Juventus

Juventus

VS Scheduled Sunday 7 Mar 202700:00

Italy 26/27 Serie A · Matchday 27

Roma

Head-to-head overview

18 meetings

JuventusWins: 8
Draws38.9% of meetings: 7
RomaWins: 3

Goals per match: 2.33
Over 2.5 goals: 33.3%
Both teams scored: 50.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-03-01	25/26	Roma3–3Juventus
2025-12-20	25/26	Juventus2–1Roma
2025-04-06	24/25	Roma1–1Juventus
2024-09-01	24/25	Juventus0–0Roma
2024-05-05	23/24	Roma1–1Juventus
2023-12-30	23/24	Juventus1–0Roma
2023-03-05	22/23	Roma1–0Juventus
2022-08-27	22/23	Juventus1–1Roma
2022-01-09	21/22	Roma3–4Juventus
2021-10-17	21/22	Juventus1–0Roma
2021-02-06	20/21	Juventus2–0Roma
2020-09-27	20/21	Roma2–2Juventus
2020-08-01	19/20	Juventus1–3Roma
2020-01-12	19/20	Roma1–2Juventus
2019-05-12	18/19	Roma2–0Juventus
2018-12-22	18/19	Juventus1–0Roma
2018-05-13	17/18	Roma0–0Juventus
2017-12-23	17/18	Juventus1–0Roma

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Juventus2–0Atalanta
2026-09-14	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-13	26/27	Sassuolo3–2Juventus
2026-09-06	26/27	Juventus1–1Milan
2026-08-29	26/27	Juventus2–0Parma
2026-08-23	26/27	Frosinone0–1Juventus
2026-05-24	25/26	Torino2–2Juventus
2026-05-17	25/26	Juventus0–2Fiorentina

Roma

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Roma2–2Inter
2026-09-14	26/27	Torino0–2Roma
2026-09-05	26/27	Roma2–1Atalanta
2026-08-31	26/27	Lecce0–4Roma
2026-08-24	26/27	Roma4–0Fiorentina
2026-05-24	25/26	Verona0–2Roma
2026-05-17	25/26	Roma2–0Lazio
2026-05-10	25/26	Parma2–3Roma

Juventus Roma

Wins

38%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

50%

38%

Clean sheets

38%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Juventus

Home · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
7	Juventus		Cagliari	1
7	Juventus		Lazio	2
7	Juventus		Roma	3
7	Juventus		Inter	4
7	Juventus	1–1	Milan	5	68′ Away
7	Juventus		Frosinone	6
7 · Juventus
7	Juventus		Como	8
7	Juventus		Napoli	9
7	Juventus		Sassuolo	10
7	Juventus		Lecce	11
7	Juventus	2–0	Atalanta	12	28′ Home
7	Juventus		Udinese	13
7	Juventus		Torino	14
7	Juventus	2–0	Parma	15	62′ Home
7	Juventus		Monza	16
7	Juventus		Fiorentina	17
7	Juventus		Bologna	18
7	Juventus		Genoa	19
7	Juventus		Venezia	20

Roma

Away · Serie A

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Cagliari		Roma	3
2	Lazio		Roma	3
3 · Roma
4	Inter		Roma	3
5	Milan		Roma	3
6	Frosinone		Roma	3
7	Juventus		Roma	3
8	Como		Roma	3
9	Napoli		Roma	3
10	Sassuolo		Roma	3
11	Lecce	0–4	Roma	3	4′ Away
12	Atalanta		Roma	3
13	Udinese		Roma	3
14	Torino	0–2	Roma	3	40′ Away
15	Parma		Roma	3
16	Monza		Roma	3
17	Fiorentina		Roma	3
18	Bologna		Roma	3
19	Genoa		Roma	3
20	Venezia		Roma	3

Juventus Home Roma Away

Wins

67%

100%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

0%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

0%

Clean sheets

67%

100%

Scores first

67%

100%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Serie A · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Juventus

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.67	1.67
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	2.00	3.67	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Roma

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.33	3.00	2.60
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.67	3.00	2.80
Goals conceded / match	1.00	0.00	0.60
Total goals / match	3.67	3.00	3.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	2	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Juventus	Draw	Roma	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.5%	27.0%	39.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	21.3%	21.4%	55.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.15–2.01 Model expected goals

59.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

58.0% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.9%

1-19.8%

0-28.5%

0-18.5%

1-36.6%

0-35.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Juventus	Roma	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1609	1668	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-65	43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1527	1539	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Shot share	62.8%	61.3%	Share of all shots in a match. Above 50% means the team takes more shots than its opponents.
Shots on target share	66.4%	59.0%	The same measure, counting only shots on target
Finishing and saving index (PDO)	941	1175	Shooting conversion plus save percentage, on a scale centred on 1000. Extreme values can reflect short-term variation.
Conversion	24.7%	45.7%	Shots on target converted into goals
Save percentage	69.4%	71.9%	Opponents' shots on target that are saved