Monza

Monza

VS Scheduled Sunday 28 Feb 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 26

Juventus

Head-to-head overview

6 meetings

MonzaWins: 2
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
JuventusWins: 4

Goals per match: 2.17
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 33.3%

Date	Season	Match
2025-04-27	24/25	Juventus2–0Monza
2024-12-22	24/25	Monza1–2Juventus
2024-05-25	23/24	Juventus2–0Monza
2023-12-01	23/24	Monza1–2Juventus
2023-01-29	22/23	Juventus0–2Monza
2022-09-18	22/23	Monza1–0Juventus

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Monza2–1Sassuolo
2026-09-14	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-13	26/27	Lecce3–2Monza
2026-09-06	26/27	Parma1–1Monza
2026-08-29	26/27	Monza2–3Udinese
2026-08-22	26/27	Inter4–1Monza
2025-05-24	24/25	Milan2–0Monza
2025-05-18	24/25	Monza1–3Empoli

Juventus

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Juventus2–0Atalanta
2026-09-14	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-13	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-29	26/27	Juventus2–0Parma
2026-08-23	26/27	Frosinone0–1Juventus
2026-05-24	25/26	Torino2–2Juventus
2026-05-17	25/26	Juventus0–2Fiorentina

Monza Juventus

Wins

12%

38%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

38%

Both teams scored

88%

50%

Clean sheets

0%

38%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Monza

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
16	Monza		Cagliari	1
16	Monza		Lazio	2
16	Monza		Roma	3
16	Monza		Inter	4
16	Monza		Milan	5
16	Monza		Frosinone	6
16	Monza		Juventus	7
16	Monza		Como	8
16	Monza		Napoli	9
16	Monza	2–1	Sassuolo	10	51′ Home
16	Monza		Lecce	11
16	Monza		Atalanta	12
16	Monza	2–3	Udinese	13	32′ Away
16	Monza		Torino	14
16	Monza		Parma	15
16 · Monza
16	Monza		Fiorentina	17
16	Monza		Bologna	18
16	Monza		Genoa	19
16	Monza		Venezia	20

Juventus

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Juventus	7
2	Lazio		Juventus	7
3	Roma		Juventus	7
4	Inter		Juventus	7
5	Milan		Juventus	7
6	Frosinone	0–1	Juventus	7	22′ Away
7 · Juventus
8	Como		Juventus	7
9	Napoli		Juventus	7
10	Sassuolo	3–2	Juventus	7	65′ Home
10	Sassuolo	3–2	Juventus	7	—
11	Lecce		Juventus	7
12	Atalanta		Juventus	7
13	Udinese		Juventus	7
14	Torino		Juventus	7
15	Parma		Juventus	7
16	Monza		Juventus	7
17	Fiorentina		Juventus	7
18	Bologna		Juventus	7
19	Genoa		Juventus	7
20	Venezia		Juventus	7

Monza Home Juventus Away

Wins

50%

33%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

50%

67%

Both teams scored

100%

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

50%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Monza

6 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away4 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.25	0.67
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.67
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.75	2.50
Total goals / match	4.00	4.25	4.17
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	25.0%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	3
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Juventus

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.67	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	2.00	3.67	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Monza	Draw	Juventus	How it works
Strength (Elo)	20.5%	19.2%	60.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	6.4%	12.4%	74.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.69–2.81 Model expected goals

61.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 12.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-212.0%

0-311.2%

0-18.5%

1-28.2%

0-47.9%

1-37.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Monza	Juventus	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1392	1609	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	55	-65	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1529	1527	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	39.0%	62.8%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	38.1%	66.4%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	779	941	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	19.6%	24.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	58.2%	69.4%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved