2.00	1.20
Goals conceded / match	2.00	3.00	2.40
Total goals / match	2.67	5.00	3.60
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	1
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bologna

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.67	0.00	0.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.00	1.17
Total goals / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Failed to score	33.3%	100.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	—
16–30	0	—
31–45	0	—
46–60	0	—
61–75	0	—
76–90	0	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.2%	27.1%	33.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	30.7%	30.6%	38.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.93–1.08 Model expected goals

32.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.5%

1-113.5%

0-013.4%

1-012.4%

0-27.8%

1-27.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Fiorentina	Bologna	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1498	1502	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-28	-16	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1522	1535	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	47.5%	57.1%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	42.1%	53.8%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1005	951	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	27.9%	29.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	72.6%	65.5%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Fiorentina	0.50	0.60	0.55	0.75
Bologna	0.47	0.58	0.32	0.79

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Fiorentina	10%	15%	20%	30%	25%
Bologna	5%	25%	28%	15%	28%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.18 Fiorentina at home, 11 matches

1.80 Bologna away, 10 matches

91d Days of rest for Fiorentina

92d Days of rest for Bologna

Paolo Vanoli Manager of Fiorentina, since 06/09/26

— Manager of Bologna

0 Matches for Fiorentina in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bologna in the last 14 days

11 Points for Fiorentina behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Bologna behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

26.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Fiorentina, the right bar represents Bologna.

On the ball

20 matches

12.22

shots

13.0

3.39

shots on target

3.76

27.7%

accuracy

29.0%

4.15

corners

4.22

11.3

fouls

11.79

1.95

yellow cards

1.47

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Fiorentina	DWLLLDWDLD	1.00	0.90–1.70	1D
Bologna	DLLDLLDWWD	1.00	1.00–1.20	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Fiorentina	8	5	7	0	2
Bologna	6	10	3	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Fiorentina

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bologna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Serie A Liveblog: Napoli vs. Bologna, Sassuolo vs. Juventus, Lecce vs. Monza Football Italia 09-13

De Bruyne injury scare mars Napoli win over Bologna Football Italia 09-13

Serie A | Napoli 1-0 Bologna: Lobotka light at the end of the tunnel Football Italia 09-13

Allegri: ‘Napoli need calm, precision and concentration’ Football Italia 09-13

Serie A official line-ups: Napoli vs. Bologna Football Italia 09-13

Picture: Vanoli arrives at Viola Park to replace Grosso as Fiorentina coach Football Italia 09-07

Vanoli set for Fiorentina return as verbal agreement reached Football Italia 09-07

Report Thiago Motta or Vanoli ready for Fiorentina job after Grosso fired Football Italia 09-06

Official: Fiorentina have fired Grosso after three straight defeats Football Italia 09-06

Serie A | Bologna 2-2 Sassuolo: Dovbyk scrapes first point in fiery derby Football Italia 09-06

Fiorentina’s Serie A renaissance feels a way off after chastening centenary | Nicky Bandini The Guardian 08-31