Parma

Parma

VS Scheduled Sunday 17 Jan 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 20

Inter

Head-to-head overview

10 meetings

ParmaWins: 1
Draws30.0% of meetings: 3
InterWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.80
Over 2.5 goals: 60.0%
Both teams scored: 60.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-05-03	25/26	Inter2–0Parma
2026-01-07	25/26	Parma0–2Inter
2025-04-05	24/25	Parma2–2Inter
2024-12-06	24/25	Inter3–1Parma
2021-03-04	20/21	Parma1–2Inter
2020-10-31	20/21	Inter2–2Parma
2020-06-28	19/20	Parma1–2Inter
2019-10-26	19/20	Inter2–2Parma
2019-02-09	18/19	Parma0–1Inter
2018-09-15	18/19	Inter0–1Parma

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Parma2–1Genoa
2026-09-14	26/27	Como2–1Parma
2026-09-06	26/27	Parma1–1Monza
2026-08-29	26/27	Juventus2–0Parma
2026-08-22	26/27	Parma0–1Cagliari
2026-05-24	25/26	Parma1–0Sassuolo
2026-05-17	25/26	Como1–0Parma
2026-05-10	25/26	Parma2–3Roma

Inter

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14	26/27	Inter5–3Udinese
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter3–2Napoli
2026-08-30	26/27	Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22	26/27	Inter4–1Monza
2026-05-23	25/26	Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17	25/26	Inter1–1Verona
2026-05-09	25/26	Lazio0–3Inter

Parma Inter

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

75%

Both teams scored

50%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Parma

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Parma	0–1	Cagliari	1	79′ Away
15	Parma		Lazio	2
15	Parma		Roma	3
15	Parma		Inter	4
15	Parma		Milan	5
15	Parma		Frosinone	6
15	Parma		Juventus	7
15	Parma		Como	8
15	Parma		Napoli	9
15	Parma		Sassuolo	10
15	Parma		Lecce	11
15	Parma		Atalanta	12
15	Parma		Udinese	13
15	Parma		Torino	14
15 · Parma
15	Parma	1–1	Monza	16	38′ Away
15	Parma		Fiorentina	17
15	Parma		Bologna	18
15	Parma	2–1	Genoa	19	38′ Home
15	Parma		Venezia	20

Inter

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari	0–1	Inter	4	9′ Away
2	Lazio		Inter	4
3	Roma	2–2	Inter	4	6′ Home
4 · Inter
5	Milan		Inter	4
6	Frosinone		Inter	4
7	Juventus		Inter	4
8	Como		Inter	4
9	Napoli		Inter	4
10	Sassuolo		Inter	4
11	Lecce		Inter	4
12	Atalanta		Inter	4
13	Udinese		Inter	4
14	Torino		Inter	4
15	Parma		Inter	4
16	Monza		Inter	4
17	Fiorentina		Inter	4
18	Bologna		Inter	4
19	Genoa		Inter	4
20	Venezia		Inter	4

Parma Home Inter Away

Wins

33%

50%

Over 1.5

67%

50%

Over 2.5

33%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

50%

Scores first

33%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Parma

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.33	0.00	0.80
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.50	0.80
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	2.00	2.50	2.20
Failed to score	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	3.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.60
Total goals / match	6.00	2.50	4.60
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Parma	Draw	Inter	How it works
Strength (Elo)	17.5%	15.9%	66.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	9.7%	15.7%	70.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.78–2.49 Model expected goals

59.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

47.6% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-211.7%

0-39.7%

0-19.4%

1-29.2%

1-37.6%

1-17.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Parma	Inter	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1458	1721	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-6	-51	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	40.7%	61.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	38.7%	64.5%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1029	1096	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.2%	41.3%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	73.7%	68.3%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Parma	0.25	0.60	0.30	0.85
Inter	0.90	1.70	0.60	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Parma	15%	28%	25%	18%	15%
Inter	0%	18%	28%	15%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 Parma at home, 10 matches

1.90 Inter away, 10 matches

119d Days of rest for Parma

120d Days of rest for Inter

— Manager of Parma

— Manager of Inter

0 Matches for Parma in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Inter in the last 14 days

11 Points for Parma behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Inter behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

26.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Parma, the right bar represents Inter.

On the ball

20 matches

9.61

shots

16.89

2.67

shots on target

6.06

27.7%

accuracy

35.9%

3.9

corners

5.47

11.1

fouls

10.35

1.63

yellow cards

1.85

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Parma	WLDLLWLLLW	1.00	0.80–1.30	1W
Inter	DWWWWDDWWD	2.20	2.60–1.40	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Parma	3	13	4	0	2
Inter	9	7	4	1	3

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Parma

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Report Inter watch Cagliari talent with scouts during 2-1 victory Football Italia 09-13

Sam Surridge in stoppage time denies Messi and Miami a win: MLS roundup The Guardian 09-13

Champions League opening data shows English dominance and too few shocks The Guardian 09-11

Video: Inter star Dimarco trains with knee bandage before Real Madrid clash Football Italia 09-07

Capello: Why Roma can challenge Inter for Serie A title Football Italia 09-07