Inter

Inter

VS Scheduled Sunday 14 Feb 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 24

Milan

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

InterWins: 9
Draws16.7% of meetings: 3
MilanWins: 6

Goals per match: 2.89
Over 2.5 goals: 55.6%
Both teams scored: 61.1%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-08	25/26	Milan1–0Inter
2025-11-23	25/26	Inter0–1Milan
2025-02-02	24/25	Milan1–1Inter
2024-09-22	24/25	Inter1–2Milan
2024-04-22	23/24	Milan1–2Inter
2023-09-16	23/24	Inter5–1Milan
2023-02-05	22/23	Inter1–0Milan
2022-09-03	22/23	Milan3–2Inter
2022-02-05	21/22	Inter1–2Milan
2021-11-07	21/22	Milan1–1Inter
2021-02-21	20/21	Milan0–3Inter
2020-10-17	20/21	Inter1–2Milan
2020-02-09	19/20	Inter4–2Milan
2019-09-21	19/20	Milan0–2Inter
2019-03-17	18/19	Milan2–3Inter
2018-10-21	18/19	Inter1–0Milan
2018-04-04	17/18	Milan0–0Inter
2017-10-15	17/18	Inter3–2Milan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14	26/27	Inter5–3Udinese
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter3–2Napoli
2026-08-30	26/27	Cagliari0–1Inter
2026-08-22	26/27	Inter4–1Monza
2026-05-23	25/26	Bologna3–3Inter
2026-05-17	25/26	Inter1–1Verona
2026-05-09	25/26	Lazio0–3Inter

Milan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-13	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-12	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-28	26/27	Milan2–0Venezia
2026-08-23	26/27	Torino1–2Milan
2026-05-24	25/26	Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17	25/26	Genoa1–2Milan

Inter Milan

Wins

62%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Inter

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Inter		Cagliari	1
4	Inter		Lazio	2
4	Inter		Roma	3
4 · Inter
4	Inter		Milan	5
4	Inter		Frosinone	6
4	Inter		Juventus	7
4	Inter		Como	8
4	Inter	3–2	Napoli	9	50′ Away
4	Inter		Sassuolo	10
4	Inter		Lecce	11
4	Inter		Atalanta	12
4	Inter	5–3	Udinese	13	9′ Away
4	Inter		Torino	14
4	Inter		Parma	15
4	Inter	4–1	Monza	16	6′ Home
4	Inter		Fiorentina	17
4	Inter		Bologna	18
4	Inter		Genoa	19
4	Inter		Venezia	20

Milan

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Milan	5
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	10′ Home
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	—
3	Roma		Milan	5
4	Inter		Milan	5
5 · Milan
6	Frosinone		Milan	5
7	Juventus	1–1	Milan	5	68′ Away
8	Como		Milan	5
9	Napoli		Milan	5
10	Sassuolo		Milan	5
11	Lecce		Milan	5
12	Atalanta		Milan	5
13	Udinese		Milan	5
14	Torino	1–2	Milan	5	64′ Away
15	Parma		Milan	5
16	Monza		Milan	5
17	Fiorentina		Milan	5
18	Bologna		Milan	5
19	Genoa		Milan	5
20	Venezia		Milan	5

Inter Home Milan Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

100%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

33%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Inter

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	4.00	1.50	3.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.60
Total goals / match	6.00	2.50	4.60
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	2 of 2	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	4	2
61–75	2	0
76–90	3	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	3.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Inter	Draw	Milan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	54.2%	22.1%	23.7%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	57.9%	19.4%	19.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.30–1.25 Model expected goals

65.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.8% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-19.5%

1-18.3%

2-07.6%

3-17.3%

1-06.6%

2-25.9%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Inter	Milan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1721	1607	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-51	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1533	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	61.8%	52.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	64.5%	49.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1096	993	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	41.3%	28.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	68.3%	71.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved