Como

Como

VS Scheduled Sunday 28 Feb 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 26

Milan

Head-to-head overview

4 meetings

ComoWins: 0
Draws25.0% of meetings: 1
MilanWins: 3

Goals per match: 3.00
Over 2.5 goals: 75.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-02-18	25/26	Milan1–1Como
2026-01-15	25/26	Como1–3Milan
2025-03-15	24/25	Milan2–1Como
2025-01-14	24/25	Como1–2Milan

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Frosinone2–0Como
2026-09-14	26/27	Como2–1Parma
2026-09-04	26/27	Genoa1–4Como
2026-08-30	26/27	Napoli1–2Como
2026-08-22	26/27	Udinese1–1Como
2026-05-24	25/26	Cremonese1–4Como
2026-05-17	25/26	Como1–0Parma
2026-05-10	25/26	Verona0–1Como

Milan

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Milan3–0Lecce
2026-09-13	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-12	26/27	Lazio2–2Milan
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-28	26/27	Milan2–0Venezia
2026-08-23	26/27	Torino1–2Milan
2026-05-24	25/26	Milan1–2Cagliari
2026-05-17	25/26	Genoa1–2Milan

Como Milan

Wins

75%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

75%

Both teams scored

62%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Como

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Como		Cagliari	1
8	Como		Lazio	2
8	Como		Roma	3
8	Como		Inter	4
8	Como		Milan	5
8	Como		Frosinone	6
8	Como		Juventus	7
8 · Como
8	Como		Napoli	9
8	Como		Sassuolo	10
8	Como		Lecce	11
8	Como		Atalanta	12
8	Como		Udinese	13
8	Como		Torino	14
8	Como	2–1	Parma	15	23′ Home
8	Como		Monza	16
8	Como		Fiorentina	17
8	Como		Bologna	18
8	Como		Genoa	19
8	Como		Venezia	20

Milan

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Milan	5
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	10′ Home
2	Lazio	2–2	Milan	5	—
3	Roma		Milan	5
4	Inter		Milan	5
5 · Milan
6	Frosinone		Milan	5
7	Juventus	1–1	Milan	5	68′ Away
8	Como		Milan	5
9	Napoli		Milan	5
10	Sassuolo		Milan	5
11	Lecce		Milan	5
12	Atalanta		Milan	5
13	Udinese		Milan	5
14	Torino	1–2	Milan	5	64′ Away
15	Parma		Milan	5
16	Monza		Milan	5
17	Fiorentina		Milan	5
18	Bologna		Milan	5
19	Genoa		Milan	5
20	Venezia		Milan	5

Como Home Milan Away

Wins

100%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

100%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Como

5 matches

Goals & results	Home1 matches	Away4 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.75	2.00
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.75	1.80
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.25	1.20
Total goals / match	3.00	3.00	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 1/1 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Milan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.75	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.00	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	2.50	3.25	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Como	Draw	Milan	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.3%	26.7%	32.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	51.8%	24.7%	22.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.63–0.99 Model expected goals

48.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 11.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-011.9%

1-111.7%

2-09.7%

2-19.6%

0-07.3%

0-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Como	Milan	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1621	1607	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-6	-38	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1522	1533	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	63.8%	52.0%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	67.6%	49.2%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	1017	993	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	38.0%	28.1%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	63.6%	71.2%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved