Bologna

Bologna

VS Scheduled Sunday 7 Feb 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 23

Milan

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

BolognaWins: 1
Draws22.2% of meetings: 4
MilanWins: 13

Goals per match: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals: 61.1%
Both teams scored: 61.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-03	25/26	Bologna0–3Milan
2025-09-14	25/26	Milan1–0Bologna
2025-05-09	24/25	Milan3–1Bologna
2025-02-27	24/25	Bologna2–1Milan
2024-01-27	23/24	Milan2–2Bologna
2023-08-21	23/24	Bologna0–2Milan
2023-04-15	22/23	Bologna1–1Milan
2022-08-27	22/23	Milan2–0Bologna
2022-04-04	21/22	Milan0–0Bologna
2021-10-23	21/22	Bologna2–4Milan
2021-01-30	20/21	Bologna1–2Milan
2020-09-21	20/21	Milan2–0Bologna
2020-07-18	19/20	Milan5–1Bologna
2019-12-08	19/20	Bologna2–3Milan
2019-05-06	18/19	Milan2–1Bologna
2018-12-18	18/19	Bologna0–0Milan
2018-04-29	17/18	Bologna1–2Milan
2017-12-10	17/18	Milan2–1Bologna

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Bologna1–1Torino
2026-09-14	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-13	26/27	Napoli1–0Bologna
2026-09-06	26/27	Bologna2–2Sassuolo
2026-08-31	26/27	Atalanta1–0Bologna
2026-08-24	26/27	Bologna0–1Lazio
2026-05-23	25/26	Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17	25/26	Atalanta0–1Bologna

Milan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-13	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-12	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-28	26/27	Milan2–0Venezia
2026-08-23	26/27	Torino1–2Milan
2026-05-24	25/26	Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17	25/26	Genoa1–2Milan

Bologna Milan

Wins

12%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

25%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Bologna

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
18	Bologna		Cagliari	1
18	Bologna	0–1	Lazio	2	59′ Away
18	Bologna		Roma	3
18	Bologna		Inter	4
18	Bologna		Milan	5
18	Bologna		Frosinone	6
18	Bologna		Juventus	7
18	Bologna		Como	8
18	Bologna		Napoli	9
18	Bologna	2–2	Sassuolo	10	19′ Away
18	Bologna		Lecce	11
18	Bologna		Atalanta	12
18	Bologna		Udinese	13
18	Bologna	1–1	Torino	14	14′ Home
18	Bologna		Parma	15
18	Bologna		Monza	16
18	Bologna		Fiorentina	17
18 · Bologna
18	Bologna		Genoa	19
18	Bologna		Venezia	20

Milan

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Milan	5
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	10′ Home
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	—
3	Roma		Milan	5
4	Inter		Milan	5
5 · Milan
6	Frosinone		Milan	5
7	Juventus	1–1	Milan	5	68′ Away
8	Como		Milan	5
9	Napoli		Milan	5
10	Sassuolo		Milan	5
11	Lecce		Milan	5
12	Atalanta		Milan	5
13	Udinese		Milan	5
14	Torino	1–2	Milan	5	64′ Away
15	Parma		Milan	5
16	Monza		Milan	5
17	Fiorentina		Milan	5
18	Bologna		Milan	5
19	Genoa		Milan	5
20	Venezia		Milan	5

Bologna Home Milan Away

Wins

0%

25%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

75%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

67%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Bologna

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.67	0.00	0.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.00	1.17
Total goals / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Failed to score	33.3%	100.0%	66.7%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	3.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Bologna	Draw	Milan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	29.2%	25.8%	45.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	28.1%	30.2%	41.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.88–1.14 Model expected goals

32.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

39.9% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 15.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-115.1%

1-113.3%

0-013.2%

1-011.6%

0-28.6%

1-27.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Bologna	Milan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1502	1607	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-16	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1535	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	57.1%	52.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	53.8%	49.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	951	993	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	29.7%	28.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	65.5%	71.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Bologna	0.47	0.58	0.32	0.79
Milan	0.26	0.95	0.58	0.53

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Bologna	5%	25%	28%	15%	28%
Milan	5%	25%	22%	25%	22%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Bologna at home, 10 matches

1.50 Milan away, 10 matches

141d Days of rest for Bologna

140d Days of rest for Milan

— Manager of Bologna

— Manager of Milan

0 Matches for Bologna in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Milan in the last 14 days

13 Points for Bologna behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Milan behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.50 League goals per match

26.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Bologna, the right bar represents Milan.

On the ball

20 matches

13.0

shots

13.06

3.76

shots on target

3.76

29.0%

accuracy

28.8%

4.22

corners

3.42

11.79

fouls

10.79

1.47

yellow cards

1.83

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Bologna	DLLDLLDWWD	1.00	1.00–1.20	1D
Milan	WDDDWWLWLL	1.50	1.70–1.40	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Bologna	6	10	3	0	2
Milan	3	10	6	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Bologna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Milan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

Serie A Liveblog: Napoli vs. Bologna, Sassuolo vs. Juventus, Lecce vs. Monza Football Italia 09-13

De Bruyne injury scare mars Napoli win over Bologna Football Italia 09-13

Serie A | Napoli 1-0 Bologna: Lobotka light at the end of the tunnel Football Italia 09-13

Allegri: ‘Napoli need calm, precision and concentration’ Football Italia 09-13

Serie A official line-ups: Napoli vs. Bologna Football Italia 09-13

European football: Dortmund win again but Freiburg top after Gladbach rout The Guardian 09-12

Milan star Gila admits physical discomfort forced him off against Juventus Football Italia 09-07

Spalletti refuses to blame referee for Milan’s goal, appears to taunt journalists Football Italia 09-07

Today’s Papers – Juventus vs. Milan, too little, Gatti saves Spalletti Football Italia 09-07

Spalletti: ‘Juventus cannot ask permission from Milan, I stick with Kolo Muani’ Football Italia 09-06

Amorim: ‘Milan didn’t deserve to win, or Juventus didn’t deserve to lose’ Football Italia 09-06

Live: Juventus vs. Milan post-match show from the Allianz Stadium Football Italia 09-06